NFL picks
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49ers · Home
Model Picks
12AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey Score a Touchdown (Yes: 66%) Projection 1.25 (Yes)
The San Francisco 49ers have the 5th-highest red zone pass rate at 80.0% this year, rank 10th in NFL play volume with an average of 58.3 plays per game, and Christian McCaffrey leads running backs with a 24.2% red zone target rate, 20.0 air yards per game, and a 40.8 weighted opportunity rating since last season.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey Score a Touchdown (Yes: 65%) Projection 1.38 (Yes)
The 49ers have the 4th-highest red zone pass rate at 80.0%, the 10th-most plays called in the NFL at an average of 58.3 per game, and Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs in air yards (21.0 per game), Weighted Opportunity Rating (41.1), and touchdown catches (0.35 per game) last year.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey Score a Touchdown (Yes: 65%) Projection 1.38 (Yes)
The 49ers have the 4th-highest red zone pass rate at 80.0%, average 58.3 plays per game, and Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs for air yards (21.0 per game), WOPR (41.1), and touchdown catches (0.35 per game) last year.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey Score a Touchdown (Yes: 65%) Projection 1.26 (Yes)
The San Francisco 49ers rank 5th in the NFL with an 80.0% red zone pass rate, have the 10th-most plays called with an average of 58.3 per game since last season, and Christian McCaffrey holds a 100th percentile Red Zone Target Rate of 24.2%, averages 20.0 air yards per game, and has a Weighted Opportunity Rating of 40.8.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey o57.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 64.74 (Over)
The 49ers, favored by 13.5 points, are expected to run 48.4% of the time, ranking 4th in the NFL, while averaging 58.3 plays per game, and Christian McCaffrey leads with 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game; the Dolphins have allowed 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, the 2nd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o2.5 Receptions Made (41%) Projection 3.08 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog, while the 49ers defense allows 33.9 passes per game, Greg Dulcich has a 52.4% route participation rate and is projected for 4.6 targets, ranking in the 76th percentile, and has an 83.5% catch rate, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o2.5 Receptions Made (43%) Projection 3.08 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog against the 49ers, who have allowed the 8th-most pass attempts per game since last season, while Greg Dulcich has a 52.4% Route Participation rate and is projected to receive 4.6 targets, ranking in the 76th percentile among tight ends, with an 83.5% catch rate, placing him in the 91st percentile.
AI Analysis
CD Caleb Douglas o38.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 43.81 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most pass attempts in the NFL at 33.9 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o56.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 70.58 (Over)
The Dolphins are projected to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league with a 41.9% run rate, and De'Von Achane is expected to have 16.0 rush attempts this week, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs, while also ranking in the 93rd percentile for receiving 63.2% of his team's rushing play calls since last season.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o22.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 36.07 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most passes since last season, and Greg Dulcich has a 52.4% Route Participation and an 83.5% catch rate, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
AI Analysis
Brock Purdy o13.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.67 (Over)
The 49ers are favored by 13.5 points this week and are projected to rush on 48.4% of plays, while averaging 58.3 plays per game and facing a Dolphins run defense that allows 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o49.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 54.02 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers have the 10th-largest play volume in the NFL, averaging 58.3 plays per game, while Mike Evans is projected to receive 6.4 targets in the upcoming game, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs, and he ranks in the 96th percentile for air yards with an average of 101.0 per game, has a WOPR in the 91st percentile, and has averaged 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis o180.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 196.33 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most pass attempts since last season, and Malik Willis has a 72.1% Adjusted Completion% and averages 10.36 adjusted yards-per-target.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o23.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 36.07 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most pass attempts since last season; Greg Dulcich has a 52.4% Route Participation% and is projected to finish in the 76th percentile with 4.6 targets, ranking in the 91st percentile for tight ends with an 83.5% catch rate.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o49.5 Rushing Yards (61%) Projection 70.27 (Over)
The Dolphins are projected to have a 41.9% run rate, making them the 5th-most run-heavy team, with De'Von Achane expected to have 15.9 rush attempts this week, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs, while he has received 63.2% of his team's rushing play calls since last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile, and averaging 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game and 5.13 adjusted yards per carry, ranking him in the 94th and 89th percentiles respectively.
AI Analysis
CD Caleb Douglas o39.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 43.81 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13.5-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most passing attempts in the NFL at 33.9 per game since last season.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o24.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 33.79 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog against the 49ers, who have allowed the 8th-most pass attempts per game since last season, while Greg Dulcich boasts a 52.4% Route Participation% and ranks in the 91st percentile for catch rate among tight ends.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey u4.5 Receptions Made (49%) Projection 4.13 (Under)
The San Francisco 49ers are favored by 13.5 points this week, projected to have the 4th-lowest pass rate at 51.6% and an anticipated 120.3 offensive plays, while Christian McCaffrey's adjusted completion percentage has dropped from 84.5% to 62.4% and the Miami Dolphins linebackers are rated as the best in pass coverage since last season.
AI Analysis
George Kittle o39.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 43.7 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers rank 10th in NFL plays called since last season, averaging 58.3 per game, while George Kittle is projected to receive 4.8 targets this week, ranking in the 78th percentile among TEs, and has averaged 44.0 air yards per game, ranking in the 95th percentile, with 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, also in the 94th percentile; meanwhile, the Dolphins defense has allowed 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to tight ends, ranking 7th in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey o59.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 64.43 (Over)
The 49ers, favored by 13 points, are expected to run the ball 48.2% of the time, ranking them 4th in the league for this week, while averaging 58.3 plays per game since last season, and facing a Dolphins defense that has allowed 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Brock Purdy o13.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 21.65 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers, favored by 13 points, are projected to run 48.2% of the time against a Dolphins defense that allows 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, the second-worst in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Brock Purdy Score a Touchdown (Yes: 23%) Projection 0.27 (Yes)
The San Francisco 49ers have the 5th-highest red zone pass rate at 80.0% this year, average 58.3 plays per game since last season, and Brock Purdy ranks in the 94th percentile with a 70.7% Adjusted Completion% and a 95th percentile touchdown rate of 1.77 per game, while the Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a 74.3% Adjusted Completion rate, ranking 4th highest in the league.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o24.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 39.1 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most pass attempts in the NFL since last season, averaging 33.9 attempts per game.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o50.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 54.02 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers rank 10th in the NFL for play volume with an average of 58.3 plays per game since last season, while Mike Evans averages 6.4 targets (78th percentile) and 101.0 air yards (96th percentile) per game, along with a WOPR of 59.3 (91st percentile) and 41.0 adjusted receiving yards (75th percentile).
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o24.5 Receiving Yards (62%) Projection 39.1 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most passing attempts in the NFL, averaging 33.9 per game since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Brock Purdy Score a Touchdown (Yes: 23%) Projection 0.27 (Yes)
The San Francisco 49ers have an 80.0% red zone pass rate, making them the 5th-most pass-centric offense, call an average of 58.3 plays per game, while Brock Purdy has a 70.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 94th percentile, and a touchdown ratio of 1.77 per game, ranking in the 95th percentile, while opposing teams complete passes at a 74.3% rate against the Miami Dolphins.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o24.5 Receiving Yards (61%) Projection 39.1 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog against the 49ers, who have allowed the 8th-most passes per game since last season at 33.9.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis o180.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 196.2 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog against the 49ers, who have allowed the 8th-most passing attempts per game since last season, while Malik Willis has excelled with a 72.1% Adjusted Completion% and 10.36 adjusted yards-per-target.
AI Analysis
George Kittle o39.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 44.96 (Over)
Since the start of last season, the San Francisco 49ers have the 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL, averaging 58.3 per game, while George Kittle is projected to receive 5.0 targets this week, placing him in the 81st percentile among TEs, and he has a 21.9% Target Rate, ranking in the 97th percentile, along with averaging 44.0 air yards per game, which is in the 95th percentile; in contrast, the Dolphins defense has allowed 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs, ranking 7th most in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o33.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 40.14 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog against the 49ers, who have allowed opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL since last season, averaging 33.9 attempts per game.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o49.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 54.06 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL since last season, averaging 58.3 per game; Mike Evans is projected to receive 6.4 targets per game, ranks in the 96th percentile for air yards with 101.0 per game, possesses a 59.3 WOPR in the 91st percentile, and averages 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game in the 75th percentile since last season.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o54.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 70.55 (Over)
The Dolphins are projected to have the 5th-highest run rate in the league at 41.9%, with De'Von Achane expected to have 16.0 rush attempts this week, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs, while he has received 63.2% of his team's rushing play calls since last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile, and averaged 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile) and 5.13 adjusted yards per carry (89th percentile) during that period.
AI Analysis
Brock Purdy Score a Touchdown (Yes: 22%) Projection 0.27 (Yes)
The 49ers have the 5th-highest red zone pass rate at 80.0% and the 10th-largest play volume in the NFL at an average of 58.3 plays per game; Brock Purdy boasts a 70.7% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) and a touchdown rate of 1.77 per game (95th percentile), while the Dolphins' defense has allowed a 74.3% Adjusted Completion% (4th highest) against opposing teams.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o33.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 39.1 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog and the 49ers defense has allowed opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL, averaging 33.9 per game since the start of last season.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey o57.5 Rushing Yards (57%) Projection 64.43 (Over)
The 49ers, favored by 13 points, are projected to run the ball 48.2% of the time, rank 4th in rushing attempts this week, and average 58.3 plays per game, while Christian McCaffrey averages 65.0 adjusted yards per game, and the Dolphins allow 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, the 2nd worst in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington Score a Touchdown (Yes: 18%) Projection 0.24 (Yes)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog, while the 49ers defense has allowed the 8th-most pass attempts per game since last season, but opposing teams have scored the 9th-fewest rushing touchdowns against them.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o39.5 Receiving Yards (65%) Projection 54.02 (Over)
Since the start of last season, the San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL, averaging 58.3 per game, while Mike Evans is projected to receive 6.4 targets per game, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers, and he ranks in the 96th percentile for air yards with an average of 101.0 per game and has a 59.3 WOPR, placing him in the 91st percentile, alongside his 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game, which ranks in the 75th percentile.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey u42.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 39.9 (Under)
The San Francisco 49ers are projected as the 4th-least pass-heavy team this week with a 51.8% pass rate, and the game is expected to have the fewest offensive plays at 120.1, while Christian McCaffrey's Adjusted Completion% has declined from 84.5% to 62.4% and his adjusted yards per target dropped from 8.2 to 2.3.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o24.5 Receiving Yards (51%) Projection 33.79 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -13-point underdog against the 49ers, whose defense allows the 8th-most passes per game, while Greg Dulcich has a 52.4% Route Participation and is projected for 4.3 targets, ranking in the 76th percentile among TEs, and he has an 83.5% catch rate, placing him in the 91st percentile.
AI Analysis
Demarcus Robinson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 22%)
Betting on Demarcus Robinson is favorable due to his high snap percentage and increased opportunity after teammates' injuries, positioning him as the best-valued touchdown option.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey o57.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 61.6 (Over)
The San Francisco 49ers are expected to rush on 48.2% of plays this week, marking the 4th-highest rate amongst NFL teams, as they have called the 10th-most plays since last season, while Christian McCaffrey averages 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, and the Dolphins have allowed 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game, the 2nd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Christian McCaffrey o57.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Christian McCaffrey is projected to rush for approximately 63 yards against the Dolphins in Week 2, who ranked 24th in Run Defense DVOA and may be missing two defensive line starters.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Playable at 40%.
AI Analysis
Mike Evans o3.5 Receptions Made (57%)
Playable up to 60%.
AI Analysis
Deebo Samuel Sr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: 31%)
Deebo Samuel led all receivers in red zone targets in Week 1 and faces a favorable matchup against the Miami Dolphins, who allowed three red zone touchdowns last week.
AI Analysis
Deebo Samuel Sr. o33.5 Receiving Yards (55%)
Deebo Samuel caught six passes on seven targets for 48 yards and a touchdown against the Rams, and is expected to perform well against a weak Miami pass defense.
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