Model Picks
11Team Leaders
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today and is in the 90th percentile for home run talent, benefiting from a favorable matchup against pitch-to-contact pitcher Andre Pallante and home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.53
THE BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile for BABIP ability and he is batting third in today's game, benefiting from a home field advantage and facing Andre Pallante as a switch-hitter.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2
Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter in MLB, batting 4th today against Andre Pallante, who has a pitch-to-contact profile, benefiting from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.6
Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter in MLB, batting 4th today against pitcher Andre Pallante, who has a pitch-to-contact profile, while Cruz also benefits from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.62
Alec Burleson is projected to be in the 93rd percentile for batting average, batting 3rd in the lineup, with an advantage against opposing pitcher Jared Jones, while facing the worst outfield defense from the Pittsburgh Pirates.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.6
Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball and is batting 4th today, benefiting from a favorable matchup against Andre Pallante who has a low strikeout rate.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.08
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average, is slated third in the batting order, has a matchup advantage against Jared Jones, and will face the Pittsburgh Pirates, whose outfield defense is ranked the worst today.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.57
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in the order, and benefits from favorable conditions against Jared Jones at PNC Park, which is rated 3rd-best for LHB BABIP, while facing the worst outfield defense from the Pittsburgh Pirates.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53
Brandon Lowe, projected in the 90th percentile for home run talent, will bat 2nd today against pitch-to-contact pitcher Andre Pallante, benefiting from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (46%) Projection 1.94
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill, batting 4th today, in PNC Park, which ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for righty BABIP, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have the worst outfield defense; additionally, his Barrel% increased from 13.3% to 33.3% in the past week.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (46%) Projection 1.92
Jordan Walker is ranked in the 91st percentile for offensive skills by THE BAT X, batting 4th today, while PNC Park is the #3 MLB ballpark for righty BABIP and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the worst outfield defense, with Walker's Barrel% recently increasing from 13.3% to 33.3%.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (49%) Projection 1.91
Ivan Herrera is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill, slated to bat 2nd in the lineup, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the lowest outfield defense rating today; Herrera also ranks in the 92nd percentile for expected wOBA at .367 since last season.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, with a 90th percentile home run talent, facing a pitch-to-contact pitcher Andre Pallante, while PNC Park is ranked as the 3rd-best park for left-handed batters' BABIP.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (53%) Projection 2.03
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, with a home run talent in the 90th percentile and an advantage against opposing pitcher Andre Pallante, who has a low strikeout rate.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.38
The BAT X projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, has him batting first in the lineup, and identifies PNC Park as the 3rd-best park for LHB BABIP, with its high elevation potentially increasing offensive output.
AI Analysis
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.54
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, with a 90th percentile home run talent, facing a pitch-to-contact pitcher, Andre Pallante, in a park ranked 5th for run-scoring.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (29%) Projection 0.54
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and has seen an increase in Barrel% from 13.3% to 33.3% and exit velocity from an average of 92.7 mph to 99.1 mph in the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.5
Bryan Reynolds is projected in the 97th percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X, batting third in today's game at PNC Park, which ranks as the 3rd-best MLB park for LHB BABIP and is situated 724 feet above sea level, providing a higher offensive output.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (46%) Projection 1.92
Jordan Walker is ranked in the 91st percentile for offensive skills, batting 4th in today's game, while PNC Park is the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, and over the past week, Walker's Barrel% increased from 13.3% to 33.3% alongside a rise in exit velocity from 92.7 mph to 99.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.38
PNC Park is ranked as the 3rd-best park for left-handed batters' BABIP, is located 724 feet above sea level, and offers home field advantages that enhance hitter stats, with Spencer Horwitz having a 1.41 K/BB rate this year, indicating strong plate discipline.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (45%) Projection 1.91
The BAT X projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile for overall offensive talent, places him 1st in the lineup for this game, and profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park for LHB BABIP, with its 724 feet elevation contributing to higher offensive output while Wetherholt has an advantageous matchup against Jared Jones.
AI Analysis
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (25%) Projection 0.36
THE BAT X projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile for BABIP talent, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for righty BABIP; Saggese has increased his seasonal exit velocity from 90.3 mph to 93.1 mph recently, improved his flyball exit velocity from 89.8 mph to 92.5 mph this season, and enhanced his HR-maximizing launch angle percentage from 19% to 23.5% in the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Jared Jones u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (50%) Projection 5.34
Jared Jones is projected to throw 82 pitches in his matchup, ranking 12th least among pitchers, while PNC Park is the 25th in MLB for strikeouts and has the 6th-highest elevation, potentially increasing offensive performance.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.61
Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best home run hitter in MLB and is batting 4th today, benefiting from the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in a favorable run-scoring environment at PNC Park.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (49%) Projection 2.06
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average skill, batting third in the order, with PNC Park rated as the 3rd-best for LHB BABIP, while his Barrel% increased from 11.1% to 22.2% over the past week.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (26%) Projection 0.41
Ivan Herrera is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X and is expected to bat 2nd, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for righty BABIP; Herrera also ranks in the 92nd percentile for xwOBA at .367 and has a .288 Expected Batting Average.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.06
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average and is batting 3rd in the order, while PNC Park is rated 3rd-best for LHB BABIP, and his Barrel% has increased from 11.1% to 22.2% in the past week.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.57
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average skill and is batting 3rd in the order, with PNC Park ranked as the 3rd-best for left-handed hitters' BABIP, while his Barrel% increased from 11.1% to 22.2% over the past week.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.57
Alec Burleson, projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average skill, is batting 3rd in the lineup and has seen his Barrel% increase from 11.1% to 22.2% in the past week while playing at PNC Park, which is ranked as the 3rd-best park for LHB BABIP.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.52
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill and is batting 4th in today's game at PNC Park, which ranks #3 in MLB for righty BABIP, while his Barrel% increased from 13.3% to 33.3% and his exit velocity rose from an average of 92.7 mph to 99.1 mph in the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.56
Alec Burleson is projected in the 93rd percentile for batting average and is batting 3rd in the lineup, while PNC Park is rated as the 3rd-best for LHB BABIP and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the worst outfield defense today.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.41
Ivan Herrera is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill and is expected to bat 2nd, while PNC Park is ranked #3 for righty BABIP, and he has a .367 xwOBA and .288 Expected Batting Average, both in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (25%) Projection 0.35
Thomas Saggese is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP talent by THE BAT X, PNC Park ranks #3 for righty BABIP in MLB, the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is rated the worst, and Saggese's seasonal exit velocity has increased from 90.3 mph to 93.1 mph, with an improvement in flyball exit velocity from 89.8 mph to 92.5 mph.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker u1.5 Total Bases (68%) Projection 0.88
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest average fence height and the 7th-largest outfield in MLB, with today's temperature expected to drop to 58°, which is associated with decreased offense and increased strikeouts, while Jared Jones benefits from a platoon advantage against Jordan Walker, who may be hindered by playing on the road.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.59
Oneil Cruz is projected to be the 18th-best home run hitter in MLB, batting 4th today and facing pitcher Andre Pallante, who has a pitch-to-contact profile.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.53
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X, is batting 4th today, and has seen his Barrel% rise from 13.3% to 33.3% in the past week, while PNC Park ranks as the #3 ballpark for righty BABIP and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the worst outfield defense among teams today.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (44%) Projection 1.87
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for offensive skill, batting 4th in today's game at PNC Park, which ranks 3rd for righty BABIP, while the Pirates' outfield defense is rated the worst today, and Walker's Barrel% has increased from 13.3% to 33.3% over the past week.
AI Analysis
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (23%) Projection 0.35
Thomas Saggese is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP talent by THE BAT X, PNC Park ranks as the #3 ballpark for righty BABIP, the Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense is rated the worst, and Saggese's seasonal exit velocity has increased from 90.3 mph to 93.1 mph recently, with his flyball exit velocity averaging 92.5 mph this season compared to 89.8 mph last year.
AI Analysis
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (66%) Projection 0.85
PNC Park features the 6th-tallest average fence height and the 7th-largest outfield in MLB, with expected game temperatures dropping to 58°, potentially impacting offensive performance and increasing strikeouts; Oneil Cruz has seen his average exit velocity decrease from 95.9 mph to 93.8 mph this season.
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