Baltimore
Orioles · Away
Toronto
Blue Jays · Home
Model Picks
13Team Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (39%) Projection 0.64
THE BAT X projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league for batting average, and he is placed 3rd in the batting order for today's game, where he benefits from facing a left-handed pitcher and playing at home, which generally enhances batter performance.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.63
Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 95th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 5th today, has a platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers, and benefits from home field advantage, with a 38% chance at Kalshi Sports.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.8
The leading projection system, THE BAT X, ranks Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in terms of batting average talent, places him 3rd in the batting order for today's game, gives him an advantage against Trevor Rogers, and notes that he hits 38.4% of his flyballs to center field while benefiting from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.64
THE BAT X projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league by batting average, slots him 3rd in the batting order, and notes his favorable matchup against Trevor Rogers and home field advantage, along with his 38.4% flyball rate to center field.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.64
THE BAT X ranks Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in projected batting average and he is batting 3rd in the order, facing Trevor Rogers at Rogers Centre, which is the #5 field for boosting home runs for right-handed batters, with Guerrero hitting 38.4% of his flyballs to center field in a game featuring the 10th-shallowest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (47%) Projection 2.03
Pete Alonso is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, hitting 2nd in the batting order, with Rogers Centre being ranked 5th for boosting home runs to right-handed batters and having the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences, while his recent BABIP-maximizing launch angle has improved to 62.1% from a seasonal rate of 51.8%.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.44
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill and is projected to hit 5th in the lineup, with Rogers Centre being the #5 park for lefty home runs and having the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (32%) Projection 1.49
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is projected to hit 5th in the lineup, and is favorable today due to his matchup against Dylan Cease, with Rogers Centre being the #5 park for lefty home runs and having the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.69
Pete Alonso is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, while Rogers Centre is identified as the #5 field for home run boosts to right-handed batters and has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences; Alonso has improved his BABIP-maximizing launch angle rate from 51.8% to 62.1% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (43%) Projection 1.75
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive skill according to THE BAT X, is projected to hit 5th in the lineup, and will benefit from facing Dylan Cease at Rogers Centre, which is rated as the #5 park for lefty home runs and has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (57%) Projection 2.35
THE BAT X ranks Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league for batting average, places him 3rd in the batting order for the game, and indicates that Rogers Centre is the #5 field for boosting home runs for right-handed batters, while his flyballs predominantly go to center field (38.4%) and he benefits from facing the game's 10th-shallowest center field fences.
AI Analysis
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.52
Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, has primarily batted in the lower part of the order this season while projected to bat 4th in his next game, and Rogers Centre is rated highly for boosting home runs for right-handed batters, featuring the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (38%) Projection 1.67
Pete Alonso is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball and is expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, while Rogers Centre is ranked 5th for boosting home runs for right-handed batters and has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences, with Alonso improving his launch angle hitting rate to 62.1% over the last two weeks compared to his seasonal rate of 51.8%.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.03
Pete Alonso is projected as the 16th-best hitter and will bat 2nd in the lineup, while Rogers Centre ranks as the 5th field in MLB for home runs by right-handed batters and has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences, with Alonso recently improving his launch angle hitting rate to 62.1%.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.05
Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 95th percentile for home run skill, is projected to bat 5th today, holds the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers, and will play at Rogers Centre, which has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences and is known for boosting home runs for right-handed batters.
AI Analysis
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.75
George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive skill, is projected to bat 2nd, faces a favorable conditions at Rogers Centre, and has a high percentage of flyballs directed to center field.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.62
Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 95th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X and is projected to bat 5th today at Rogers Centre, which has favorable conditions for right-handed batters.
AI Analysis
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (21%) Projection 0.31
Colton Cowser ranks in the 86th percentile for home run ability according to THE BAT X, while Rogers Centre is the 5th best park for lefty home runs and has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences, providing Cowser an advantage against Dylan Cease, with THE BAT X estimating his true offensive talent at .314 compared to his actual .299 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in the league, batting 3rd in the lineup at Rogers Centre, which boosts home runs for right-handed batters, and he is favored today as he hits 38.4% of his fly balls to center field, benefiting from the shallowness of the CF fences.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (25%)
Bet on Okamoto to hit a home run at +275 for a quarter unit, noting he has nine homers against lefties and Trevor Rogers has permitted 15 home runs to right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Dylan Cease o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (48%)
Dylan Cease has recorded 10 and 13 strikeouts in previous games against Baltimore, and the recommended play is to bet on over 8.5 strikeouts at -105.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.