Model Picks
11AI Analysis
Tucker Kraft o39.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 47.28 (Over)
The Packers are projected to pass on 60.7% of their plays this week, with Tucker Kraft expected to receive 6.1 targets, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs, while averaging 29.0 air yards per game and 47.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him among the top TE receiving threats, against a Buccaneers defense allowing 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to TEs.
AI Analysis
Cade Otton o25.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 30.19 (Over)
The Buccaneers are 3.5-point underdogs, with projections indicating Cade Otton will receive 5.0 targets against a Packers defense known for facilitating passing plays.
AI Analysis
Emeka Egbuka o39.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 49.04 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -3.5-point underdogs, facing the Packers, whose defense has allowed the 10th-most passing attempts and ranks poorly in completion rate, yards-after-the-catch, and cornerback performance since last season.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love u246.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 239 (Under)
The Green Bay Packers are 3.5-point favorites this week, expected to run the 5th-fewest total plays with 61.8, have averaged 55.2 plays per game since last season, possess the 7th-worst offensive line for pass-blocking, and Jordan Love's Adjusted Completion Percentage has declined from 67.1% to 53.7% this year.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o55.5 Rushing Yards (49%) Projection 64.89 (Over)
The Buccaneers are projected to have the 6th-highest run rate at 46.2% this week, while Green Bay's defensive ends rank as the 8th-worst run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o11.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 18.47 (Over)
The game spread suggests a passing strategy for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs, while the Packers defense has led to opposing teams attempting the 10th-most passes in the league, averaging 33.6 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Kaleb Johnson o29.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 52.73 (Over)
The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite for this week's game, suggesting an implied rushing game script according to 53% at Novig.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love o4.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 7.35 (Over)
The Packers' 4-point favored status suggests a rushing game strategy, with predictive models indicating Jordan Love's projected carry share increasing to 10.6% this week from 4.2% in previous games.
AI Analysis
Emeka Egbuka o39.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 48.98 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -4-point underdogs in a game expected to feature a high volume of passing against a Green Bay Packers defense that has struggled significantly against opposing wide receivers since last season.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o59.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 67.84 (Over)
The Buccaneers are projected to have the 6th-highest run rate at 46.2% this week, while also averaging 58.4 plays per game since last season, and the Green Bay defensive ends rank as the 8th-worst in run defense.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love o4.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 7.35 (Over)
The Packers are favored by 4 points this week, indicating a rushing game script and projecting Jordan Love's carry share to increase from 4.2% to 10.6%.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love u249.5 Passing Yards (56%) Projection 239 (Under)
The Green Bay Packers are expected to call 61.8 plays this week, ranking them 5th fewest among teams, and have averaged 55.2 plays per game since last season while their offensive line ranks 7th worst in pass-blocking, and Jordan Love's adjusted completion percentage has dropped from 67.1% last year to 53.7% this year.
AI Analysis
Cade Otton o24.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 31.55 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -4-point underdogs, indicating a likely pass-heavy game script, while Cade Otton is projected to receive 4.9 targets and has run routes on 84.2% of dropbacks, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
AI Analysis
Kaleb Johnson o8.5 Rushing Attempts (54%) Projection 11.81 (Over)
The Packers are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating an implied rushing game script with a 54% at Novig.
AI Analysis
Cade Otton o24.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 29.81 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -3.5-point underdogs, indicating a potential throwing game script, while the Packers' defense has led to the 10th-most pass attempts against them since last season; Cade Otton is in the 97th percentile for route participation among tight ends, projected for 4.9 targets this week and averaging 26.0 air yards per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love o4.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 7.34 (Over)
The Packers are a 4-point favorite, indicating a rushing game strategy, with a predictive model suggesting Jordan Love's carry share will increase to 10.2% from his current 4.2% in games played.
AI Analysis
Kaleb Johnson o31.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 46.72 (Over)
The Packers are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, suggesting a rushing game script, with 56% at Kalshi Sports.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o13.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 18.14 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -3.5-point underdogs, suggesting a throwing game script, while the Packers defense has led to opponents attempting the 10th-most passes in the league at 33.6 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Cade Otton o24.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 29.81 (Over)
The Buccaneers are 3.5-point underdogs, and the Packers defense has prompted a high passing volume, with Cade Otton running routes on 84.2% of dropbacks and projected for 4.9 targets, ranking in the 80th percentile among tight ends, while averaging 26.0 air yards per game, placing him in the 79th percentile.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o59.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 67.84 (Over)
The Buccaneers are projected to have a 46.2% run rate this week, ranking as the 6th-most run-centric offense, while averaging 58.4 plays per game since last season, and facing a Green Bay DE corps that ranks as the 8th-worst in run defense.
AI Analysis
Tucker Kraft o39.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 47.4 (Over)
The Packers are projected to pass 60.5% of the time, with Tucker Kraft expected to receive 6.1 targets, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs, while accumulating 29.0 air yards per game, placing him in the 81st percentile, and posting 47.0 adjusted yards per game, ranking in the 95th percentile; the Buccaneers have allowed 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to TEs, the 8th-most in the league.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (52%) Projection 0.43 (Under)
The Green Bay Packers, favored by 4 points, are expected to run a conservative game script with an average of 61.8 plays, ranking 9th-fewest in the league since last season with 55.2 plays per game, while their offensive line is the 7th-worst in pass-blocking, against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 10th-best in generating interceptions.
AI Analysis
Christian Watson u69.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 65.55 (Under)
The Green Bay Packers are favored by 4 points this week, expected to run 61.8 plays, ranking them among the lowest in total plays, and have the 7th-worst offensive line for pass-blocking, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% to wide receivers at 62.1% since last season.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: 36%)
The Buccaneers' offense has a significant decline with undrafted rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels, while Bucky Irving is expected to be a key player against the Packers, who allow the highest rate of rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o13.5 Rushing Attempts (55%) Projection 15.81 (Over)
The Buccaneers are projected to have the 6th-highest run rate of 46.2% this week, while Green Bay's defensive ends rank as the 8th-worst in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Tucker Kraft o39.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 47.4 (Over)
The Packers are projected to pass on 60.5% of their plays, with Tucker Kraft expected to receive 6.1 targets, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs, while also ranking in the 81st percentile in air yards, averaging 29.0 per game, and 95th in adjusted yards per game at 47.0, against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs, the 8th-most in the league.
AI Analysis
Bucky Irving o14.5 Receiving Yards (48%) Projection 18.47 (Over)
The Buccaneers are -4-point underdogs in a game expected to feature a passing strategy, while the Packers defense has been a pass funnel, leading to the 10th-most passing attempts per game (33.6) since last season.
AI Analysis
Kaleb Johnson o31.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 46.71 (Over)
The Packers are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, suggesting a rushing game script, with 56% at Kalshi Sports.
AI Analysis
Kaleb Johnson o34.5 Rushing Yards (+105) Projection 46.71 (Over)
The Packers are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, suggesting a rushing game script, with odds of -118 at BetRivers.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (49%)
Jordan Love has thrown two touchdown passes in each of his three games this season, with Green Bay's weak rushing offense facing Tampa Bay's strong rushing defense.
AI Analysis
Christian Watson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 39%)
Christian Watson has become Jordan Love’s primary red-zone target, receiving 42.9% of Green Bay’s red-zone pass attempts and scoring four touchdowns in three games.
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