Model Picks
14AI Analysis
Zay Flowers Score a Touchdown (Yes: 37%) Projection 0.48 (Yes)
Since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks in the 84th percentile for Red Zone Target% (19.1%), 83rd percentile for air yards (70.0 per game), 95th percentile for WOPR (68.5), has an Adjusted Catch Rate of 82.2%, and scores receiving touchdowns at a 0.29 per game rate (76th percentile).
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers Score a Touchdown (Yes: 41%) Projection 0.48 (Yes)
Zay Flowers ranks in the 84th percentile for Red Zone Target%, 83rd percentile for air yards with 70.0 per game, 95th percentile for WOPR at 68.5, has an Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 73.4% to 82.2%, and scores receiving touchdowns at a rate of 0.29 per game, ranking in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers Score a Touchdown (Yes: 38%) Projection 0.48 (Yes)
Since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks 84th percentile in Red Zone Target% (19.1%), 83rd percentile in air yards (70.0 per game), 95th percentile in WOPR (68.5), has an Adjusted Catch Rate of 82.2%, and a receiving TD ratio of 0.29 per game (76th percentile).
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 31%) Projection 0.42 (Yes)
Lamar Jackson's Adjusted Completion Percentage has risen from 63.7% to 67.9% this season, while opposing offenses have a 74.8% completion rate against the Titans defense, the third-highest in the league, and Tennessee's safeties rank as the best in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 32%) Projection 0.43 (Yes)
Lamar Jackson's Adjusted Completion Percentage has increased from 63.7% to 67.9% this season, while opposing offenses have achieved a 74.8% completion rate against the Titans defense, which ranks third in the league since last season, and Tennessee's safeties have ranked first in run defense during the same period.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson u225.5 Passing Yards (55%) Projection 206.62 (Under)
The Ravens are favored by 11.5 points this week, projected to pass on 46.8% of their downs, with an expected total of 124.6 plays in the game, and have averaged 52.3 plays per game since last season, while opposing quarterbacks have averaged only 30.0 attempts per game against the Titans' pass defense.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Helm o19.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 24.29 (Over)
The Titans are 11.5-point underdogs, indicating a likely extreme passing game script, while the Ravens' defense has allowed the highest QB pass attempts in the NFL at 36.6 per game since last season, and the Titans' O-line ranks 7th in the league for QB protection.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry Score a Touchdown (Yes: 65%) Projection 0.84 (Yes)
Derrick Henry is projected to have a 67.4% Red Zone Carry Share this week, down from 80.0% this season, while his Adjusted Catch Rate has increased to 100.0%, and opposing offenses have completed passes against the Titans' defense at a 74.8% rate, with Tennessee's safeties ranking as the best in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o47.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 60.26 (Over)
Tony Pollard is projected to be in the 82nd percentile for running backs with 16.0 rush attempts this week, ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, and averages 51.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him in the 85th percentile among runners since last season.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o68.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 73.33 (Over)
Zay Flowers is projected to rank in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets, has a 29.7% target share in the 97th percentile since last season, and averages 70.0 air yards per game, placing him in the 83rd percentile, along with an adjusted yards per game of 63.0 in the 94th percentile, while his adjusted catch rate increased from 73.4% to 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry o7.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 8.93 (Over)
Since the start of last season, Derrick Henry has participated in 54.4% of his team's snaps, ranking in the 75th percentile for running backs, enhanced his Adjusted Catch Rate to 100.0%, averages 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target in the 78th percentile, and has achieved 2.85 yards-after-the-catch (91st percentile), while the Titans pass defense has allowed 6.82 adjusted yards-per-target to running backs, ranking 7th most in the league.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Helm o18.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 24.29 (Over)
The Titans, underdogs by -11.5 points, are expected to follow an extreme passing game script against the Ravens, who have allowed the most QB pass attempts (36.6 per game) since last season, while the Titans' O-line ranks 7th in QB protection.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o42.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 49.69 (Over)
The Titans are -11.5-point underdogs, indicating a likely high passing game script against the Ravens, who have allowed the most QB attempts in the NFL and rank poorly in adjusted receiving yards and yards-per-target against wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Mark Andrews u37.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 32.55 (Under)
The Baltimore Ravens are favored by 11.5 points this week, with projections indicating they will pass on only 46.8% of downs and the game is expected to have 124.6 total plays, the second-lowest of the week.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o68.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 74.65 (Over)
Zay Flowers is projected to be in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets, has a Target Share of 29.7% (97th percentile), averages 70.0 air yards per game (83rd percentile), and has an adjusted catch rate of 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Mark Andrews u39.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 33.16 (Under)
The Ravens are heavily favored by 11.5 points this week, leading to projections of a rushing game script with 46.8% passing frequency, only 124.6 total plays called, and a low average of 52.3 plays per game since last season, while opposing quarterbacks have averaged just 30.0 attempts per game against the Titans' pass defense.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 31%) Projection 0.43 (Yes)
Lamar Jackson's Adjusted Completion Percentage has increased from 63.7% to 67.9% this season, while opposing offenses have completed 74.8% of their passes against the Titans, who have the top run defense ranking since last season.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard u14.5 Receiving Yards (76%) Projection 10.61 (Under)
The Tennessee Titans are the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football with 58.1% pass rate, have run an average of 55.2 plays per game since last season, and are projected for only 124.6 total plays this week; Tony Pollard averages 2.97 adjusted yards-per-target this season compared to 5.55 last season, while the Baltimore Ravens' pass defense allows only 0.64 yards-after-the-catch to opposing running backs, ranking 5th-fewest in the league.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u99.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 93.62 (Under)
The contest is projected to have 124.6 total plays called, the 2nd-lowest this week, with the Ravens averaging 52.3 plays per game since last season and Tennessee's safeties ranked as the best in run defense.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o69.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 73.33 (Over)
Zay Flowers is predicted to be in the 84th percentile for wide receivers with 7.3 targets, has a 29.7% target share ranking in the 97th percentile, and ranks in the 83rd percentile for air yards with 70.0 per game, while posting 63.0 adjusted yards per game in the 94th percentile and an adjusted catch rate increase from 73.4% to 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u99.5 Rushing Yards (57%) Projection 93.5 (Under)
The contest is projected to have 124.6 total plays called, the second-lowest of the week, while the Ravens have averaged 52.3 plays per game since last season, and Tennessee's safeties have ranked as the best in run defense.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o12.5 Rushing Attempts (55%) Projection 15.12 (Over)
Tony Pollard is projected to be in the 82nd percentile for running backs with 16.0 rush attempts and ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, handling 60.3% of his offense's rushing workload.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u99.5 Rushing Yards (57%) Projection 93.5 (Under)
The game is projected to have only 124.6 total plays called, the second-lowest this week, with the Ravens averaging 52.3 plays per game since last season and Tennessee's safeties ranking as the best in run defense.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 30%)
Lamar Jackson's touchdown odds have increased since Week 1, with the Baltimore team total at 27.5, while issues with their offensive line could impact red-zone performance against the Titans, who rank 11th in red-zone defense.
AI Analysis
Mark Andrews u39.5 Receiving Yards (62%) Projection 33.17 (Under)
The Baltimore Ravens are favored by 11.5 points, projected to pass on 46.8% of their downs with a total of 124.6 plays expected, while their average plays per game since last season is 52.3, and opposing quarterbacks have had the 6th-fewest attempts against the Titans at 30.0 per game.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o49.5 Rushing Yards (49%) Projection 60.2 (Over)
The Titans are projected to have the 8th-most run-focused offense in football with a 41.9% run rate, while Tony Pollard is forecasted to be in the 82nd percentile for running backs with 16.0 rush attempts and ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, handling 60.3% of his offense's rushing workload and averaging 51.0 adjusted yards per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson u225.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 206.42 (Under)
The Ravens are favored by 11.5 points and are expected to pass on only 46.8% of their downs, with a projected total of 124.6 plays in the game, the 2nd-lowest this week, while Tennessee's pass defense has faced the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL at 30.0 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o42.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 49.98 (Over)
The Titans are -11.5-point underdogs against a Ravens defense that allows the most passes in the NFL, while the Titans' O-line ranks 7th in QB protection, and the Ravens have allowed 170.0 adjusted receiving yards per game and 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target to opposing wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o39.5 Receiving Yards (58%) Projection 49.98 (Over)
The Titans, facing an -11.5-point spread, are expected to engage in a high-volume passing game against the Baltimore Ravens, whose defense has allowed the most attempts per game and significant receiving yards and yards-per-target to opposing wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward u199.5 Passing Yards (66%) Projection 180.79 (Under)
The Tennessee Titans are the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football with 58.1% adjusted pass rate, expecting the second-smallest game play count this week at 124.6 plays, while averaging 55.2 plays per game since last season, as the Ravens defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch at 0.6 YAC and ranks 4th-best in cornerback performance.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u96.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 93.62 (Under)
The contest is projected to have only 124.6 total plays called, marking it as the 2nd-lowest this week, while the Ravens have the 3rd-lowest average plays per game at 52.3 since last season, and Tennessee's safeties rank as the best in run defense since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 30%) Projection 0.42 (Yes)
Lamar Jackson's Adjusted Completion% has increased from 63.7% to 67.9% this season, while opposing offenses have completed passes at a 74.8% rate against the Titans defense, which ranks third-highest in the league since last season, and Tennessee's safeties have ranked as the best in run defense since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson u224.5 Passing Yards (55%) Projection 203.24 (Under)
The Ravens are favored by 11.5 points this week with an expected passing rate of 46.8%, projecting only 124.6 total plays, the 2nd-lowest of the week, while their average of 52.3 plays per game is the 3rd-lowest in football, and opposing quarterbacks have only attempted 30.0 passes per game against the Titans' defense, ranking 6th-lowest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o39.5 Receiving Yards (58%) Projection 49.69 (Over)
The Titans are -11.5-point underdogs, indicating a high passing game due to the Ravens' defense, which has allowed the most pass attempts and received the most adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o8.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 10.54 (Over)
The Titans, facing an -11.5-point spread, are expected to rely heavily on passing against the Ravens, who have allowed the most pass attempts in the NFL, while Tony Pollard ranks highly in usage and air yards among running backs, and the Titans' offensive line is the 7th best in QB protection.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o39.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Projection 49.67 (Over)
The Titans, 11.5-point underdogs, are expected to engage in a high-volume passing game against the Ravens, who allow the most QB attempts and adjusted receiving yards per game, alongside having the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target against wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o13.5 Rushing Attempts (45%) Projection 15.12 (Over)
Tony Pollard is projected to be in the 82nd percentile for running backs with 16.0 rush attempts this week and ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts overall this year, handling 60.3% of his team's rushing workload.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o69.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 73.33 (Over)
Zay Flowers is projected to be in the 84th percentile for wide receivers with 7.3 targets, has a 29.7% Target Share ranking him in the 97th percentile, averages 70.0 air yards per game in the 83rd percentile, achieves 63.0 adjusted yards per game in the 94th percentile, and has an Adjusted Catch Rate improvement from 73.4% to 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o69.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 73.33 (Over)
Zay Flowers is predicted to rank in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets, has a 29.7% Target Share (97th percentile), an air yards average of 70.0 (83rd percentile), an adjusted yards per game rate of 63.0 (94th percentile), and an Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 73.4% to 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o67.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 73.26 (Over)
Zay Flowers is projected to rank in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets, holds a 29.7% Target Share (97th percentile), ranks in the 83rd percentile in air yards with 70.0 per game, has an adjusted yards per game of 63.0 (94th percentile), and his Adjusted Catch Rate has increased from 73.4% to 82.2% this season.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o174.5 Passing Yards (62%) Projection 189.66 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are 11.5-point underdogs, indicating a heavy passing game against a Baltimore Ravens defense that allows the most quarterback attempts and has yielded 246.0 adjusted passing yards per game, ranking 4th-worst in the league, while the Titans' O-line is ranked 7th in protecting the quarterback.
AI Analysis
Tony Pollard o47.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 60.17 (Over)
This week, Tony Pollard is projected to be in the 83rd percentile for running backs with 16.0 rush attempts and ranks in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, handling 60.3% of his offense's rushing workload, while averaging 51.0 adjusted yards per game (85th percentile) since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u99.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 92.24 (Under)
This game is projected to have 124.9 total plays, the second-lowest of the week, while the Ravens average only 52.3 plays per game since last season, and Tennessee's safeties rank as the best in run defense.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o174.5 Passing Yards (61%) Projection 189.74 (Over)
The Titans, 11.5-point underdogs, are projected to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities against the Ravens, who allow the most QB attempts in the NFL, while the Titans' O-line is ranked 7th in QB protection and the Ravens' defense has allowed 246.0 adjusted passing yards per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o14.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Spears is likely to face advantageous rushing opportunities against Baltimore's 21st-ranked rushing success defense, with potential for increased yardage due to softer late-game fronts.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate Score a Touchdown (Yes: 21%)
Carnell Tate, the No. 4 overall pick, leads Tennessee's skill-position players in snap rate and has successfully made all four contested catches.
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