NFL NFL picks · Sep 27, 2026 · 3:25 PM
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas

Raiders · Away

35
New Orleans Saints

New Orleans

Saints · Home

27

Model Picks

11
Model
Pick
Result
Nova
Over 43.5
WIN
Helix
Over 43.5
WIN
Cipher
Over 43.5
WIN
Grok
Over 43.5
WIN
Mirage
Over 43.5
WIN
Atom
Over 43.5
WIN
Omega
Over 43.5
WIN
Pulsar
Over 43.5
WIN
Lumina
Over 43.5
WIN
Oxy
Over 43.5
WIN
Beacon
Over 43.5
WIN
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

AI Analysis

NFL

Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: 40%) Projection 0.55 (Yes)

The New Orleans Saints are projected to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 61.2% pass rate, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the red zone with a 61.4% rate, and the highest number of plays run at 133.7 plays, while averaging 60.4 plays per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 54%) Projection 0.71 (Yes)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass on 60.3% of plays in a game expected to have the highest number of plays this week at 132.6, with favorable conditions in a dome and facing a Saints defense that has allowed an 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 55%) Projection 0.71 (Yes)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass on 61.2% of their plays, with a total of 133.7 plays expected in a dome setting against a weak New Orleans Saints pass defense that has allowed an 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: 23%) Projection 0.29 (Yes)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass 60.2% of the time, expect the highest number of plays this week at 133.5, and Michael Mayer is anticipated to receive 23.1% of red zone targets.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o249.5 Passing Yards (56%) Projection 265.84 (Over)

The Saints are the 8th-most pass-heavy team this year with a 60.8% pass rate, and the projected game will have a league-high of 132.4 plays, with the Saints calling 60.4 plays per game since last season, while the Raiders linebackers rank 3rd-worst in pass coverage.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o252.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 282.21 (Over)

The Saints are projected to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 61.2% pass rate and the game is expected to have the highest total of plays at 133.7, while the Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the league at 60.4 per game since last season, and the Raiders' linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst in pass coverage.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o211.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 243.87 (Over)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass 60.3% of the time in a high-play game context with 132.4 total plays, while Kirk Cousins is expected to attempt 37.5 passes, ranking 4th among quarterbacks.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o32.5 Passing Attempts (53%) Projection 36.28 (Over)

The Saints are projected to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team this week with a 61.2% pass rate and the game expected to have the highest number of plays at 133.7, while the Saints have averaged 60.4 plays per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o31.5 Passing Attempts (54%) Projection 35.84 (Over)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass on 60.3% of their plays, with the game expected to have 132.4 total plays, benefiting from dome conditions that enhance passing effectiveness, while Kirk Cousins is forecasted to attempt 37.5 passes, ranking him 4th among quarterbacks.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o20.5 Passing Completions (54%) Projection 23.3 (Over)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass on 60.3% of their plays, the 7th-highest rate this week, in a game expected to have 132.6 total plays, which will be played in a dome, benefiting passing effectiveness, while Kirk Cousins's Adjusted Completion% has improved to 67.6%.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough Score a Touchdown (Yes: 26%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)

The Saints rank 5th in the league with a 63.6% red zone pass rate, and projections indicate their upcoming game will have the highest play count of the week at 132.6 plays, while they have the 3rd-most plays per game since last season at 60.4; both teams' passing efficiency may benefit from optimal indoor conditions, though the Raiders linebackers are 3rd-worst in pass coverage since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)

The Saints rank as the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the red zone with a 63.6% pass rate, and projections for their upcoming game expect the highest total of plays at 132.6, while the team has averaged 60.4 plays per game since last season and both offenses may benefit from favorable indoor conditions, although the Raiders' linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst in pass coverage.

AI Analysis

NFL

Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: 40%) Projection 0.53 (Yes)

The New Orleans Saints rank 5th in the league for red zone passing, with a 63.6% rate, and have called the 3rd-most plays since last season at 60.4 per game, while projections indicate the highest number of plays this week at 132.6, benefiting passing attacks due to calm conditions.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins Score a Touchdown (Yes: 6%) Projection 0.07 (Yes)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass 60.3% of the time, ranking 7th in the league, in a game expected to feature 132.6 plays, with favorable conditions for passing due to being played in a dome.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 53%) Projection 0.71 (Yes)

The Raiders, a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass 60.3% of the time in a dome game expected to have the highest play count of the week, while the Saints' pass defense has allowed an 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 52%) Projection 0.71 (Yes)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass on 60.3% of plays with an expected total of 132.6 plays in a dome setting, while the Saints' pass defense has allowed an 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: 39%) Projection 0.53 (Yes)

The New Orleans Saints rank 5th in red zone passing with a 63.6% rate, expect the highest number of plays this week at 132.6, have run the 3rd-most plays per game at 60.4 since last season, and Chris Olave leads wide receivers with 125.0 air yards per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)

The Saints rank as the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the red zone with a 63.6% pass rate, and projections anticipate the highest number of plays this week at 132.6, with the Saints calling an average of 60.4 plays per game since last season, while both teams' passing efficiency may improve in the dome's calm conditions and the Raiders' linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst in pass coverage.

AI Analysis

NFL

Chris Olave o79.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 84.61 (Over)

The New Orleans Saints rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy team this year with a 60.8% pass rate and have averaged 60.4 plays per game since last season, while projections estimate the highest number of plays this week at 132.4, benefiting passing attacks due to calm conditions.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty o19.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 27.66 (Over)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass on 60.3% of their plays in a game expected to have the highest volume of plays this week at 132.4, with favorable conditions in a dome against the Saints' weak pass defense, which has allowed an 89.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Juwan Johnson o35.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 44.84 (Over)

The New Orleans Saints are the 8th-most pass-heavy team with a 60.8% pass rate this season and have called the 3rd-most plays since last season, with projections for the upcoming game indicating the highest expected plays at 132.4, benefiting both teams' passing attacks due to calm indoor conditions.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o249.5 Passing Yards (56%) Projection 265.84 (Over)

The Saints are the 8th-most pass-heavy team this year with a 60.8% pass rate, and the projected game is expected to have the highest total at 132.4 plays, while the New Orleans Saints have averaged 60.4 plays per game since last season, with favorable conditions for passing but detrimental effects for ground volume, and the Raiders linebackers rank 3rd-worst in pass coverage since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o20.5 Passing Completions (79%) Projection 23.26 (Over)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass on 60.3% of their chances in a game expected to feature 132.4 total plays, while Kirk Cousins has improved his passing accuracy to an Adjusted Completion% of 67.6%.

AI Analysis

NFL

Juwan Johnson o39.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 44.9 (Over)

The New Orleans Saints rank 8th in the league for pass-heavy teams with a 60.8% pass rate and have called the 3rd-most plays since last season, averaging 60.4 plays per game, while projections for their upcoming game indicate the highest expected number of plays at 132.4.

AI Analysis

NFL

Brock Bowers o4.5 Receptions Made (50%) Projection 6.26 (Over)

The Raiders, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass on 60.3% of their plays, ranking 8th among teams, in a game expected to have the highest total of 132.4 plays this week, with favorable conditions in a dome.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tre Tucker o39.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 48.17 (Over)

The Raiders are projected to pass on 60.3% of their plays as a -3-point underdog, with the game expected to have the highest total of 132.4 plays this week, played in favorable dome conditions.

AI Analysis

NFL

Juwan Johnson o34.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 44.9 (Over)

The Saints rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy team with a 60.8% pass rate, and projections for their upcoming game estimate the highest number of plays this week at 132.4, while the team has called the 3rd-most plays since last season, averaging 60.4 plays per game, benefiting from favorable indoor conditions for passing.

AI Analysis

NFL

Juwan Johnson o34.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 44.84 (Over)

The Saints are the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league with a 60.8% pass rate and are projected to participate in the highest-scoring game of the week with 132.4 total plays, while Juwan Johnson ranks among the best TEs with an average of 44.0 adjusted yards per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o211.5 Passing Yards (52%) Projection 243.87 (Over)

The Raiders, as a -3-point underdog, are projected to pass on 60.3% of plays, with Kirk Cousins expected to attempt 37.5 passes, in a game anticipated to have the highest play count of the week at 132.4 plays, played in a dome.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o14.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 24.18 (Over)

The New Orleans Saints are a 3-point favorite, with projections estimating the game will have the highest total of plays this week at 132.4, as they rank 3rd in the league for most plays called since last season, averaging 60.4 plays per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o249.5 Passing Yards (57%) Projection 265.49 (Over)

The Saints are the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league with a 60.8% pass rate, and the upcoming game is projected to have 132.4 total plays, while the Saints have averaged 60.4 plays per game since last season, with favorable passing conditions expected and the Raiders linebackers ranking 3rd-worst in pass coverage since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o14.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 24.18 (Over)

The Saints are a 3-point favorite in a game projected to have the highest play count of the week at 132.4 plays, with New Orleans averaging 60.4 plays per game since last season, ranking 3rd in the league.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o14.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 24.18 (Over)

The Saints, favored by 3 points, are expected to participate in a high-play game projected at 132.4 plays, with the team averaging 60.4 plays per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Devaughn Vele Score a Touchdown (Yes: 25%)

Devaughn Vele has a 95% snap share and 90% route share, with a 20% target share and 12 catches for 133 yards and one touchdown over two games, making him a reliable No. 2 wide receiver in Tyler Shough's offense.

AI Analysis

NFL

Travis Etienne Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: 40%)

New Orleans offensive-minded head coach Kellen Moore will utilize RB Travis Etienne Jr., who signed a four-year, $48 million contract and has 26 career rushing touchdowns and eight receiving touchdowns, including a career-high six receiving scores last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Tyler Shough o14.5 Rushing Yards (54%)

Tyler Shough has rushed for at least 18 yards in six of his 11 career starts, including 23 yards last week against the Baltimore Ravens, and plays for a team with the fourth-highest passing rate in the NFL.

25+ AI Models

See Every Model's Pick

Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.