NFL picks
Green Bay
Packers · Away
Minnesota
Vikings · Home
Model Picks
13AI Analysis
Kyler Murray o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (43%)
Murray is familiar with the defense he will face in Week 1, having practiced against it for three years, and has strong options for deep passes and plays outside the pocket.
AI Analysis
Justin Jefferson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 38%)
Justin Jefferson has a 40% chance of scoring a touchdown in Week 1, influenced by new QB Kyler Murray and the defensive scheme from Packers DC Jonathan Gannon.
AI Analysis
Jordan Addison Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%)
Covers projects a +EV touchdown with a fair probability of 32.3% compared to the actual 28.4%, as the Vikings' offense, bolstered by strong quarterback play and Jordan Addison's favorable matchups, faces a Packers defense that struggles without Micah Parsons and has a new defensive coordinator.
AI Analysis
Jordan Mason o44.5 Rushing Yards (52%)
Jordan Mason is projected to receive 10 or more carries and has gained at least 50 rushing yards 78% of the time he had double-digit rushing attempts last season.
AI Analysis
Jordan Love u249.5 Passing Yards (57%)
The Under for Jordan Love's passing yards prop is advisable down to 243.5 yards due to the Vikings' strong passing defense and a weakened Green Bay WR corps.
AI Analysis
Jordan Addison o19.5 Longest Reception (57%)
Jordan Addison benefits from broken coverage when Vikings QB Kyler Murray extends plays and avoids double coverage due to the presence of Justin Jefferson.
AI Analysis
Jordan Mason Score a Touchdown (Yes: 39%)
Packers WR Jayden Reed had no touchdown catches last season, was second on the team with six two years ago, and tied for the team lead with eight in 2023, facing coverage from Minnesota's weakest starting cornerback on Sunday.
AI Analysis
Jayden Reed Score a Touchdown (Yes: 24%)
Packers WR Jayden Reed did not catch any touchdown passes last season, but he had six in 2022 and tied for the team lead with eight in 2023.
AI Analysis
Kyler Murray o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (47%)
Kyler Murray faces a defense in Week 1 that he is familiar with from three years of practice, under new Green Bay defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon, and he has strong options for deep touchdowns and plays outside the pocket.
AI Analysis
Justin Jefferson o71.5 Receiving Yards (53%)
Justin Jefferson is projected to receive over 85 yards in a game against the Packers, with frequent targets anticipated from new Vikings QB Kyler Murray, particularly given Jefferson's strength against zone coverage.
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