MLB picks
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Model Picks
13Team Leaders
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
AI Analysis
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (17%)
In September, Jackson Merrill leads the Padres in major categories, notably recording a 19.6% barrel rate and a 59.7% hard contact rate.
AI Analysis
Michael King o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (55%)
The Chicago lineup will face King for the first time, who has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last six starts while limiting opposing hitters to a .295 wOBA and 7.0 barrel percentage.
AI Analysis
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (46%)
Tatis Jr. has a .421 wOBA, .273 ISO, 50.0% hard-hit rate, and .500 slugging percentage against left-handed pitcher Matthew Boyd, who has a 4.52 xERA and 4.45 xFIP against right-handed hitters, making this prop available at +100 in Game 1.
AI Analysis
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (44%)
Crow-Armstrong has a .407 wOBA and .322 ISO against right-handed pitchers, and San Diego starter Michael King's second-half 2.93 ERA significantly contrasts with his 4.12 xERA and 4.24 xFIP.
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