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Model Picks
14AI Analysis
Geno Smith o6.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 15.02 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 45.9% run rate this week, making them the 5th-most run-oriented team, while Geno Smith, with a 2.56 yards-after-contact average, ranks among the top rushing QBs; the Titans defense allowed 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry and ranked 2nd-worst against the run.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward Score a Touchdown (Yes: 15%) Projection 0.17 (Yes)
Last year, the New York Jets defense allowed an average of 2.12 touchdowns per game through the air, the worst rate in the league, and their cornerbacks ranked as the 8th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o64.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 70.23 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 47.3% run rate this week, with Breece Hall expected to receive 18.3 rush attempts, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs, and the Titans defense ranked 10th worst against the run, allowing 4.76 adjusted yards per carry.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears Score a Touchdown (Yes: +228) Projection 0.44 (Yes)
Tyjae Spears had a 15.9% Red Zone Target Rate, a 15.3 WOPR, and a 91.3% Adjusted Completion Rate last year, making him a significant receiving threat among running backs, while the New York Jets defense allowed the highest rate of 0.65 receiving touchdowns per game to running backs and had the 8th-worst safeties in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%) Projection 0.45 (Yes)
Tyjae Spears had a 15.9% Red Zone Target Rate and a 15.3 WOPR, ranking in the 95th and 86th percentiles respectively for running backs, while achieving a 91.3% Adjusted Completion Rate, and the New York Jets defense allowed the highest rate of 0.65 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o9.5 Rushing Yards (50%) Projection 11.97 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are a 3-point favorite for this week's game and are projected to have a 45.2% run rate, while the New York Jets' run defense ranked as the 2nd-worst last year, allowing 144.0 adjusted yards per game.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o9.5 Rushing Yards (43%) Projection 15.02 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 47.3% run rate this week, ranking as the 4th-most run-oriented team, while Geno Smith, with 2.56 yards-after-contact, stands out as a top rushing QB, and the Titans defense ranked 10th worst in run efficiency, allowing 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry and having the 2nd worst defensive tackles against the run.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o8.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 12.64 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to have a 44.5% run rate this week, making them the 7th-most run-centric offense, while the Jets allowed 144.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, ranking their run defense 2nd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward u201.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 194.88 (Under)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to pass on 55.5% of their opportunities, ranking 7th-lowest among all teams this week, with a forecast of only 124.6 total plays in the game, the 3rd-lowest for the week.
AI Analysis
Garrett Wilson o49.5 Receiving Yards (68%) Projection 63.03 (Over)
The Jets will start backup QB Geno Smith, leading to fewer pass attempts while Garrett Wilson is projected to receive 8.4 targets, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers, and averaged 80.0 air yards and 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game last year.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o22.5 Rushing Yards (54%) Projection 35.14 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to have a 44.5% run rate this week, ranking them as the 7th-most run-centric offense, while the Jets run defense allowed 144.0 adjusted yards per game last year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Helm u24.5 Receiving Yards (59%) Projection 21.6 (Under)
The Titans are a 3-point favorite this week, with projections indicating a passing rate of 54.8% and an expected total of 124.4 plays, the 4th-lowest among all games.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward Score a Touchdown (Yes: 13%) Projection 0.17 (Yes)
Last year, the New York Jets defense allowed an average of 2.12 touchdowns per game through the air, the highest in the league, and their cornerback corps ranked as the 8th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o5.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 14.79 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 47.3% run rate this week, while Geno Smith had a yards-after-contact average of 2.56, and the Titans' defense allowed 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry, ranking 10th worst against the run last year.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o22.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 35.14 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to have a 44.5% run rate, making them the 7th-most run-centric offense, while the Jets had the 2nd-worst run defense, allowing 144.0 adjusted yards per game and ranking as the 8th-worst unit in run defense last year.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o8.5 Rushing Yards (53%) Projection 12.22 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to have the 10th-highest run rate at 43.8% this week, while the New York Jets had the 2nd-worst run defense last year, allowing 144.0 adjusted rushing yards per game.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward u201.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 194.71 (Under)
The Tennessee Titans are a 3-point favorite this week, projected to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities, which ranks as the 7th-lowest, and the game is expected to see only 124.4 total plays, the 4th-lowest among all matchups.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith u212.5 Passing Yards (53%) Projection 203.65 (Under)
The predictive model anticipates the New York Jets will pass 54.1% of the time, resulting in the 5th-lowest rate this week, and projects only 124.6 total plays, the 3rd-fewest, while Geno Smith is expected to throw 30.7 passes, the 2nd-fewest among quarterbacks, against a Tennessee Titans defense that allowed opposing QBs an average of 29.9 pass attempts per game last year.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward Score a Touchdown (Yes: 11%) Projection 0.17 (Yes)
Last year, the New York Jets defense allowed an average of 2.12 passing touchdowns per game, the worst rate in the league, and their cornerbacks ranked 8th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o16.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 19.23 (Over)
Tyjae Spears is projected for 3.7 targets in this game and has a 12.3% Target Share from last year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o37.5 Receiving Yards (54%) Projection 47.26 (Over)
Last year, the New York Jets defense allowed 8.82 adjusted yards-per-target to opposing wide receivers, recorded the highest average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch in the league, and their cornerbacks ranked 8th-worst in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Carnell Tate o37.5 Receiving Yards (56%) Projection 47.26 (Over)
In the previous year, the New York Jets defense allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target (8.82 yards) to opposing wide receivers, had the highest average yards-after-the-catch (0.00 yards), and ranked as the 8th-worst cornerback corps in pass coverage.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o16.5 Receiving Yards (53%) Projection 19.21 (Over)
Tyjae Spears is projected to receive 3.6 targets in the upcoming game, ranking in the 92nd percentile for running backs, and he had a 12.3% target share last year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs, with an average of 18.0 adjusted yards per game in the 90th percentile and a 91.3% adjusted completion rate in the 85th percentile; the Jets defense allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target to RBs at 7.68 yards last year.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o65.5 Rushing Yards (56%) Projection 70.23 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 47.3% run rate this week, with Breece Hall expected to receive 18.3 rush attempts, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs, and the Titans defense allowing 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry, ranking 10th worst against the run.
AI Analysis
Breece Hall o59.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 68.76 (Over)
The Jets are projected to be the 5th-most run-oriented team this week with a 45.9% run rate, and Breece Hall is expected to have 17.8 rush attempts, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs, while grading in the 89th percentile for carries last year and averaging 53.0 adjusted yards per game, as the Titans defense allowed 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry last year.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o14.5 Receiving Yards (61%) Projection 19.61 (Over)
Tyjae Spears is projected to receive 3.6 targets in the game, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs, while having posted a 12.3% Target Share last year (91st percentile), averaging 18.0 adjusted yards per game (90th percentile), and an Adjusted Completion Rate of 91.3% (85th percentile), against a Jets defense that allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target to RBs at 7.68 yards.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o19.5 Rushing Yards (60%) Projection 35.14 (Over)
The Tennessee Titans are projected to have the 7th-highest run rate at 44.5% this week, while the New York Jets' run defense, which allowed 144.0 adjusted yards per game last year, ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears Score a Touchdown (Yes: 28%) Projection 0.41 (Yes)
Tyjae Spears had a 15.9% Red Zone Target Rate, a 15.3 WOPR, and a 91.3% Adjusted Completion Rate, making him a top receiving threat among NFL running backs, while the New York Jets defense allowed 0.65 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs, the highest in the league.
AI Analysis
Tyjae Spears o14.5 Receiving Yards (60%) Projection 19.61 (Over)
Tyjae Spears is projected to receive 3.6 targets in this game, ranking in the 93rd percentile for running backs, and last year he had a 12.3% Target Share (91st percentile), averaged 18.0 adjusted yards per game (90th percentile), maintained a 91.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (85th percentile), while the Jets defense allowed 7.68 adjusted yards-per-target to opposing RBs, the 3rd most in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith o9.5 Rushing Yards (40%) Projection 15.02 (Over)
The Jets are projected to have a 45.9% run rate, ranking them 5th in run-oriented plays this week, while Geno Smith averaged 2.56 yards-after-contact, and the Titans allowed 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry, ranking them 10th worst in run efficiency and 2nd worst among defensive tackles.
AI Analysis
Geno Smith u212.5 Passing Yards (55%) Projection 203.65 (Under)
The predictive model forecasts the New York Jets will pass 54.1% of the time, the 5th-lowest rate this week, with a total of 124.6 plays estimated in the game, the 3rd-fewest, and expects Geno Smith to attempt 30.7 passes, the 2nd-fewest among quarterbacks, while opposing quarterbacks averaged 29.9 attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans last year, ranking 9th-fewest in the NFL.
AI Analysis
Garrett Wilson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 29%)
The Titans are priced similarly to the Rams, while the Jets' offense is undervalued with Brady Cook, leading to Wilson potentially receiving 40% of the targets on Sunday.
AI Analysis
Cam Ward o9.5 Rushing Yards (53%)
Brian Daboll, the Titans offensive coordinator, plans to utilize quarterback Cam Ward's mobility in a manner similar to how he designed running plays for former QB Daniel Jones while serving as the Giants' head coach from 2022-25.
AI Analysis
Wan'Dale Robinson Score a Touchdown (Yes: 21%)
Robinson recorded a team-high 140 targets, 185 receptions, and seven touchdowns for the New York Giants over the last two seasons, while the Jets ranked last in efficiency against slot receivers according to FTN's 2026 almanac.
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