Model Picks
8Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.54
THE BAT X projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile for batting average, is set to hit 1st in the lineup, pulls 41% of his flyballs toward the league's 2nd-shallowest left field fences, and has the advantage of home field in today's game.
AI Analysis
Michael Massey o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.41
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, where he will have a platoon advantage against Hunter Brown, a flyball pitcher.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.8
Jeremy Pena is projected to have a 97th percentile batting average, bat 2nd in today's game, pull 34.7% of his flyballs towards the 2nd-shallowest LF fences, and benefit from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (17%) Projection 0.21
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball and is expected to hit 2nd in the batting order, particularly effective against flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o1.5 Total RBIs (15%) Projection 0.52
The BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 88th percentile for home run ability, while Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions, and he will have home field advantage today with a 34% projection at ProphetX.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th today, has a matchup advantage against Michael Wacha, and benefits from home field advantage, with a 34% projection at ProphetX.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.58
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today and has a high flyball pull percentage of 36.1%, which aligns well with the park's dimensions.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.48
Jeremy Pena is projected to have a 97th percentile batting average, bat 2nd in today's game, pull 34.7% of his flyballs, and benefit from home field advantage with favorable conditions.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.62
THE BAT X projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB for batting average talent, and he is expected to hit 2nd in the batting order against Hunter Brown, a flyball pitcher, which benefits batters with groundball tendencies.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.48
Jeremy Pena, projected to bat 2nd in today's game, has a talent level in batting average at the 97th percentile and pulls 34.7% of his flyballs, benefiting from a home field advantage and an increase in exit velocity from 88.4 mph to 90.5 mph over the past week.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.55
Christian Walker is projected in the 88th percentile for home run ability by THE BAT X, will benefit from home field advantage at Minute Maid Park with its shallow left field, and has improved his Barrel% from 9.1% to 16.7% while increasing his launch angle from 14.1° to 22° over the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (13%) Projection 0.16
Daulton Varsho is projected in the 78th percentile for home run skill, will bat 4th in today's lineup, has an advantage against Michael Wacha due to batting from the opposite side, benefits from home field advantage, and has an increased exit velocity on flyballs averaging 100 mph over the last 7 days compared to his seasonal average of 89.8 mph.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (15%) Projection 0.21
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball according to THE BAT X and is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, showing improved exit velocity on flyballs and an increased rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.53
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in today's game, where he has a high flyball percentage and will benefit from home field advantage, improved exit velocity on flyballs, and a better launch angle compared to his seasonal stats.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.61
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, has a flyball pull rate of 36.1%, a recent exit velocity of 93.4 mph, a 55.6% rate of maximizing base hit launch angles, and a .282 wOBA despite a projected true talent level of .322.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 2.04
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB for batting average, is expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, and has increased his flyball exit velocity from 91.8 mph to 94.1 mph in the last week, while his .345 wOBA contrasts with a projected talent level of .381 according to THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.58
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today and has shown improvements in exit velocity and launch angle while facing favorable conditions at the park.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.61
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB based on batting average talent, expected to hit 2nd in the order, and has increased his exit velocity on flyballs, showing a .036 deviation between his .345 wOBA and the estimated .381 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (49%) Projection 2.03
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball and will bat 2nd in the lineup, benefiting from the small outfield of Minute Maid Park, a handedness advantage against Michael Wacha, and home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (70%) Projection 0.82
Christian Walker is projected to bat 7th in the order, down from his 77% rate in the top-half this season, while facing disadvantages at Minute Maid Park and against the Kansas City Royals' strong infield defense.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.8
Jeremy Pena is projected to have a batting average in the 97th percentile, bat 1st in today's game, pull 34.7% of his flyballs, benefit from home field advantage, and has increased his exit velocity from 88.4 mph to 90.5 mph over the past week.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.52
Christian Walker is in the 88th percentile for home run projection according to THE BAT X, with Minute Maid Park featuring the shallowest left field dimensions, and he has improved his Barrel% from 9.1% to 16.7% recently, while his launch angle has increased from 14.1° to 22° over the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.55
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup and has a high flyball percentage of 46.2%, with favorable conditions as he plays at home against the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences, experiencing improved exit velocity on flyballs and a better launch angle compared to his seasonal averages.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 2.07
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball and is expected to bat 2nd in today's matchup at Minute Maid Park, which has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball, benefiting his home field advantage and notable increase in exit velocity on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (16%) Projection 0.18
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th today, with a home run skill rating in the 88th percentile, a 36.1% pull rate on flyballs (87th percentile), an increased exit velocity of 93.4 mph over the past week, and an estimated true talent level wOBA of .322 compared to his current wOBA of .282.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (18%) Projection 0.21
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball, batting 2nd in the lineup, and has shown improvements in exit velocity and launch angle in recent matches.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.71
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, batting second in the lineup, benefiting from Minute Maid Park's small outfield and recent improvements in exit velocity, with an average of 105.2 mph on flyballs in the last week.
AI Analysis
Hunter Brown o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (51%) Projection 6.31
Hunter Brown ranks in the 84th percentile for strikeouts among all major league starting pitchers, averages 95.7 adjusted pitches per start (95th percentile), and will pitch at Minute Maid Park, known for its favorable strikeout conditions, with the roof closed making temperatures 5° cooler than average.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.51
Carter Jensen is projected in the 90th percentile for home run talent, is batting 1st in today's lineup at Minute Maid Park, which has the smallest outfield in the majors, and has an advantage in his matchup against groundball pitcher Hunter Brown due to his flyball hitting profile.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 2.05
The BAT X projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB for batting average, batting 2nd in the lineup against a Houston Astros team with the 4th-worst infield defense, and he has recently increased his flyball exit velocity from 91.8 mph to 94.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (41%) Projection 0.71
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, batting 2nd in the order against Michael Wacha at Minute Maid Park, which favors home runs.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.8
Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in today's game, with a batting average talent in the 97th percentile, a flyball pull percentage of 34.7% (80th percentile), and an increased exit velocity of 90.5 mph over the past week, benefiting from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (67%) Projection 0.85
The BAT X projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile for BABIP skill, while Minute Maid Park is ranked 6th for suppressing offensive stats, has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB, its elevation is near sea-level, and the closed roof today will result in a game temperature 5° colder than average, benefiting pitchers.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.54
Jose Altuve is projected to have an 83rd percentile batting average, hit 4th in the lineup, pull 41% of his flyballs toward the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences, benefit from home field advantage, and has a recent launch angle of 24.3° compared to his seasonal 10.6°.
AI Analysis
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (35%) Projection 1.61
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th today, has a high flyball pull rate of 36.1%, faces the Astros' 4th-worst infield defense, and has recently increased his exit velocity to 93.4 mph while improving his launch angle success rate to 55.6%.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (68%) Projection 0.82
Isaac Paredes is projected in the 2nd percentile for BABIP skill according to THE BAT X, while Minute Maid Park ranks as the #6 field for suppressing offensive stats, has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB, is near sea-level which typically reduces offensive output, and will have its roof closed today, making temperatures -5° colder than average, which benefits pitching.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (38%) Projection 1.5
Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st today at Minute Maid Park, which has the smallest outfield in MLB, and he ranks in the 90th percentile for home run talent, facing off against groundball pitcher Hunter Brown.
AI Analysis
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.5
Jac Caglianone ranks in the 85th percentile for home run ability, is batting 3rd in today's lineup, has a handedness advantage against Hunter Brown, and faces the Houston Astros, who have the worst infield defense, while also showing a significant increase in exit velocity from 89.4 mph to 93.1 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.48
Vinnie Pasquantino is batting 5th in today's game, has a platoon advantage against Hunter Brown, and has improved his Barrel% from 8.3% to 13.5% recently, while his launch angle has increased from 16.2° to 20.1°, with the Houston Astros having the 4th-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (67%) Projection 0.83
Isaac Paredes ranks in the 2nd percentile for BABIP skill according to THE BAT X, while Minute Maid Park, known for suppressing offensive stats and having the 3rd-highest fences in MLB, will have its roof closed, resulting in a temperature -5° colder than average, which is favorable for pitching.
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