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Model Picks
11AI Analysis
Woody Marks o47.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 74.58 (Over)
The predictive model estimates this game will have the second-most plays at 131.4, while the Houston Texans rank 10th in the league with an average of 59.6 plays per game.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks u12.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 11.1 (Under)
The Houston Texans' offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL for pass protection, negatively affecting their passing offense statistics, while Jacksonville's linebackers are rated as the 2nd-best in the league for defending receivers.
AI Analysis
Trevor Lawrence o223.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 232.16 (Over)
The upcoming game is projected to have the second-highest number of plays this week at 131.4, while Trevor Lawrence has improved his performance with 242.0 adjusted passing yards per game, a 67.5% Adjusted Completion%, and 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target, against a Houston Texans linebacking group ranked 4th worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
C.J. Stroud o9.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 16.6 (Over)
The predictive model anticipates this game will have the second-highest number of plays this week at 131.4, factoring in team strategies and game dynamics, while the Houston Texans have averaged 59.6 plays per game, ranking 10th in the league.
AI Analysis
Nico Collins o71.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 80.91 (Over)
The Houston Texans are projected to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 60.3% pass rate and are expected to run the 2nd-most plays at 131.4, while averaging 59.6 plays per game and facing a Jaguars defense that allows an average of 38.2 pass attempts per game, with Nico Collins averaging 65.0 adjusted yards per game and ranking in the 94th percentile since last season.
AI Analysis
Parker Washington o59.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Projection 66.19 (Over)
Projections indicate this game will have the 2nd-highest play count of the week at 131.4 plays, while the Houston Texans' defense allows 172.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to wide receivers, ranking 6th worst, and their linebackers are rated as the 4th worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten u16.5 Rushing Attempts (48%) Projection 14.57 (Under)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have the 6th-lowest average of 54.0 plays per game in the league this year, while Houston's defensive ends are rated the best in the NFL for stopping the run.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks o14.5 Rushing Attempts (49%) Projection 18.1 (Over)
The predictive model forecasts this game to have the 2nd-most plays this week with 131.4 plays, while the Houston Texans average 59.6 plays per game, ranking 10th in the league.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks o14.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 20.02 (Over)
The Houston Texans are projected to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 60.3% pass rate, running an estimated 131.4 plays, and have called the 10th-most plays this year at 59.6 per game, while opposing teams average 38.2 pass attempts against the Jaguars, who have allowed 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs.
AI Analysis
Dalton Schultz o30.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 36.11 (Over)
The Houston Texans are projected to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 60.3% pass rate and expected to run 131.4 plays, while averaging 59.6 plays per game, as opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts against the Jaguars defense; Dalton Schultz has improved his adjusted yards per game to 45.0.
AI Analysis
Trevor Lawrence o14.5 Rushing Yards (47%) Projection 20.85 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to run 66.1 offensive plays in their upcoming game, ranking 4th among all teams, with Trevor Lawrence expected to increase his run game usage from 8.7% to 15.4%.
AI Analysis
Brenton Strange o37.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 42.08 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are predicted to run 66.1 offensive plays in this game, ranking 4th highest this week, while Brenton Strange is expected to receive 5.4 targets, placing him in the 86th percentile for tight ends, and he ranks in the 93rd percentile for air yards, averaging 40.0 per game, with a notable increase in adjusted yards per game from 35.0 to 47.0 this year, as the Texans allow an average of 5.00 yards-after-the-catch to opposing tight ends.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks o49.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 61.86 (Over)
The predictive model forecasts this game will feature the 4th-most plays this week at 130.8, with the Houston Texans ranking 10th in the league with an average of 59.6 plays per game.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten o7.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Projection 15 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to run 65.5 offensive plays, ranking 6th highest among all teams this week, while the Houston Texans linebackers are rated as the 4th-worst in pass coverage this season.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten o64.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 68.36 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game, ranking 6th highest among all teams this week.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten o7.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 15 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to run 65.5 offensive plays, ranking 6th highest among all teams this week, while the Houston Texans linebackers are ranked as the 4th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Nico Collins u5.5 Receptions Made (47%) Projection 5.04 (Under)
The Houston Texans have the 7th-worst pass protection O-line in the NFL, while the Jacksonville Jaguars' linebackers are ranked 2nd best in defending receivers.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks o49.5 Rushing Yards (52%) Projection 61.86 (Over)
The predictive model anticipates this game will have the 4th-most plays this week at 130.8, with the Houston Texans averaging 59.6 plays per game, ranking 10th in the league.
AI Analysis
C.J. Stroud u256.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 240.1 (Under)
The Houston Texans' offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in NFL pass protection, while C.J. Stroud has a 60.8% Adjusted Completion Rate, making him one of the least accurate QBs; the Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate, the 5th-lowest in the league, and their linebackers rank 2nd-best in defending receivers.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten o63.5 Rushing Yards (51%) Projection 68.26 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are predicted to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game, ranking 6th highest among all teams this week.
AI Analysis
Dalton Schultz o24.5 Receiving Yards (64%) Projection 36.11 (Over)
The Houston Texans are projected to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 60.7% pass rate, and the game is expected to have 130.8 total plays, while the Texans average 59.6 plays per game and opponents have averaged 38.2 pass attempts against the Jaguars defense; Dalton Schultz has shown improvement with 45.0 adjusted yards per game this season.
AI Analysis
Parker Washington o59.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Projection 66.19 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to run 65.5 offensive plays, ranking 6th among NFL teams this week, while the Houston Texans defense allows 172.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, ranking 6th worst, and their linebackers are the 4th worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Parker Washington o59.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 66.19 (Over)
The Jacksonville Jaguars are predicted to run 65.5 offensive plays, ranking 6th highest this week, while the Houston Texans allow 172.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to wide receivers, the 6th-worst in the league, and their linebackers are rated as the 4th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
C.J. Stroud o9.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 16.6 (Over)
The predictive model estimates this game will have 130.8 plays, with the Houston Texans calling the 10th-most plays in the NFL at an average of 59.6 per game.
AI Analysis
Brenton Strange Score a Touchdown (Yes: 21%)
The Houston defense, ranking in the bottom half in EPA/dropback, is traveling to London while Brenton Strange has seen eight targets in consecutive weeks, making him a strong option at 4.8x for a touchdown.
AI Analysis
Trevor Lawrence o12.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Trevor Lawrence may need to rely on his rushing ability against the Texans' strong pass rush, with recent forecasts estimating his rushing yards between 12 to 23.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten o7.5 Receiving Yards (55%)
Tuten is at -130 odds to record nine or more receiving yards, having achieved double-digit receiving yards in four of five games, while the Texans allowed 15 receptions for 51 yards to running backs over the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Woody Marks o14.5 Rushing Attempts (53%)
Marks is likely to handle 15 or more carries at a 56% probability due to his lead role in the Houston backfield, following a Week 5 performance of 4.1 yards per carry, while David Montgomery is sidelined.
AI Analysis
Bhayshul Tuten Score a Touchdown (Yes: 42%)
Tuten has managed 60% of the team's red-zone carries, averaging 3.83 yards after contact per attempt, a 109.4 PFF elusive rating, scoring in seven of his last 13 games, while playing 55% of the Jaguars' offensive snaps this year, with Houston allowing five rushing touchdowns in 2026.
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