NFL NFL picks
NFL· ·
Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas

Raiders · Away

26 – 14
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles

Chargers · Home

Model Picks

14
Model
Pick
Result
Vortex
Under 42.5
WIN
Cipher
Over 42.5
LOSS
Grok
Over 42.5
LOSS
Mirage
Over 42.5
LOSS
Atom
Over 42.5
LOSS
Omega
Over 42.5
LOSS
Vector
Over 42.5
LOSS
Pulsar
Over 42.5
LOSS
Arcadia
Over 42.5
LOSS
Lumina
Over 42.5
LOSS
Oxy
Over 42.5
LOSS
Zephyr
Over 42.5
LOSS
Beacon
Over 42.5
LOSS
Gaia
Over 42.5
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes: 60%) Projection 0.76 (Yes)

The Chargers are projected to have a 58.2% red zone pass rate, making them the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL, and they have averaged 59.5 plays per game since last season, while low wind conditions may enhance passing effectiveness.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton Score a Touchdown (Yes: 58%) Projection 0.76 (Yes)

The Los Angeles Chargers are projected to have the 8th-highest red zone pass rate in the NFL at 58.2% and rank 7th in plays run since last season with an average of 59.5 per game, while the forecast indicates 1-mph wind.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o223.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 232.96 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since last season, averaging 59.5 per game, while Justin Herbert has recorded 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game and the Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a 72.2% adjusted completion rate.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton o59.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 79.19 (Over)

The predictive model indicates that the Los Angeles Chargers are expected to adopt a run-centric strategy with a 47.5% run rate this week, making them the 5th-most run-oriented team, while being a 7-point favorite.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o192.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 203.22 (Over)

The Raiders are a -7-point underdog, projected to have the 8th-most pass-centric offense this week with a 59.6% pass rate, while the Chargers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst in defending pass-catchers since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o223.5 Passing Yards (54%) Projection 232.96 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL with an average of 59.5 per game since last season, while low wind conditions are expected to increase pass volume and touchdown potential; Justin Herbert averages 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game, ranking him in the 80th percentile, and the Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a 72.2% adjusted completion rate to opponents, the 10th-largest rate in the league.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o199.5 Passing Yards (49%) Projection 210.62 (Over)

The Las Vegas Raiders, a -7-point underdog, are projected to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense this week with a 60.1% pass rate, while the Chargers' linebackers are ranked as the 2nd-worst in defending pass-catchers since last season according to ProphetX.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty u28.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 25.1 (Under)

The predictive model forecasts the Raiders to run 62.3 total plays in their upcoming game, marking the 8th-lowest figure this week, while they have averaged 52.8 plays per game since last season, which ranks 4th-fewest in the league, and the Chargers defense has allowed just 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs, the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o192.5 Passing Yards (54%) Projection 204.31 (Over)

The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to have a 59.7% pass rate this week as a 7-point underdog, while the Chargers linebackers are ranked as the 2nd-worst in defending pass-catchers.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton o62.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 80.23 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers are favored by 7 points and are expected to have a 48.1% run rate this week, making them the 6th-most run-centric team, while averaging 59.5 plays per game since last season, ranking them 7th in the NFL.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty u4.5 Receptions Made (62%) Projection 3.4 (Under)

The predictive model forecasts the Las Vegas Raiders to run 62.3 total plays in this game, ranking 8th-lowest this week, while they have averaged 52.8 plays per game, the 4th-fewest in the league since last season, and the Los Angeles Chargers have allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% (75.6%) to running backs.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty u26.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 26.15 (Under)

The predictive model forecasts the Raiders to run 62.4 total plays, ranking 9th-lowest for the week, while they have averaged 52.8 plays per game, the 4th-fewest in the league since last season; opposing teams have attempted just 29.7 passes per game against the Chargers, the 6th-fewest, and the Raiders' O-line is rated 7th-worst in the NFL, contributing to their struggles, as the Chargers defense has allowed only 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs, the 4th-fewest overall.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown (Yes: 18%) Projection 0.29 (Yes)

The Chargers are projected to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line with a 58.2% red zone pass rate, have run the 7th-most plays at 59.5 per game since last season, and Justin Herbert has a touchdown pass ratio of 1.50 per game, ranking in the top percentile.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown (Yes: 17%) Projection 0.29 (Yes)

The Chargers are projected to have a 58.2% red zone pass rate, ranking them as the 8th-most pass-centric team, while averaging 59.5 plays per game since last season, and Justin Herbert is among the top touchdown passers with a ratio of 1.50 per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown (Yes: 17%) Projection 0.29 (Yes)

The Chargers are projected to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line with a 58.2% red zone pass rate, have averaged the 7th-most plays per game at 59.5 since last season, and Justin Herbert ranks among the top touchdown passers with a ratio of 1.50 per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: 27%)

Michael Mayer could be the most-targeted Raider in a high-pressure game against the Chargers, having led the team in target share at 24% and targets per route run at 30% last week.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton o10.5 Receiving Yards (59%) Projection 14.81 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 59.5 plays per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton o62.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 80.24 (Over)

The predictive model indicates that the Los Angeles Chargers, favored by 7 points, are expected to have a 48.1% run rate this week, ranking them as the 6th-most run-centric team, while averaging 59.5 plays per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Omarion Hampton o10.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 14.85 (Over)

Since the start of last season, the Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL, averaging 59.5 plays per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o20.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 30.72 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers are favored by 7 points and are projected to have a 47.5% run rate, making them the 5th-most run-centric team this week, with Justin Herbert expected to have an average of 5.6 rush attempts and 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown (Yes: 16%) Projection 0.3 (Yes)

The Los Angeles Chargers are projected to have the 8th-highest red zone pass rate at 58.2% and have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL with an average of 59.5 per game since last season, while Justin Herbert ranks in the 78th percentile for touchdown passes with a ratio of 1.50 per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Quentin Johnston o50.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 55.84 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since last season, averaging 59.5 per game, while Quentin Johnston has an elite Route Participation Rate of 86.3% and is projected for 6.6 targets, ranking in the 80th percentile among wide receivers, and has averaged 71.0 air yards per game, placing him in the 83rd percentile, along with 46.0 adjusted yards per game, ranking in the 81st percentile.

AI Analysis

NFL

Quentin Johnston o49.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 55.81 (Over)

Since the start of last season, the Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL at 59.5 per game, while Quentin Johnston has an elite 86.3% Route Participation Rate, is forecasted for 6.6 targets this week, ranks in the 83rd percentile for air yards with 71.0 per game, and averages 46.0 adjusted yards per game, placing him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.

AI Analysis

NFL

David Njoku o24.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 29.62 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 59.5 per game, while David Njoku has averaged 23.0 air yards per game, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends, and has seen his Adjusted Completion% improve from 71.0% to 100.0% this season, along with an increase in receiving efficiency to 11.41 adjusted yards-per-target, despite ranking in the 2nd percentile for yards-after-the-catch last year.

AI Analysis

NFL

David Njoku o24.5 Receiving Yards (52%) Projection 29.62 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have the 7th-most plays in the NFL, averaging 59.5 per game since last season, while David Njoku averages 23.0 air yards per game, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends, and has improved his receiving reliability and efficiency this season with an Adjusted Completion% increase to 100.0% and an average of 11.41 adjusted yards-per-target.

AI Analysis

NFL

Quentin Johnston o49.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 55.81 (Over)

Since the start of last season, the Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL, averaging 59.5 per game, while Quentin Johnston has an elite 86.3% Route Participation Rate, is forecasted for 6.6 targets this week, ranks in the 83rd percentile for air yards with 71.0 per game, and averages 46.0 adjusted yards per game, grading out in the 81st percentile.

AI Analysis

NFL

David Njoku o24.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 29.62 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL, averaging 59.5 per game, while David Njoku has averaged 23.0 air yards per game, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends, and has improved his Adjusted Completion% from 71.0% to 100.0% this season, with an average of 11.41 adjusted yards-per-target, despite having a YAC of 0.00 last year.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins Score a Touchdown (Yes: 4%) Projection 0.07 (Yes)

The Raiders are 7-point underdogs, projected as the 8th-most pass-centric offense with a 59.6% pass rate, while Kirk Cousins has a 0.00 rushing TD average, and the Chargers linebackers are ranked as the 2nd-worst in defending pass-catchers since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards (52%) Projection 32.06 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers, favored by 7 points, are projected to have a 48.1% run rate, with Justin Herbert expected to average 5.8 rush attempts and 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o29.5 Passing Attempts (55%) Projection 32.69 (Over)

The Las Vegas Raiders are a -7-point underdog and are projected to have the 8th-most pass-centric offense this week with a 59.6% pass rate.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o29.5 Passing Attempts (52%) Projection 32.69 (Over)

The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to have the 8th-highest pass rate among NFL teams this week at 59.6%, while being a 7-point underdog.

AI Analysis

NFL

Kirk Cousins o29.5 Passing Attempts (52%) Projection 32.69 (Over)

The Las Vegas Raiders are a -7 point underdog in the upcoming game and are projected to have the 8th-highest pass rate among all teams at 59.6%.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o19.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 32.06 (Over)

The Los Angeles Chargers are favored by 7 points and are projected to have a 48.1% run rate, making them the 6th-most run-centric team this week, while quarterback Justin Herbert is expected to average 5.8 rush attempts and has averaged 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since last season.

AI Analysis

NFL

Justin Herbert o20.5 Rushing Yards (53%)

Herbert ran for 29 yards against the Cardinals in Week 1 and has surpassed his rushing over/under in five of his last six games, totaling 41 carries during that period.

AI Analysis

NFL

Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 51%)

Jeanty, who recorded 10 touchdowns in his rookie year, is expected to exceed that total in Kubiak's offense.

25+ AI Models

See Every Model's Pick

Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.