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13AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o69.5 Rushing Yards (52%) Projection 76.08 (Over)
The predictive model forecasts the Miami Dolphins to have a 47.0% run rate, ranking them as the 3rd-most run-centric team this week, with De'Von Achane projected to have 17.2 carries, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs and reflecting his 62.9% share of team carries last year (93rd percentile), alongside generating 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile) and an average of 5.16 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile).
AI Analysis
Tre Tucker o45.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 51.35 (Over)
The Raiders are likely to run more and pass less against the Dolphins due to backup quarterback Kirk Cousins starting, in a dome with ideal conditions for passing.
AI Analysis
Brock Bowers u62.5 Receiving Yards (47%) Projection 56.81 (Under)
The Las Vegas Raiders are favored by 3 points, with projections indicating a 56.3% passing rate and an expected total of 60.6 plays this week, which is the lowest in the slate.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane Score a Touchdown (Yes: 47%) Projection 0.8 (Yes)
De'Von Achane had an 18.6% Red Zone Target Share and a 3.0 air yards per game last year, ranking in the 97th and 94th percentiles among running backs, respectively, while also achieving a 32.1 WOPR and a receiving TD rate of 0.22 per game, placing him in the 99th and 93rd percentiles.
AI Analysis
Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: 61%) Projection 0.74 (Yes)
The Raiders are likely to run the ball more with backup quarterback Kirk Cousins in a dome, where passing is boosted, while the Dolphins have allowed a high completion percentage and touchdowns to running backs.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane u27.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 26.24 (Under)
The predictive model estimates the Dolphins will pass on 53.3% of opportunities, the 4th-lowest rate this week, with a projected total of 121.8 plays, while Miami averaged 51.7 plays per game last year, and opposing quarterbacks had the 6th-fewest attempts against the Raiders at 29.5 per game, with De'Von Achane ranking in the bottom tier for yards-after-the-catch at 0.00 yards.
AI Analysis
Kirk Cousins o199.5 Passing Yards (57%) Projection 227.17 (Over)
The Raiders are expected to rely more on the run game with backup quarterback Kirk Cousins in a dome environment, where opposing QBs had a 74.6% completion rate against the Dolphins, who struggled defensively with an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year.
AI Analysis
Tre Tucker o39.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 43.43 (Over)
The Raiders are likely to rely more on their running game due to backup quarterback Kirk Cousins starting, in a dome environment that favors passing effectiveness, while the Miami Dolphins defense has struggled with yards-after-the-catch against wide receivers.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis u39.5 Rushing Yards (51%) Projection 35.9 (Under)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog, with a predictive model suggesting the game will feature the lowest play volume of the week at 122.0 plays, and Miami averaged only 51.7 plays per game last year.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o24.5 Receiving Yards (57%) Projection 33.57 (Over)
The Dolphins' status as -3.5-point underdogs suggests a passing game script, benefiting from ideal conditions for both teams' passing offenses, while projections indicate Greg Dulcich will receive around 4.3 targets, ranking in the 79th percentile for tight ends with a strong 12.9% Target Rate and 9.3% share of his team's air yards last year.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o26.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 33.57 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script, and both teams' passing offenses are expected to perform well in the dome's calm conditions, while run volume may decline; Greg Dulcich is projected for 4.3 targets, ranking in the 79th percentile for tight ends, and had a 12.9% target rate last year, also ranking in the 76th percentile for air yards.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o68.5 Rushing Yards (55%) Projection 76.08 (Over)
The Miami Dolphins are projected to have a 47.0% run rate, making them the 3rd-most run-centric team this week, while De'Von Achane is forecasted for 17.2 carries, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs, and he accounted for 62.9% of his team's carries last year, ranking in the 93rd percentile, with an average of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile) and 5.16 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile).
AI Analysis
Malik Willis o174.5 Passing Yards (59%) Projection 194.55 (Over)
The Dolphins are -3.5-point underdogs, indicating a likely passing game script, with favorable conditions for both teams' passing offenses inside the dome, while Malik Willis recorded an 86.6% Adjusted Completion% last year, and the Raiders defense allowed opposing QBs a 73.2% completion rate and the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Kirk Cousins o207.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 227.17 (Over)
The Raiders are likely to run more and pass less in their upcoming game due to starting backup quarterback Kirk Cousins, while facing a Dolphins defense that allowed a 74.6% adjusted completion rate and the highest average yards-after-the-catch last year.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o27.5 Receiving Yards (50%) Projection 30.52 (Over)
The calm conditions inside the dome are likely to enhance the passing offenses of both teams, while the Raiders' pass defense allowed the third-highest adjusted completion percentage (69.3%) and the most yards-after-the-catch to opposing wide receivers last year.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o24.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 29.09 (Over)
Passing offenses are expected to benefit from calm conditions in the dome, while De'Von Achane is projected to average 5.4 targets in this week's game, ranking in the 97th percentile for RBs with a 20.6% target share last year and averaging 27.0 adjusted yards per game.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane o69.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 76.08 (Over)
The predictive model indicates that the Miami Dolphins will have a 47.0% run rate this week, with De'Von Achane projected for 17.2 carries, placing him in the 95th percentile for RBs, and he received 62.9% of his team's carries last year, ranking in the 93rd percentile, while generating 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile) and averaging 5.16 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile).
AI Analysis
Kirk Cousins o0.5 Rushing Yards (47%) Projection 2.56 (Over)
The Raiders are favored by 3 points, with projections indicating they will have a run-heavy approach at a 43.7% run rate, as opposing offenses averaged 136 adjusted yards per game against the Dolphins defense last year.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis u39.5 Rushing Yards (52%) Projection 35.9 (Under)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog this week, with expectations for the lowest volume of plays at 122.0, following last year's average of 51.7 plays per game, amid optimal passing conditions in a dome.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane Score a Touchdown (Yes: 46%) Projection 0.63 (Yes)
The Dolphins are -3.5-point underdogs this week, indicating a passing game script, with both teams' passing offenses expected to thrive in favorable indoor conditions, while De'Von Achane features prominently in the passing attack, holding an 18.6% Red Zone Target Share, 3.0 air yards per game, and a 32.1 Weighted Opportunity Rating, placing him in the 97th and 99th percentiles among running backs, respectively.
AI Analysis
Jack Bech Score a Touchdown (Yes: 10%)
Jack Bech is the No. 3 receiver behind Tre Tucker and Jalen Nailor, projected for a few catches and 23 yards, making his pricing as a WR5 questionable.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis Score a Touchdown (Yes: 25%) Projection 0.32 (Yes)
The passing offenses of both teams may thrive due to the calm conditions in the dome, while Malik Willis, with an 86.6% Adjusted Completion%, is noted as one of the league's most accurate passers, and opposing QBs had a 73.2% completion rate against the Las Vegas Raiders last year.
AI Analysis
Greg Dulcich o24.5 Receiving Yards (59%) Projection 33.44 (Over)
In a calm indoor environment, passing offenses are expected to thrive while running volume may decline, with Greg Dulcich projected to receive 4.2 targets, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends; he recorded a 12.9% target rate (79th percentile), accumulated 9.3% of his team's air yards (76th percentile), and achieved an 82.7% adjusted completion percentage (91st percentile) last year.
AI Analysis
Kirk Cousins o207.5 Passing Yards (50%) Projection 227.17 (Over)
The Raiders are expected to run the ball more due to starting backup quarterback Kirk Cousins in a dome with favorable passing conditions, while the Dolphins defense allowed the third-highest completion rate and yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL last year.
AI Analysis
Michael Mayer o39.5 Receiving Yards (50%) Projection 43.2 (Over)
The Raiders are likely to run the ball more with backup quarterback Kirk Cousins starting, while tight end Michael Mayer is projected for 6.2 targets, indicating a rise to 20.0% of the team's targets, against a Dolphins defense that allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to tight ends last year.
AI Analysis
Brock Bowers u69.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 63.56 (Under)
The Raiders are projected to run the fewest total plays this week at 59.9, following last year's average of 52.4 plays per game, the fourth-lowest in the league.
AI Analysis
Ashton Jeanty u59.5 Rushing Yards (92%) Projection 51.87 (Under)
The Raiders are expected to pass less and run more in their upcoming game, starting backup quarterback Kirk Cousins, with projections indicating they will run the fewest plays in the league at 60.7.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o24.5 Receiving Yards (59%) Projection 30.78 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog this week, which suggests a passing game script, while both teams' passing offenses are expected to perform well in calm indoor conditions, and the Raiders' pass defense allowed a 69.3% Adjusted Completion% and the most yards-after-the-catch to wide receivers last year.
AI Analysis
Malik Washington o27.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 30.78 (Over)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a likely passing game script, while calm indoor conditions may enhance passing offenses and the Raiders' defense allowed a high adjusted completion percentage of 69.3% and the most yards-after-the-catch to wide receivers.
AI Analysis
De'Von Achane Score a Touchdown (Yes: 45%) Projection 0.63 (Yes)
The Dolphins are a -3.5-point underdog this week, suggesting a passing game, and De'Von Achane had a Red Zone Target Share of 18.6%, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs, with a 3.0 air yards per game marking him in the 94th percentile, and he holds a 32.1 WOPR, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Tre Tucker o45.5 Receiving Yards (55%) Projection 51.35 (Over)
The Raiders are likely to run the ball more with backup quarterback Kirk Cousins starting in a dome, which favors passing effectiveness, while the Miami Dolphins defense allowed the most yards-after-the-catch last season.
AI Analysis
Kirk Cousins o19.5 Passing Completions (55%)
Cousins completed 21 or more passes in four of his eight starts with the Falcons last season and achieved 20 or more passes in nine of his 14 games in 2024.
AI Analysis
Malik Willis Score a Touchdown (Yes: 24%)
Miami QB Malik Willis, known for his running ability, may take goal-line carries due to RB De'Vone Achane's slight build and injury concerns.
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