MLB picks
New York
Yankees · Away
Tampa Bay
Rays · Home
Model Picks
13Team Leaders
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (22%)
Play Junior Caminero at 22% for a quarter unit due to his .638 slugging percentage against four-seamers, while Cole, who relies on this pitch, allowed nine homers in his last five starts.
AI Analysis
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (47%)
Yandy Diaz has a 48% probability of achieving 2+ total bases, hitting .318 at home this season and holding a .340 career average with two home runs against Cole.
AI Analysis
Drew Rasmussen o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (47%)
Drew Rasmussen has a career 1.81 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the New York Yankees, including an 11-strikeout game in his last matchup.
AI Analysis
Drew Rasmussen u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (47%)
Gerrit Cole has recorded fewer strikeouts than a specified number in four of his last six starts, while the Tampa Bay Rays lead MLB in fewest strikeouts and have the fifth-best team on-base percentage.
AI Analysis
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (44%)
Yandy Diaz has a .340 batting average with two homers and three doubles against Cole in 50 at-bats, along with a .920 OPS and .531 SLG at Tropicana Field.
AI Analysis
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (21%)
Ben Rice enters the ALDS after a successful Wild Card Series, hitting two home runs and four extra-base hits, and has a strong batting average of .356 with seven home runs against Tampa Bay this season.
AI Analysis
Gerrit Cole u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (61%)
Gerrit Cole has recorded fewer strikeouts than a specified number in four of his last six starts, while the Tampa Bay Rays have the lowest strikeout rate in Major League Baseball this season and the fifth-best team on-base percentage.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.