MLB picks
Atlanta
Braves · Away
Houston
Astros · Home
Model Picks
10Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Atlanta Braves
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (48%) Projection 1.97
Isaac Paredes is batting 3rd in the lineup, has a 46.2% flyball rate, and benefits from home field advantage against the league's 2nd-shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (50%) Projection 2.12
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league and will hit 2nd in the batting order today at Minute Maid Park, which favors home runs, while also benefiting from home field advantage against pitcher Grant Holmes.
AI Analysis
Austin Riley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (44%) Projection 1.77
Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, while the Houston Astros have the 2nd-worst infield defense among teams.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.82
Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, will bat 1st today, pulls 34.7% of his flyballs toward shallow left field fences, has home field advantage, and has improved his HR-maximizing launch angle rate to 36.4% over the last week.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.76
Ronald Acuna Jr. is ranked as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball and is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup, while the Houston Astros have the 2nd-worst infield defense, and Acuna Jr. has a 12.6% Barrel% ranking in the 87th percentile this year.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.55
Jose Altuve is projected in the 83rd percentile for batting average skill, will bat fourth in the lineup, pulls 40.8% of his flyballs towards the league's second-shallowest left field fences, and has home field advantage in today's game.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (51%) Projection 2.11
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league, will hit 2nd in the batting order today, has an advantage due to the home field at Minute Maid Park, and will face a pitcher from the opposite throwing hand.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.54
Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X and has a launch angle of 22.6° over the past 14 days, while Minute Maid Park features the league's shallowest left field dimensions.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (38%) Projection 1.51
Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, has a recent launch angle of 22.6°, holds a home field advantage at Minute Maid Park, and sports 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 78th percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.54
Jose Altuve is projected to bat 4th in today's matchup, is in the 83rd percentile for batting average skill, pulls 40.8% of his flyballs (98th percentile), and benefits from home field advantage against the league's 2nd-shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (26%) Projection 0.39
Sean Murphy is projected in the 84th percentile for home run talent, pulls 36.8% of his flyballs, faces a matchup against the Houston Astros with the second-worst infield defense, has increased his Barrel% from 8.8% to 20% recently, and has raised his average exit velocity on flyballs to 100.1 mph from 93.3 mph.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.75
Ronald Acuna Jr. is ranked as the 6th-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd, and has improved his launch angle from 16.1° to 26.6° over the past week, while his estimated true offensive skill is .369, indicating he has experienced bad luck with a .346 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.82
Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors for batting average, will bat 1st today, pulls 34.7% of his flyballs, benefits from home field advantage, and has recently improved his HR-maximizing launch angle rate to 36.4%.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.56
Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, has a launch angle of 22.6° over the past 14 days, and shows a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances, placing him in the 78th percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.58
Isaac Paredes is batting 3rd in the lineup, has a 46.2% flyball rate, benefits from home field advantage, shows an increase in exit velocity on flyballs to 95.5 mph, and has improved his rate of optimizing launch angles to 54.8% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 1.75
Drake Baldwin ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is listed 1st in today's lineup, holds the platoon advantage against Hayden Wesneski, has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and will face the Houston Astros, who have the 2nd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.6
Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 6th among MLB batters according to THE BAT X, is projected to hit 2nd in today's lineup, and has improved his launch angle from 16.1° to 26.6° over the last week, with a .369 estimated true offensive skill compared to his actual .346 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.56
Jose Altuve is projected to bat 4th in the lineup, ranks in the 83rd percentile for batting average skill, pulls 40.8% of his flyballs (98th percentile), and benefits from home field advantage against the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (39%) Projection 0.68
Matt Olson is projected in the 97th percentile for home run talent, will bat 3rd today at Minute Maid Park, which offers the least fair ground for home runs, and faces a favorable matchup against Hayden Wesneski, with the Houston Astros possessing the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.6
Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, is set to bat 2nd in the lineup, has seen an improved launch angle of 26.6° recently, and his estimated true offensive skill is .369, reflecting a .023 disparity from his actual .346 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (55%) Projection 2.12
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league, batting 2nd in the order today at Minute Maid Park, which favors home runs, and will have advantages from facing a right-handed pitcher and playing at home.
AI Analysis
Yainer Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.63
Yainer Diaz's batting average is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X, he has home field advantage today, and in the last 14 days, his exit velocity has increased from 89.1 mph to 94.5 mph, while his rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle has improved to 69% from 48.4%, and he holds a .272 Expected Batting Average since last season, placing him in the 78th percentile.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (22%)
Ronald Acuna Jr is performing strongly in September with a slugging percentage of .672, a 43.6% hard-hit rate, and a 24% home run to fly ball ratio.
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