Model Picks
11AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u2.5 Receptions Made (45%) Projection 2.26 (Under)
Since the start of last season, the Cowboys defense has led opposing teams to play the 8th-slowest pace in football at 30.14 seconds per snap, while the Cowboys offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in quarterback protection, negatively impacting all pass game statistics.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o269.5 Passing Yards (56%) Projection 291.46 (Over)
The Cowboys, as -3-point underdogs, are expected to pass on 66.3% of their plays against a Ravens defense that has allowed an average of 36.3 pass attempts per game since last season, while Dak Prescott has averaged 244.0 adjusted yards per game and ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Jake Ferguson o29.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 38.59 (Over)
The Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs, are expected to pass on 67.4% of their plays in a dome environment with high passing effectiveness, while opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 attempts per game against the Ravens defense, and Jake Ferguson ranks high among tight ends with an average of 34.0 adjusted yards per game.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o263.5 Passing Yards (49%) Projection 316.21 (Over)
The Cowboys, as -3-point underdogs, are expected to pass on 67.4% of plays against the Ravens, who allow an average of 36.3 pass attempts per game since last season, with Dak Prescott performing as one of the top quarterbacks.
AI Analysis
Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%) Projection 0.35 (Yes)
The Cowboys, as -3-point underdogs, are projected to pass 66.3% of the time, ranking them as the 7th-most pass-focused team in the red zone with a 59.8% rate, while averaging 59.4 plays per game in a dome, enhancing passing effectiveness.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o12.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 15.32 (Over)
Since the start of last season, the Dallas Cowboys have run the 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL with an average of 59.4 per game, Dak Prescott increased his share of the team's rush attempts from 8.8% to 15.4%, and the Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst in run defense.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o12.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 15.08 (Over)
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 59.4 plays per game, while Dak Prescott is projected to see an increase in rushing play calls to 14.3% this week, as the Ravens' defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson o249.5 Passing Yards (51%) Projection 250.73 (Over)
The indoor conditions favor passing games, with the Dallas Cowboys defense allowing the 9th-most passes and the highest Adjusted Completion Rate, while Lamar Jackson boasts an 87th percentile efficiency in yards-per-target, and Dallas's defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
CeeDee Lamb u84.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 81.68 (Under)
The Dallas Cowboys are projected to run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this week with 62.8, and their offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in quarterback protection since last season, while the Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks are considered the best in defending pass-catchers during the same period.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u2.5 Receptions Made (44%) Projection 2.26 (Under)
Since the start of last season, the Cowboys defense has led opponents to play the 8th-slowest pace in the league with an average of 30.14 seconds per snap, while the Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks 3rd-worst in protecting the quarterback.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u59.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 52.43 (Under)
The Dallas Cowboys are projected to have a 32.6% run rate as -3-point underdogs, playing in a dome, against a Baltimore Ravens defense that has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted yards per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry Score a Touchdown (Yes: -228) Projection 0.93 (Yes)
The calm indoor conditions may enhance both teams' passing games while limiting rush volume, with the Dallas Cowboys defense allowing the highest Adjusted Completion Rate in the NFL at 75.8% since last season.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u19.5 Receiving Yards (59%) Projection 13.97 (Under)
The Cowboys defense has led opposing teams to play the 8th-slowest pace in the league at 30.14 seconds per snap since last season, while Javonte Williams ranks in the 6th percentile for air yards among running backs with an average of -4.0 per game, and the Cowboys offensive line is rated as the 3rd-worst in the league for quarterback protection since last season.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o274.5 Passing Yards (48%) Projection 316.21 (Over)
The Cowboys are projected to pass on 67.4% of their plays as -3-point underdogs against the Ravens, with the game expected to be played in a dome, increasing passing effectiveness and touchdown potential.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o79.5 Receiving Yards (48%) Projection 82.6 (Over)
The indoor conditions will favor passing efficiency, with the Dallas Cowboys defense allowing 33.5 pass attempts per game since last season, while Zay Flowers is projected to receive 8.9 targets, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs, and holds a 29.7% target share, placing him in the 97th percentile, with an average of 61.0 adjusted yards per game.
AI Analysis
Derrick Henry u88.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 83.11 (Under)
The predictive model indicates that the Baltimore Ravens offense is expected to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football, averaging 29.28 seconds per play, with both teams' passing games likely benefiting from favorable conditions inside the dome.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson u38.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 30.32 (Under)
The predictive model indicates that the Baltimore Ravens offense is expected to be the 7th-slowest paced team, averaging 29.28 seconds per play, with favorable passing conditions in the dome.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u17.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 13.97 (Under)
The Cowboys defense has led opposing teams to play the 8th-slowest at 30.14 seconds per snap since last season, while Javonte Williams ranks in the 6th percentile for air yards among running backs with -4.0 per game, and the Cowboys offensive line is the 3rd-worst in protecting the QB since last season.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson o224.5 Passing Yards (62%) Projection 252.13 (Over)
Both teams' passing games are expected to thrive in the dome's calm conditions, while the Cowboys' defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion Rate in the NFL since last season, and their defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u59.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 52.43 (Under)
The Dallas Cowboys, -3-point underdogs, are projected to have the lowest run rate at 32.6% this week, influenced by their matchup dynamics, and their defense has contributed to opposing teams playing the 8th-slowest pace in football since last season, while the game will be played indoors, favoring passing with higher effectiveness.
AI Analysis
Zay Flowers o71.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 82.6 (Over)
In favorable weather conditions for passing, both teams are likely to experience increased passing efficiency, with the Dallas Cowboys defense being a pass funnel, allowing 33.5 attempts per game since last season, while Zay Flowers is projected to receive 8.9 targets, indicating a 29.7% target share and ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers, alongside a 61.0 adjusted yards per game average.
AI Analysis
CeeDee Lamb u6.5 Receptions Made (47%) Projection 6.12 (Under)
The Dallas Cowboys are projected to run 62.8 total plays this week, ranking 10th fewest in the league, while their offensive line ranks 3rd worst in quarterback protection since last season, and the Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks are considered the best in defending pass-catchers during the same period.
AI Analysis
CeeDee Lamb u6.5 Receptions Made (48%) Projection 6.12 (Under)
The Cowboys are projected to run the 10th-fewest total plays this week with 62.8, their offensive line ranks 3rd-worst in QB protection since last season, while the Ravens have the top-rated cornerbacks for pass defense during the same period.
AI Analysis
Mark Andrews Score a Touchdown (Yes: 41%)
With injuries to Zay Flowers and Ja'Kobi Lane, tight end Mark Andrews has become a key target for the Ravens, playing over 70% of snaps and running the 12th most routes among TEs, with 10 receptions on 13 targets for nearly 100 yards, while facing a Dallas defense that has allowed 11 receptions and two touchdowns to tight ends.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson o35.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Lamar Jackson, a dual-threat quarterback, is expected to perform well against the Dallas defense, which struggles to contain mobile quarterbacks, having allowed the most rushing yards to such players this season.
AI Analysis
Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%)
The writer expresses interest in betting on Jake Ferguson at 3.65x odds after a successful previous week, despite concerns over other players like Lamar Jackson and Rashod Bateman.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 32%)
Lamar Jackson's rushing ability is notable against a Dallas defense that has permitted an NFL-high 126 rushing yards to quarterbacks, having recorded 74 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries.
AI Analysis
CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes: 45%)
CeeDee Lamb has scored three touchdowns in two games and has five catches inside the 20, while Baltimore has allowed touchdowns on 80% of opposing red-zone trips.
AI Analysis
Lamar Jackson o39.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Lamar Jackson is expected to rush for 40 yards against a poor defense, with projections suggesting 6-7 carries that could help him surpass this mark.
AI Analysis
Dak Prescott o25.5 Passing Completions (51%)
Dak Prescott has completed 26 or more passes in 27 of his 30 career regular-season games where he attempted 40 or more passes.
AI Analysis
Javonte Williams u59.5 Rushing Yards (58%)
Javonte Williams averages 3.0 yards per rush, while Baltimore allows 3.6 yards, and Dallas is expected to rely on Dak Prescott, which may limit Williams' carries and contribute to a potential under on his rushing total.
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