Model Picks
6Team Leaders
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analysis
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.55
Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills and is slated to bat 3rd, with 39.8% of his flyballs hit to center field, in a matchup against the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.46
Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile for home run ability according to THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 1st today, will face Justin Wrobleski who has the platoon advantage, and has home field advantage which generally improves hitter metrics.
AI Analysis
Kyle Tucker u0.5 Total Hits (41%) Projection 0.74
LoanDepot Park ranks #24 in MLB for left-handed batter batting average, has low elevation leading to lower offensive output, will have its roof closed today making it 5° colder than average games, and features matchup challenges for Kyle Tucker against Eury Perez.
AI Analysis
Emmet Sheehan o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (48%) Projection 6.15
Emmet Sheehan is currently projected as the 19th-best starting pitcher in the league according to THE BAT, while the Miami Marlins' batting order includes four players with an underlying strikeout percentage over 27%, and the closed roof at LoanDepot Park will result in a temperature that is 5° colder than the average outdoor game, beneficial for pitching.
AI Analysis
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.54
Freddie Freeman is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X, is batting 2nd today, has a .273 Expected Batting Average in the 80th percentile, and a .363 wOBA in the 91st percentile.
AI Analysis
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.55
Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in the lineup, has a 39.8% flyball rate to center field (97th percentile), his Barrel% increased from 7.6% to 21.4% in the last week, and his average exit velocity on flyballs has risen from 91.7 mph to 97.9 mph.
AI Analysis
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.52
Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile for home run ability, is projected to bat 1st, faces Justin Wrobleski with a platoon disadvantage, has home field advantage, and has improved his Barrel% from 12.5% to 20% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.46
Griffin Conine ranks in the 90th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup, will face Justin Wrobleski who holds a platoon advantage, is expected to benefit from home field advantage, and has averaged 29.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season, placing him in the 91st percentile for power.
AI Analysis
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.56
Freddie Freeman is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB and is set to bat 2nd today, with a .273 Expected Batting Average in the 80th percentile and a .363 wOBA in the 91st percentile this year.
AI Analysis
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.46
Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best hitter by THE BAT X and will bat 4th in the lineup against groundball pitcher Emmet Sheehan, while benefiting from home field advantage and facing the 4th-worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.47
Heriberto Hernandez is projected in the 95th percentile for home run skill, will bat 2nd in the lineup, and is facing the 4th-worst outfield defense while benefiting from home field advantage and recent improvements in his Barrel% from 14.1% to 20% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.55
Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills, is batting 3rd in the lineup, hits 39.8% of his flyballs to center field, has increased his Barrel% from 7.6% to 21.4%, and his average exit velocity on flyballs has risen to 97.9 mph from 91.7 mph.
AI Analysis
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.61
The BAT X projects Max Muncy in the 95th percentile for home run talent, has him hitting 4th in today's game, advantages him against Eury Perez, notes an increase in his exit velocity from 90.5 mph to 94 mph over the last week, and records a launch angle of 27° in the past 14 days compared to his seasonal average of 17.9°.
AI Analysis
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (56%) Projection 2.15
Freddie Freeman is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB and is set to bat 2nd today, with a .273 Expected Batting Average in the 80th percentile and a .363 wOBA in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (47%) Projection 1.83
Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile for home run ability, is projected to bat first, faces a platoon disadvantage against Justin Wrobleski, benefits from home field advantage, and has improved his Barrel% from 12.5% to 20% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.61
Will Smith is projected as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, batting 4th in the lineup, with a 40.3% flyball rate to center field, facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences, and has improved his Barrel% from 13% to 25% over the past week with a launch angle of 28.4°.
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