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Model Picks
13AI Analysis
Jaxon Smith-Njigba u90.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 85.27 (Under)
The Seahawks are favored by 6.5 points, projected to have a 50.5% pass rate and expected to run only 119.2 offensive plays in the game, which is the lowest among all games this week.
AI Analysis
Marcus Mariota o172.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 190.38 (Over)
The Commanders will start backup QB Marcus Mariota, making them 6.5-point underdogs against a Seahawks defense that has allowed the 4th-most pass attempts in the league since last season.
AI Analysis
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o39.5 Rushing Yards (52%) Projection 58.03 (Over)
The Commanders are projected to have a 45.6% run rate this week, ranking them as the 8th-most run-oriented team, while Seattle's defensive tackles are the 8th-worst in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o39.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 57.04 (Over)
The Commanders are projected to have a 45.5% run rate this week, ranking as the 8th-most run-oriented team, while Seattle's defensive tackles are ranked as the 8th-worst in run defense since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Stefon Diggs o34.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 46.67 (Over)
The Commanders will start backup QB Marcus Mariota, making them 6.5-point underdogs, while Stefon Diggs is projected to receive 6.2 targets and ranks in the 76th percentile among WRs with a 21.5% Target%.
AI Analysis
Stefon Diggs o34.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 47.51 (Over)
The Commanders will start backup QB Marcus Mariota, are 6.5-point underdogs, and face a Seahawks defense that prompts the fourth-most pass attempts in the league, with Stefon Diggs projected for 6.2 targets and a 21.5% Target%, ranking in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
AI Analysis
Jaxon Smith-Njigba u89.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 85.27 (Under)
The Seahawks are favored by 6.5 points and projected to have a 50.5% pass rate, indicating a focus on rushing in a game expected to see only 119.2 offensive plays, the lowest among all games this week.
AI Analysis
Jadarian Price Score a Touchdown (Yes: 41%) Projection 0.53 (Yes)
The Seahawks will start backup quarterback Drew Lock, leading to fewer pass attempts, while the Commanders defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving touchdowns to RBs and ranks as the 4th worst in defending pass-catchers since last season.
AI Analysis
Stefon Diggs o39.5 Receiving Yards (48%) Projection 47.51 (Over)
The Commanders will start backup QB Marcus Mariota, are 6.5-point underdogs, and face a Seahawks defense that allows the 4th-most pass attempts, while Stefon Diggs is projected for 6.3 targets, maintaining a 21.5% Target%.
AI Analysis
AJ Barner o21.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 25.29 (Over)
The Seahawks will start backup quarterback Drew Lock, leading to fewer pass attempts, while the Commanders defense has allowed the second-most adjusted receiving yards per game (70.0) to tight ends and the most adjusted yards-per-target (10.54) in the league since last season, with their safeties ranking as the fourth-worst in defending pass-catchers.
AI Analysis
Emanuel Wilson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 33%)
Emanuel Wilson, who had a significant number of red-zone carries last week, could excel in a positive-game-script scenario with the Seahawks focusing on running the ball, especially since Jadarian Price is dealing with a chest injury.
AI Analysis
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o11.5 Rushing Attempts (51%) Projection 13.73 (Over)
The Commanders are projected to have a 45.6% run rate, ranking them 8th in run-oriented teams this week, while Seattle's defensive tackles are ranked as the 8th-worst in run defense since last season.
AI Analysis
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o84.5 Receiving Yards (53%)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is poised to perform well against a struggling Commanders secondary that heavily utilizes zone coverage, with projections suggesting over 90 receiving yards.
AI Analysis
Emanuel Wilson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%)
In Week 2, Seattle had 40 rushing attempts, with Emanuel Wilson receiving the majority of work with 21 carries while Jadarian Price was sidelined due to a chest injury.
AI Analysis
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o88.5 Receiving Yards (53%)
Smith-Njigba has achieved 277 receiving yards and four touchdowns in two games, surpassing the O/U number in 13 of 17 regular season games last season.
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