Model Picks
8Team Leaders
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.97
Pete Alonso is ranked as the 15th-best hitter in MLB according to THE BAT X and is batting 2nd in the lineup against Sean Manaea, who has a significant platoon split, while playing at Citi Field, which has the shallowest CF fences in the league.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.64
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball and is batting 2nd in today's lineup against a pitcher from the opposite side, while facing the shallowest center field fences and a Baltimore Orioles outfield defense ranked as the 5th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.55
Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X, will bat 3rd in today's game, and enjoys home field advantage at Citi Field, where the Orioles' outfield defense ranks as the 5th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (53%) Projection 2.32
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, batting 2nd in today's lineup against Shane Baz, with an advantage due to his tendency to hit flyballs to center field and facing an opponent with the 5th-weakest outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.58
Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent, is projected to bat 4th against Sean Manaea, has a favorable platoon matchup, pulls a high percentage of flyballs, and recently improved his HR-optimizing launch angle to 40%.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (46%) Projection 2
Pete Alonso is projected as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, batting 2nd in the lineup today, benefiting from a platoon advantage against Sean Manaea, while showing an improved launch angle of 26.5° in recent games.
AI Analysis
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.55
Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors and will bat 3rd in today's game, held at Citi Field, which has the shallowest CF fences, while the Baltimore Orioles' outfield defense is ranked 5th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.5
Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 1st, and will have home field advantage at Citi Field, where the CF fences are shallow, while the Baltimore Orioles have the 5th-weakest outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.56
Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile for home run capability according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd today despite primarily hitting in the back-half of the order, holds a platoon advantage against Sean Manaea, and has seen his Barrel% increase from 13.1% to 25% over the last 7 days.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.7
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball and is batting 2nd in today's lineup against Shane Baz, facing the game's shallowest center field fences while the Baltimore Orioles outfield defense ranks as the 5th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.51
Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th in the lineup and has a 90th percentile BABIP skill, a 94th percentile opposite-field flyball rate, and will face the 5th-weakest outfield defense from the Baltimore Orioles.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (39%) Projection 0.62
Pete Alonso is ranked as the 15th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X, is batting 2nd in the lineup, is benefiting from a platoon advantage against Sean Manaea, and has recently improved his launch angle to 26.5°.
AI Analysis
Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.46
Marcus Semien has a high flyball pull rate at 39%, will hit towards the 4th-shallowest left field fences, faces the 5th-weakest outfield defense from the Baltimore Orioles, has increased his launch angle to 26.7° recently, holds home field advantage, and has a projected true talent wOBA significantly higher than his current .278 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.58
Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent, is projected to hit 4th in the batting order, has a favorable matchup against Sean Manaea with significant platoon splits, and shows improved recent performance with a 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle.
AI Analysis
Jeremiah Jackson o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.37
Citi Field has the shallowest center field fences in the league, giving Jeremiah Jackson an advantage against Sean Manaea's significant platoon split, with odds of 28% at Novig.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.65
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball and is batting 2nd in today's lineup, facing a favorable matchup against Shane Baz and the Baltimore Orioles' weak outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.51
The BAT X projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile for BABIP skill and he is expected to bat fourth in the lineup against Shane Baz, with a notable advantage due to his high opposite-field flyball rate and the weakness of the Baltimore Orioles outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (24%) Projection 0.32
Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the league, and Carlos Narvaez benefits from a large platoon split against Sean Manaea, with an improved HR-optimizing launch angle of 20.7%, while his projected offensive talent is .285 compared to his actual .221 wOBA, and he ranks in the 78th percentile for average exit velocity at 90.2 mph.
AI Analysis
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 1.66
Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile for home run ability, is projected to bat 3rd today after spending 64% of the season in the back-half of the order, will benefit from a 9.2-mph wind blowing out to left field, and holds a platoon advantage against Sean Manaea, who has a significant platoon split, while Mayo also pulls 40.3% of his flyballs.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (26%)
Pete Alonso has a strong power profile against left-handed pitching, with a .565 SLG and .261 ISO over his last 30 at-bats, making him a key target against Sean Manaea, who has struggled against right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.71
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball according to THE BAT X, batting 2nd in today's lineup with favorable wind conditions for left field and advantageous matchup factors against Shane Baz.
AI Analysis
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.69
Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent, has primarily batted in the lower part of the order this season, is projected to hit 4th today, benefits from favorable wind conditions and a platoon advantage against Sean Manaea, who has a significant platoon split, and pulls 36.1% of his flyballs towards the 4th-shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (29%) Projection 0.46
Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X projection system and is playing at home against a Baltimore Orioles team with weak outfield defense, with favorable wind conditions and shallow center field fences for flyballs.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.63
Pete Alonso is ranked as the 15th-best hitter in MLB according to THE BAT X, is batting 2nd in the lineup, and benefits from favorable conditions at Citi Field with shallow CF fences and wind blowing out to LF at 9.2 mph, while facing Sean Manaea who has a significant platoon split.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (48%) Projection 1.97
Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB according to THE BAT X and is set to bat 2nd in the lineup for a game at Citi Field, where the wind is expected to blow out to left field at 9.2 mph, which is favorable for batters.
AI Analysis
Jeremiah Jackson u1.5 Total Bases (68%) Projection 0.79
Jeremiah Jackson is batting 7th in today's game at Citi Field, which ranks 28th for righty BABIP, has low elevation for poorer offense, favorable weather conditions for pitching, and typically results in lower batter stats due to being on the road.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.63
Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile for overall offensive talent and is projected to bat 1st in today's game at Citi Field, where the CF fences are shallow and the wind is blowing out to LF at 9.2 mph.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (40%) Projection 0.89
Citi Field ranks #28 in MLB for lefty BABIP and has a near sea-level elevation, contributing to lower offensive performance, while today's weather forecast indicates optimal conditions for pitching; Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from 98.7 mph last season to 95.5 mph this year, and his launch angle has also dropped from 15.5° to 9.3° over the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.46
Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, faces favorable wind conditions for hitting, has a high percentage of flyballs to center field, enjoys home field advantage, and has improved his exit velocity from 90.5-mph to 100.1-mph over the past week.
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