Model Picks
8Team Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
AI Analysis
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (55%) Projection 2.63
Randy Dobnak is projected in the 1st percentile for strikeout talent by THE BAT, had 2 strikeouts in his last start, and ranks in the 12th percentile for fastball velocity at 90.9 mph and the 10th percentile for fastball spin rate at 2044.3 rpm since last season, while Fenway Park is ranked #6 in suppressing strikeouts.
AI Analysis
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (56%) Projection 2.69
Randy Dobnak is projected in the 1st percentile for strikeout talent by THE BAT, had 2 strikeouts in his last game, throws a 90.9-mph fastball in the 12th percentile for starting pitchers, and has a fastball spin rate of 2044.3 rpm in the 10th percentile since last season, while Fenway Park is ranked #6 for suppressing strikeouts.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (47%) Projection 1.85
Carter Jensen is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today and is estimated in the 89th percentile for home run ability by THE BAT X, while Fenway Park ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among major league stadiums.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (45%) Projection 0.92
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, will bat 4th in today's game, and will face Randy Dobnak at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 ballpark for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among major league stadiums.
AI Analysis
Randy Dobnak u2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (40%) Projection 2.57
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile for strikeout talent, projecting him to throw 82 pitches in his outing, which is the 5th-least overall, while also noting that Fenway Park is the #6 stadium for suppressing strikeouts and Dobnak faces six opposing hitters from the opposite side, diminishing his platoon advantage and potentially impacting his performance due to the road game.
AI Analysis
Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.6
Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter, will bat first in the lineup, and plays at Fenway Park, ranked 3rd in run-scoring, while having a significant advantage against Randy Dobnak and hitting a high percentage of flyballs to center field.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.56
Carter Jensen is projected in the 89th percentile for home run ability by THE BAT X and is batting 1st today in Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among major league stadiums.
AI Analysis
Ranger Suarez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (56%) Projection 5.64
The Kansas City Royals have four hitters in their projected lineup today with a K% over 27%, Jim Wolf is the scheduled umpire, Adley Rutschman is projected as a good pitch framer, Fenway Park is at a low altitude of 16 feet above sea level, and the weather conditions are the 5th-most suitable for pitching.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (44%) Projection 0.91
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, will bat 4th today, and holds a platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak, while Fenway Park is rated the #3 ballpark for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.6
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for BABIP skill by THE BAT X, playing in Fenway Park, the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring, with a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs and home field advantage in today's matchup.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (49%) Projection 2.01
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, is batting 4th in today's lineup, and will have the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak, with Fenway Park ranking 3rd in MLB for run-scoring and having the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (51%) Projection 1.9
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, set to bat 2nd in the order at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, and he benefits from an advantageous matchup against Ranger Suárez with a high opposite-field rate.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (50%) Projection 2.07
Wilyer Abreu is projected to be in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, hitting 4th in the lineup today at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, has the shallowest centerfield fences, and provides Abreu with a platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak.
AI Analysis
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 1.82
Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat first in today's lineup at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring, and has an advantage facing Randy Dobnak while hitting a high percentage of flyballs to center field.
AI Analysis
Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.59
Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter by THE BAT X and is slated to bat first in a game at Fenway Park, which ranks third in MLB for run-scoring.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (60%) Projection 2.78
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, hitting 4th in the lineup today at Fenway Park, which is ranked #3 in MLB for run-scoring, and he has a platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak.
AI Analysis
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.58
Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to THE BAT X projections, is listed as the 2nd batter in the lineup, and will benefit from batting left-handed against Randy Dobnak in Fenway Park, which is rated as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring.
AI Analysis
Nick Sogard o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.45
Fenway Park ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring, and Nick Sogard, who pulls 35.7% of his flyballs, benefits from the park's shallow right field fences and has increased his exit velocity on flyballs from 83.7 mph to 89.5 mph this year.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (55%) Projection 2.16
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for BABIP skill by THE BAT X and will benefit from playing in Fenway Park, the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, while facing Randy Dobnak and leveraging his 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.52
Carter Jensen is projected to hit in the 89th percentile for home runs, batting 1st today in Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions, while he ranks in the 100th percentile for offensive skills with an Expected wOBA of .463 since last season.
AI Analysis
Ranger Suarez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (53%) Projection 5.53
Jim Wolf will be the Pitchers Umpire in today's game, where Adley Rutschman is projected as a good pitch framer, Fenway Park's low altitude may decrease offense, today's weather conditions are favorable for pitching, and Ranger Suarez has the advantage of home field.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.6
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X, and Fenway Park ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring, providing him with advantages in today's matchup due to hitting against Randy Dobnak and his 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Nick Loftin o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.4
Nick Loftin is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, an improvement from his 72% bottom-half placements this season, at Fenway Park, which ranks 3rd in MLB for run-scoring, while facing Ranger Suárez from the opposite side, and benefiting from his high flyball pull rate and improved HR-maximizing launch angle.
AI Analysis
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (48%) Projection 1.87
Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat first in the lineup at Fenway Park, which is rated as the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, and has a favorable matchup against Randy Dobnak, hitting a high percentage of flyballs to center field.
AI Analysis
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.6
Trevor Story is projected in the 79th percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X and is batting 5th in the lineup at Fenway Park, which ranks 3rd in MLB for run-scoring and features the shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.7
Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive talent and is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup, while Fenway Park is the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, with its right field dimensions being the 2nd-shallowest in the major leagues.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.69
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for BABIP skills by THE BAT X, while Fenway Park is ranked #3 in MLB for run-scoring, giving him an advantage as he faces Randy Dobnak and has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, benefiting from home field advantages.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.74
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for BABIP skill by THE BAT X, has an advantage hitting against Randy Dobnak, boasts a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and benefits from Fenway Park's favorable hitting conditions.
AI Analysis
Mickey Gasper o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.6
Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability and is set to bat second in the lineup at Fenway Park, which is rated as the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, and offers the 2nd-shallowest right-field dimensions among major league stadiums, giving Gasper an advantage as a switch-hitter against pitcher Randy Dobnak.
AI Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.55
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball and will bat 2nd in the order, while Fenway Park is rated as the #3 ballpark for run-scoring, giving him an advantage against Ranger Suárez.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.56
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th in today's game at Fenway Park, which is ranked #3 in MLB for run-scoring, and he has a high flyball pull percentage of 37.2%, with a launch angle increase to 20.3° this season, having hit 2 homers in the last week.
AI Analysis
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.64
Jarren Duran is projected in the 81st percentile for his BABIP skill, and Fenway Park is ranked as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, giving him an advantage in today's matchup against Randy Dobnak due to his high opposite-field flyball rate and home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.52
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th in today's game at Fenway Park, which is ranked 3rd in MLB for run-scoring, and he has a high flyball pull percentage of 37.2%, coupled with a launch angle increase to 20.3° this season and 2 homers in the past week.
AI Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.56
Vinnie Pasquantino is slated to bat 4th in today's game at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 MLB ballpark for run-scoring, and he has a high flyball pull percentage of 37.2%, along with an increased launch angle of 20.3° this season, and has recently hit 2 homers in the last week.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (49%) Projection 2.06
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 93rd percentile for offensive talent, will bat 4th today against Randy Dobnak at Fenway Park, which ranks 3rd in MLB for run-scoring and has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions.
AI Analysis
Carter Jensen o0.5 Total Home Runs (14%) Projection 0.13
Carter Jensen is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, ranks in the 100th percentile for offensive skills with a .463 xwOBA, and has a 99th percentile power performance with 41.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since last season, while Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among major league stadiums.
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