Model Picks
15AI Analysis
Bo Nix o16.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 18.54 (Over)
The Broncos are projected to run 64.8 offensive plays in this contest, ranking 8th for the week, and have averaged 58.4 plays per game, ranking 9th in the NFL since last season.
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle o57.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 69.41 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have a 62.2% pass rate, run 64.8 offensive plays, and rank 9th in the NFL for plays called since last season, while the Los Angeles Rams defense leads in pass attempts allowed, with Jaylen Waddle averaging 51.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o211.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 249.05 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have the 4th-highest pass rate at 62.2% this week, expected to run 65.3 offensive plays, while the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 6th-most pass attempts since last season, and the Broncos' offensive line ranks 6th in QB protection.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (47%) Projection 1.81 (Over)
The game is projected to have the 4th-most plays this week at 129.8, with the Rams having experienced 10 low wind games which may affect their passing volume, while Matthew Stafford has a running efficiency of 6.37 adjusted yards per carry, and Denver's defensive tackles are ranked as the 2nd-worst in the league for run defense.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o33.5 Passing Attempts (52%) Projection 36.86 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have the 4th-highest pass rate at 62.2% and to run 65.3 offensive plays this week, while the Los Angeles Rams defense has been a significant pass funnel, allowing the 6th-most attempts at 34.2 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (46%) Projection 1.8 (Over)
This game is projected to have the 4th-most plays this week at 129.6, the Rams have significant experience in low wind games which may reduce passing volume, Matthew Stafford has a high running efficiency, and Denver's defensive tackles are projected as the 2nd-worst in the league since last season.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o14.5 Rushing Yards (61%) Projection 18.37 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to run 65.2 offensive plays in their upcoming contest, ranking 6th in the league for this week, and have averaged 58.4 plays per game, placing them 9th overall since last season.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams u59.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 54.43 (Under)
Kyren Williams is projected to have a 46.3% carry share in the upcoming game, down from 59.6% since last season, while opposing teams have averaged 97.0 adjusted rushing yards per game against the Denver Broncos defense, ranking 6th-fewest in the league.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford u249.5 Passing Yards (58%) Projection 237.23 (Under)
The Rams rank 10th in the NFL for games played in low wind conditions since last season, which may lead to reduced passing performance and increased running volume, while opposing teams have a 66.9% adjusted completion rate against the Broncos, who have allowed 7.17 adjusted yards-per-target, the 4th-fewest in the league.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o14.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 18.37 (Over)
The Broncos are projected to run 65.2 offensive plays in the upcoming contest, ranking 6th in the week, and have averaged 58.4 plays per game since last season, placing them 9th in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown (Yes: 6%) Projection 0.07 (Yes)
The predictive model anticipates the Los Angeles Rams will have a 59.0% pass rate, ranking them 10th in pass-centricity, while projecting 129.8 total plays in their game, and notes opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos, with Matthew Stafford being a top touchdown thrower at 2.27 per game but ranking poorly in rushing TDs at 0.00 per game.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o14.5 Rushing Yards (61%) Projection 18.37 (Over)
The Broncos are projected to run 65.2 offensive plays in their upcoming contest, ranking 6th highest this week, and have averaged 58.4 plays per game, the 9th most in the NFL since last season.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o199.5 Passing Yards (60%) Projection 248.26 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have the 4th-highest pass rate of 62.2% this week, expected to run 65.3 offensive plays, the 6th-most on the slate, while their offensive line ranks 6th in QB protection since last season, against a Los Angeles Rams defense that has allowed the 6th-most passing attempts.
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle o57.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 69.73 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have the 4th-highest pass rate at 62.2% this week, running 65.3 offensive plays, which is the 6th-most, while ranking 9th in total plays since last season; the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 6th-most pass attempts, and Jaylen Waddle has recorded 51.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him in the 87th percentile among NFL wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams u59.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 54.42 (Under)
The Rams are projected to have the 10th-least run-heavy offense this week with a 41.0% run rate, and Kyren Williams is expected to have a 46.0% carry share, down from 59.6% since last season, while opposing teams have averaged 97.0 adjusted rushing yards per game against the Broncos defense.
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle o59.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 69.73 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have a 62.2% pass rate with 65.3 offensive plays in this week's contest, while the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 6th-most passing attempts since last season, and Jaylen Waddle has recorded 51.0 adjusted air yards per game, ranking in the 87th percentile as a top wide receiver.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford u249.5 Passing Yards (57%) Projection 240.01 (Under)
The Rams rank 10th in "low wind" games since last season, potentially leading to decreased passing and increased running volume, while the Broncos defense has the 6th-lowest completion rate against opposing teams and allows 7.17 adjusted yards-per-target, the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams u13.5 Rushing Attempts (57%) Projection 11.89 (Under)
The Rams are projected to have the 10th-least run-heavy offense this week with a 41.0% run rate, and Kyren Williams is expected to have a 46.0% projected carry share, down from 59.6% since last season.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o224.5 Passing Yards (47%) Projection 248.26 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have a 62.2% pass rate and run 65.2 offensive plays this week, ranking as the 4th-most pass-centric offense and the 6th-most plays on the slate, while their offensive line is the 6th-best in QB protection since last season.
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle Score a Touchdown (Yes: 35%) Projection 0.43 (Yes)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have a 62.2% pass rate this week, ranking them 4th in pass-heavy offenses and 6th in pass attempts near the end zone, while expected to run 65.3 plays on offense, which is the 6th-most this week.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford u249.5 Passing Yards (57%) Projection 239.22 (Under)
Since last season, the Rams rank 10th in the NFL for games played in low wind conditions, which may influence their offensive performance, while the Broncos have allowed a 66.9% adjusted completion rate against them and rank 4th in adjusted yards-per-target allowed at 7.17.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams o49.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 54.4 (Over)
The game is projected to have 129.8 plays, ranking fourth this week, with the Rams playing many low wind games impacting their passing and rushing dynamics; Kyren Williams averages 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game and ranks highly in adjusted yards per carry and yards-after-contact.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o14.5 Rushing Yards (59%) Projection 18.37 (Over)
The Denver Broncos are projected to run 65.2 offensive plays in their next contest, ranking 6th most this week, and have averaged 58.4 plays per game, which is the 9th most in the NFL since last season.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams o49.5 Rushing Yards (57%) Projection 54.4 (Over)
The game is projected for 129.6 plays, ranking fourth this week, with the Rams having played the 10th-most low wind games, impacting their offensive performance; Kyren Williams averages 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, ranks in the 97th percentile for RBs, has 5.86 adjusted yards per carry (91st percentile), and averages 3.35 yards-after-contact (80th percentile).
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle Score a Touchdown (Yes: 34%) Projection 0.43 (Yes)
The Denver Broncos are projected to have a 62.2% pass rate this week, making them the 4th-most pass-centric offense, while also being the 6th-most pass-oriented team near the end zone at 61.0%, and are expected to run 65.2 plays on offense, ranking 6th in the league for plays this week.
AI Analysis
Davante Adams Score a Touchdown (Yes: 44%)
Davante Adams is trading at a 42% probability to score a touchdown against the Denver Broncos on Kalshi, with an adjusted projection of 49% if Puka Nacua is inactive.
AI Analysis
Blake Corum Score a Touchdown (Yes: 26%)
Rams running back Blake Corum is earning more trust from McVay, increasing his snap share, and may have opportunities for red zone carries in Week 3 due to Ronnie Rivers being on IR.
AI Analysis
Matthew Stafford u243.5 Passing Yards (53%)
Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford may face challenges against a strong Denver secondary without key receivers and tight ends, potentially limiting his passing yardage to below 250 yards.
AI Analysis
Davante Adams Score a Touchdown (Yes: 43%)
Matthew Stafford focused on Davante Adams in the previous game despite injuries to other pass-catchers, with Adams achieving 195 yards and two touchdowns, holding a 28% target share.
AI Analysis
Jaylen Waddle o4.5 Receptions Made (58%)
In Weeks 1 and 2, Jaylen Waddle received three targets with one catch for two yards and then ten targets leading to eight catches for 138 yards, making him the most competent receiver the Rams will face so far.
AI Analysis
Blake Corum o49.5 Rushing Yards (49%)
Blake Corum has been the Rams' more efficient runner, and with Denver allowing 5.1 yards per carry and Puka Nacua doubtful, a run-heavy approach is expected, as Corum has surpassed 50 yards in seven of nine games with 10 or more carries.
AI Analysis
Courtland Sutton u17.5 Longest Reception
Courtland Sutton has longest catches of six and 10 yards this season, and with the Rams allowing the NFL's third-lowest explosive-play rate, he may have reduced opportunities to exceed 17.5 yards due to Jaylen Waddle's role.
AI Analysis
Bo Nix o21.5 Passing Completions (52%)
Bo Nix has completed over 22 passes in 23 of 38 career games, utilizing a low-air-yards style that facilitates easy completions, with increased passing volume expected against a trailing Denver offense.
AI Analysis
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: 53%)
Kyren Williams has 50 career touchdowns in the regular season and playoffs and is the Rams' preferred goal-line option, with the potential for increased targets due to Puka Nacua's doubtful status.
AI Analysis
Evan Engram Score a Touchdown (Yes: 20%)
Evan Engram's touchdown odds align with those of Jaylen Waddle and Courtland Sutton, as he can exploit a weak Rams linebacker group while providing a red-zone option for Bo Nix.
AI Analysis
Davis Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: 10%)
The Rams frequently utilize two- and three-tight end sets, and Puka Nacua's potential absence may lead to increased usage of these formations, possibly allowing Davis Allen to receive a play-action goal-line target after his three short-yardage touchdowns last season.
AI Analysis
Davante Adams Score First Touchdown (Yes: 13%)
Davante Adams led the team with 14 touchdown receptions last season, 11 of which were from inside the 10-yard line, and he is trusted by Stafford for contested throws despite facing elite defenders like Patrick Surtain II.
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