MLB MLB picks · Sep 23, 2026 · 5:40 PM
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis

Cardinals · Away

5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh

Pirates · Home

1

Model Picks

9
Model
Pick
Result
Helix
Under 7.5
WIN
Cipher
Under 7.5
WIN
Grok
Under 7.5
WIN
Mirage
Under 7.5
WIN
Atom
Under 7.5
WIN
Omega
Under 7.5
WIN
Ion
Under 7.5
WIN
Lumina
Over 7.5
LOSS
Oxy
Over 7.5
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
Batting Average
2-4, HR, RBI, R, K
AVG
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
Home Runs
2-4, HR, RBI, R, K
HR
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
Runs Batted In
2-4, HR, RBI, R, K
RBI
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
MLB Rating
2-4, HR, RBI, R, K
RAT
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
MLB Rating
2-4, HR, RBI, R, K
MLB
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
Batting Average
3-4, RBI, R, BB, K
AVG
Jose Fermin
Jose Fermin
Home Runs
2-4, R, K
HR
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
Runs Batted In
1-5, RBI, R, 3 K
RBI
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
MLB Rating
3-4, RBI, R, BB, K
RAT
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
MLB Rating
3-4, RBI, R, BB, K
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (29%) Projection 0.43

Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile for overall offensive skill and is positioned 2nd in the batting order, while PNC Park is the 3rd best venue for righty base hits, with Herrera in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability and recorded a .288 Expected Batting Average since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.13

Alec Burleson is projected to have a batting average in the 93rd percentile, bat 3rd in the order, benefit from PNC Park's favorable left-handed BABIP, hold a platoon advantage against Lake Bachar, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs from 92.6 mph to 96 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.59

Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter and will bat 2nd in the lineup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP, while his power is graded in the 84th percentile for expected home runs per 600 plate appearances since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.61

Alec Burleson is projected to have a 93rd percentile batting average, hit 3rd in the lineup, benefit from the 3rd-ranked stadium for left-handed BABIP, have a platoon advantage against Lake Bachar, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs to 96 mph this season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.52

Bryan Reynolds is projected in the 97th percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X, batting 3rd in a matchup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for righty base hits, and has a .343 xwOBA since last season, placing him in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 1.99

Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile for offensive skill and is projected to bat second, with PNC Park ranked 5th for run-scoring, while the Pittsburgh Pirates' outfield defense is projected as the 4th-worst today; Herrera is also in the 92nd percentile for expected wOBA at .367 since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (49%) Projection 2

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, and has improved his speed from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec this season, while PNC Park is ranked 5th in run-scoring and the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is ranked 4th-worst among teams today.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (49%) Projection 2.08

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X and is expected to hit 4th in the lineup, while PNC Park is ranked 5th in the majors for run-scoring and the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is projected as the 4th-worst today, and Walker's sprint speed has improved from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec according to Statcast.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (52%) Projection 1.84

Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in a game at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP and has the 6th-highest altitude, while THE BAT X places him in the 83rd percentile for batting average talent.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.52

Brandon Lowe is projected in the 90th percentile for home run skill and is expected to hit 2nd in the lineup while playing at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP, and has a 29.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season, placing him in the 87th percentile for power.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.08

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill, will bat 4th in the lineup, PNC Park ranks 3rd in the league for righty base hits, the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is projected as the 4th-worst among teams today, and Walker's sprint speed has improved from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec this year.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.55

Bryan Reynolds is projected in the 97th percentile for BABIP ability by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in the lineup, is playing at PNC Park which ranks 3rd for righty base hits, has a .343 Expected wOBA since last season placing him in the 79th percentile for offensive ability, and has the home field advantage in today's game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.13

Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter and is expected to bat 2nd in the order at PNC Park, which is ranked 3rd for left-handed BABIP, while he also grades in the 84th percentile for power according to Statcast data.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (47%) Projection 1.93

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup and is in the 90th percentile for home run skill, with PNC Park being the #3 stadium for left-handed BABIP, while he has an expected 29.300 home runs per 600 plate appearances, ranking him in the 87th percentile for power.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (48%) Projection 1.98

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, and has improved his sprint speed from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 venue for righty base hits and the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is projected as the 4th-worst today.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.53

Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run batter, batting 2nd in the lineup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP, and he is in the 84th percentile for power with an expected 28.100 home runs per 600 plate appearances since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.59

Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter and will bat 2nd today, with PNC Park being a favorable venue for left-handed hitters.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.61

Alec Burleson is projected to have a 93rd percentile batting average, hit 3rd in the order, and benefit from a favorable matchup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP, while facing a pitcher with whom he has a platoon advantage, against a Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense that is projected as the 4th-worst.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.57

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill and is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, with PNC Park ranking as the 3rd best venue for righty base hits, while the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense ranks as the 4th worst today, and Walker's sprint speed has improved from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec.

AI Analysis

MLB

JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.4

JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to THE BAT X, is batting first in today's game, and PNC Park is ranked #3 for left-handed BABIP and has the 6th-highest altitude among stadiums, which typically boosts offensive output.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (65%) Projection 0.89

PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fences and the 7th-deepest among major league stadiums, while Matthew Liberatore holds a handedness advantage over Oneil Cruz in today's matchup, and the St. Louis Cardinals have the 5th-best infield defense, alongside a decrease in Oneil Cruz's average exit velocity from 95.9 mph last year to 93.7 mph this year.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.49

Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th and is in the 83rd percentile for batting average talent, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 stadium for left-handed BABIP and has the 6th-highest altitude, likely enhancing offensive output.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.6

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup and ranks in the 90th percentile for home run skill, while PNC Park is the #3 stadium for left-handed BABIP, giving him home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.42

Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile for offensive skills and is batting 2nd in the order, while PNC Park is the 3rd best venue for righty base hits, and the Pirates' outfield defense is projected as the 4th worst.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.57

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill, is set to bat 4th in the lineup, and benefits from PNC Park's ranking as the #3 venue for righty base hits, while the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense ranks as the 4th-worst and Walker has improved his sprint speed from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.54

Bryan Reynolds is projected in the 97th percentile for BABIP and is expected to bat 3rd in a matchup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for righty base hits, while holding a .343 Expected wOBA since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.43

Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile for overall offensive skill and is slated 2nd in the batting order, while PNC Park is the #3 venue for righty base hits and the Pirates outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst today, with Herrera in the 92nd percentile for expected wOBA at .367 since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.54

The BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile for BABIP ability, ranks PNC Park as the #3 venue for righty base hits, and defines his Expected wOBA at .343, placing him in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

AI Analysis

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.14

Oneil Cruz is projected to be the 18th-best home run batter and will bat 2nd in the lineup at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for left-handed BABIP, while holding a home field advantage and grading in the 84th percentile for power based on Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.58

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, and PNC Park ranks as the 3rd best venue for righty base hits, while the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense ranks as the 4th worst among teams today, and Walker's Sprint Speed has improved from 28.66 ft/sec last season to 29.15 ft/sec this year according to Statcast.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (36%) Projection 1.49

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skills, expected to bat 4th, and PNC Park is the #3 venue for righty base hits, with Walker's sprint speed improving to 29.15 ft/sec and recording a maximum exit velocity of 117.2 mph, placing him in the 99th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (46%) Projection 1.96

Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill by THE BAT X and is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, with PNC Park ranking as the 3rd best venue for righty base hits; he has improved his sprint speed from 28.66 ft/sec to 29.15 ft/sec and has achieved a maximum exit velocity of 117.2 mph, placing him in the 99th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brandon Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (68%) Projection 0.82

PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fences and the 7th-deepest among all major league stadiums, making home runs less common, while Brandon Lowe faces a tough matchup against Matthew Liberatore, and despite a .352 wOBA, projections suggest his true talent wOBA is .319.

AI Analysis

MLB

Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.1

Alec Burleson has a projected batting average skill in the 93rd percentile and is expected to bat 3rd in today's game at PNC Park, which ranks #3 for left-handed BABIP, while he has an increasing average exit velocity of 96 mph on flyballs compared to 92.6 mph last season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (26%) Projection 0.37

PNC Park is ranked as the #3 stadium for left-handed BABIP and has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which typically enhances offensive performance, giving Nathan Church an advantage in today's matchup against Lake Bachar.

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