NFL picks
New York
Jets · Away
Kansas City
Chiefs · Home
Model Picks
16AI Analysis
Rashee Rice Score a Touchdown (Yes: 43%)
Rashee Rice, who returned after a two-game absence, scored with a team-high eight targets and now faces a defense that recently allowed three touchdown passes and has the fourth-worst touchdown rate against wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown (Yes: 67%) Projection 1.19 (Yes)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league at a 64.3% pass rate and to run the 6th-most offensive plays with 65.9 plays this week, while Kenneth Walker III has a 19.5 WOPR, ranks in the 96th percentile for TD catches with 0.29 per game, and the Jets defense allows 0.25 touchdowns per game to RBs.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o17.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 25.32 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league with a 64.3% pass rate and to run the 6th-most offensive plays this week at 65.9 plays, while Kenneth Walker III is expected to have 4.5 targets, reflecting a significant increase in his target rate to 13.7% and adjusted receiving yards per game to 22.0.
AI Analysis
Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.11 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point favorites this week and are projected to run the 6th-most offensive plays with 65.9 plays, while the New York Jets' run defense allows 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown (Yes: 66%) Projection 1.19 (Yes)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense with a 64.3% pass rate and the 6th-most offensive plays with 65.9 plays this week, while Kenneth Walker III has a WOPR of 19.5 and ranks in the 96th percentile for receiving touchdowns among running backs, averaging 0.29 TDs per game, as the Jets defense has allowed 0.25 TDs through the air to RBs per game.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o90.5 Rushing Yards (51%) Projection 97.5 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point favorites this week, expected to run 65.9 offensive plays, with Kenneth Walker III projected for 22.5 rush attempts and 114.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, while the New York Jets have allowed 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o40.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 48.3 (Over)
Breece Hall averages 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, placing him in the 88th percentile among league rushers since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o89.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 96.77 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are a 10-point favorite this week, expected to run 66 offensive plays, with Kenneth Walker III projected for 22.3 rush attempts, and the New York Jets allowing 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o199.5 Passing Yards (61%) Projection 232.07 (Over)
The Jets are expected to have a 61.1% pass rate in a game against the Kansas City Chiefs, who have allowed a 71.8% adjusted completion rate, while the Jets' offensive line ranks 5th in pass protection.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o40.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 48.3 (Over)
Breece Hall averages 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, ranking in the 88th percentile among pure rushers since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Adonai Mitchell o39.5 Receiving Yards (71%) Projection 60.18 (Over)
The Jets are projected to be the 4th-most pass-centric team this week with a 61.4% pass rate, facing a -10-point spread, while their offensive line ranks 5th best in pass protection.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o13.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 18.58 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a passing-heavy game script as -10 point underdogs, with a 61.4% pass rate, while Breece Hall is expected to have 3.1 targets, ranking in the 79th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o17.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 25.24 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to have the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league with a 64.5% pass rate and are expected to run the 6th-most offensive plays with 66.0 plays; Kenneth Walker III is anticipated to be in the 89th percentile among running backs with 4.6 targets and has a 13.7% target rate this season, up from 7.9% last season, alongside an increase in adjusted receiving yards per game from 13.0 to 22.0.
AI Analysis
Adonai Mitchell o49.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 60.18 (Over)
The Jets are projected as the 4th-most pass-centric team this week with a 61.4% pass rate, and their offensive line ranks 5th in protecting the passer.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o14.5 Receiving Yards (50%) Projection 18.58 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 61.4% pass rate as -10-point underdogs, with Breece Hall expected to receive 3.1 targets and rank in the 79th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Mason Taylor o24.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 28.68 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 61.4% pass rate this week as 10-point underdogs, while the Kansas City Chiefs defense ranks poorly against tight ends and safeties.
AI Analysis
Patrick Mahomes o14.5 Rushing Yards (45%) Projection 21.1 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are a 10-point favorite in this week's game, predicted to run the 6th-most offensive plays with 66.0, against a New York Jets run defense allowing 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Mason Taylor o19.5 Receiving Yards (68%) Projection 28.68 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 61.4% pass rate as -10-point underdogs, with their offensive line ranking 5th in pass protection, while the Chiefs defense is 5th-worst against tight ends and 10th-worst in safety coverage.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o39.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 48.29 (Over)
Breece Hall averages 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, ranking in the 88th percentile among rushers since last season.
AI Analysis
Patrick Mahomes o14.5 Rushing Yards (46%) Projection 21.1 (Over)
The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point favorites this week, expected to run the 6th-most offensive plays with 66.0, while the New York Jets defense allows 129.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o199.5 Passing Yards (59%) Projection 236.73 (Over)
The Jets are expected to have a 61.4% passing rate as 10-point underdogs, with the offensive line ranked 5th in pass protection, while opposing quarterback Geno Smith's adjusted yards per game have increased significantly, and the Chiefs defense has a 71.8% adjusted completion rate against quarterbacks.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III Score First Touchdown (Yes: 22%)
Walker has recorded 4 games with over 20 carries and 8 touchdowns, while the Chiefs are the biggest favorites in the current slate.
AI Analysis
Kenneth Walker III o109.5 Rush and Rec Yards (53%)
Kenneth Walker III is averaging 110 rushing yards per game this season.
AI Analysis
Rashee Rice Score a Touchdown (Yes: 42%)
Rashee Rice has made 20 catches on 24 targets with two touchdowns in four games, and he will be facing a weakened New York Jets secondary.
AI Analysis
Xavier Worthy o30.5 Receiving Yards (53%)
Xavier Worthy has underperformed recently against strong defenses, but is projected to achieve over 40 receiving yards in Week 9 against the Jets, who rank last in DVOA versus WR2.
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