Model Picks
9Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (64%) Projection 2.72
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has the advantage of playing at Minute Maid Park with shallow fences, will face right-hander Seth Lugo, and benefits from home field advantage, with a 63% projection at ProphetX.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (52%) Projection 2.25
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today, pulls 36% of his flyballs towards shallow left field fences, faces the Houston Astros' 3rd-worst infield defense, has recently improved his exit velocity from 89.1 mph to 93.9 mph, and is estimated to have a true talent wOBA of .325 despite a current .283 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.58
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting 3rd today, benefiting from a platoon advantage against Ethan Pecko, while the Houston Astros have the 3rd-worst infield defense, and Pasquantino has improved his Barrel% from 8.6% to 22.2% in the past week and has a launch angle of 20.1° this season compared to 16.2° last season.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (77%) Projection 2.2
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting third in today's lineup against Ethan Pecko, benefiting from a platoon advantage, while the Houston Astros have the third-worst infield defense among today's teams; he has improved his Barrel% from 8.6% to 22.2% in the past week and has a launch angle of 20.1°, up from 16.2° last season.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (80%) Projection 2.53
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 2nd today, while the Houston Astros have the 3rd-worst infield defense and Witt's exit velocity on flyballs has increased from 91.8 mph to 94.9 mph, despite having a .344 wOBA compared to a projected .383.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (45%) Projection 0.78
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo, and benefit from home field advantage at Minute Maid Park, which has the shallowest fences.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.8
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in today's game, where he pulls 36% of his flyballs and faces the Houston Astros, who have the 3rd-worst infield defense, while showing an improvement in exit velocity from 89.1 mph to 93.9 mph recently.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (67%) Projection 0.79
Christian Walker is projected to bat 7th today, marking a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top half of the lineup this season, while Minute Maid Park is ranked as the 6th-worst stadium for run-scoring and has the 3rd-tallest average fence height, with the roof closed for today's game making it 6° colder than the average outdoor game, which is favorable for pitching, and Walker will face a disadvantage batting from the same side as pitcher Seth Lugo.
AI Analysis
Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.39
Maikel Garcia is projected to have a batting average talent in the 95th percentile and an Expected wOBA of .346, ranking in the 80th percentile for offensive ability, while the Houston Astros have the worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (51%) Projection 2.22
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Minute Maid Park, has a handedness advantage over Seth Lugo, and benefits from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.68
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today, has a high flyball pull percentage of 36%, faces the Houston Astros with the worst infield defense, and has seen an increase in exit velocity from 89.1 mph to 93.9 mph, despite a current .283 wOBA compared to an estimated true talent wOBA of .325.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.76
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today, has a 36% flyball pull rate, faces the Houston Astros with the worst infield defense, shows improved exit velocity of 93.9 mph in the last two weeks compared to his seasonal average of 89.1 mph, and has a .283 wOBA with an estimated true talent wOBA of .325.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.56
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in today's lineup, where he has a high flyball pull rate of 46.2% and benefits from playing in a park with the 2nd-shallowest left field fences, along with a recent increase in exit velocity on flyballs from 90.4 mph to 99.6 mph and an improved launch angle rate of 71.4% compared to his seasonal average of 41.9%.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (49%) Projection 2.03
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 2nd in today's game, and has seen a rise in exit velocity on flyballs from 91.8 mph to 94.9 mph, while his .344 wOBA contrasts with a projected .383 true talent level.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.68
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today, has a high flyball pull percentage of 36%, faces the Houston Astros with the 13th-worst infield defense, recently improved his exit velocity from 89.1 mph to 93.9 mph, and is estimated by THE BAT X to have a true talent wOBA of .325 despite a current wOBA of .283.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (18%)
The Kansas City catcher should be priced around 20.5% (4.9x), while Houston's Ethan Pecko, a no-name bulk pitcher with a 4.94 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, has given up five home runs in 23 big-league innings this season.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.65
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 2nd in today's game, and has seen an increase in exit velocity on flyballs from 91.8 mph to 94.9 mph over the last two weeks, while having a .344 wOBA compared to a projected .383.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.76
Salvador Perez is set to bat 4th in today's game, where he has a high flyball pull rate and will face the Houston Astros' 13th-worst infield defense, while also showing improved exit velocity and a projected wOBA that suggests he has been unlucky this season.
AI Analysis
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.66
The BAT X projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile for home run talent, expects him to bat 3rd in today's game against the Houston Astros, who have the 13th-worst infield defense, while noting his average exit velocity has improved from 89.4 mph last season to 93.1 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.66
Jac Caglianone is projected in the 84th percentile for home run talent, will bat 3rd in the lineup, has a matchup advantage against Miguel Ullola, and has shown improved exit velocity this season with an average of 93.1 mph compared to 89.4 mph last season, while the Houston Astros have the 13th-worst infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.61
Jac Caglianone is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup and is in the 84th percentile for home run talent, facing a Houston Astros team with the 13th-worst infield defense, while also showing improved exit velocity this season at an average of 93.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (43%) Projection 0.78
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo, and will play at Minute Maid Park, which has the shallowest fences, providing him with home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.69
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting 5th today against Miguel Ullola, benefiting from a platoon advantage, while the Houston Astros have the 14th-worst infield defense, and his Barrel% has increased to 22.2% over the past week, with a launch angle of 20.1° this season compared to 16.2° last season.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.55
Christian Walker is projected in the 89th percentile for home run ability by THE BAT X, and he benefits from home field advantage at Minute Maid Park, which has the shallowest left field fences in the league.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 2.03
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter by THE BAT X, expected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, while the Houston Astros have the 14th-worst infield defense and he has shown increased exit velocity on flyballs recently.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.64
Carter Jensen is projected to have a 90th percentile home run ability, will bat 1st today at Minute Maid Park, which has the shallowest fences, holds a platoon advantage against Miguel Ullola, and faces the 14th-worst infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (42%) Projection 0.78
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Minute Maid Park, has a handedness advantage over Seth Lugo, and benefits from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.65
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter by THE BAT X and is expected to hit 2nd in today's game, while the Houston Astros have the 14th-worst infield defense and Witt's recent exit velocity on flyballs has increased from 91.8 mph to 94.9 mph, despite a .344 wOBA compared to a projected .383.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (51%) Projection 2.21
Yordan Alvarez is ranked as the 2nd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo, and will benefit from the home field advantage at Minute Maid Park, which has the shallowest fences.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.68
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in today's game, where he hits a high percentage of flyballs towards the 2nd-shallowest left field fences, while the Houston Astros have the 14th-worst infield defense, and his recent exit velocity has improved to 93.9 mph compared to his seasonal average of 89.1 mph, despite having a .283 wOBA this year, indicating he may have been unlucky.
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