MLB MLB picks
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New York Mets

New York

Mets · Away

15 – 14
FINAL
Miami Marlins

Miami

Marlins · Home

Model Picks

6
Model
Pick
Result
Nova
Over 8.5
WIN
Helix
Over 8.5
WIN
Arcadia
Over 9.0
WIN
Ion
Over 8.5
WIN
Lumina
Over 8.5
WIN
Zephyr
Over 9.0
WIN
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
Batting Average
2-3, 3B, 2 RBI, 3 R, BB
AVG
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
Home Runs
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, K
HR
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
Runs Batted In
4-6, 3 RBI, R
RBI
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MLB Rating
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, K
RAT
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MLB Rating
3-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, K
MLB
New York Mets New York Mets
Christopher Morel
Christopher Morel
Batting Average
3-4, HR, 2B, 3 RBI, 3 R, K
AVG
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
Home Runs
1-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, K
HR
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
Runs Batted In
3-5, 2B, 4 RBI, 2 R, K
RBI
Christopher Morel
Christopher Morel
MLB Rating
3-4, HR, 2B, 3 RBI, 3 R, K
RAT
Christopher Morel
Christopher Morel
MLB Rating
3-4, HR, 2B, 3 RBI, 3 R, K
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.65

Juan Soto is projected to be the 3rd-best batter in the majors according to THE BAT X and will bat 2nd in today's game, where he has an advantage facing Janson Junk, as he hits 39.6% of his flyballs to center field, which has the 6th-shallowest fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 1.82

Kyle Stowers, projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill, is batting 1st today, benefits from a significant platoon advantage against Robert Stock, faces limited same-handed relief from the Mets, and has home field advantage, which may enhance his performance.

AI Analysis

MLB

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.49

The BAT X projects Francisco Lindor's overall offensive skill in the 95th percentile, and he is listed first in the lineup for this matchup, with a 31% share at Kalshi Sports.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.53

The BAT X projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the league based on batting average talent and anticipates he will hit 3rd in the lineup for this matchup with a 34% projection at Kalshi Sports.

AI Analysis

MLB

Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (57%) Projection 2.37

Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is anticipated to bat 2nd in today's game, has a favorable matchup against Janson Junk, and hits 39.6% of his flyballs to center field, benefiting from the 6th-shallowest center field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.61

Kyle Stowers is projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill and is batting first today against a favorable matchup and home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.63

THE BAT X projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the league for batting average talent, with him slated to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (55%) Projection 2.41

Kyle Stowers is projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill, batting 1st in today's game against a heavily favorable matchup with Robert Stock's platoon split and limited same-handed relievers in the Mets' bullpen, while also benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.45

Owen Caissie has a projected BABIP talent in the 95th percentile, holds a handedness advantage against Robert Stock, benefits from a favorable bullpen matchup, hits a high percentage of flyballs to center field, faces shallow CF fences, and has home field advantage in today's game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Graham Pauley o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.38

Graham Pauley will benefit from the handedness advantage against Robert Stock, who has a large platoon split, while also enjoying home field advantage and having improved his Barrel% and optimal launch angle in recent games.

AI Analysis

MLB

Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (37%) Projection 0.96

LoanDepot Park is ranked #8 among major league stadiums for minimizing batting average against left-handed hitters and has one of the lowest elevations, contributing to reduced offense, with a closed roof expected to lower the game temperature by 11° compared to the average, while the Miami Marlins' infield defense is the 4th-best today, putting Juan Soto at a disadvantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.77

Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, will bat 2nd in today's game, has a favorable matchup against Janson Junk, hits 39.6% of his flyballs to center field, faces shallow CF fences, and has improved his HR-maximizing launch angle percentage from 14.2% to 18.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bo Bichette o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (54%) Projection 2.14

Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league for batting average and is expected to hit 3rd in the lineup, with recent improvements in his Barrel% and launch angles.

AI Analysis

MLB

Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.52

Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league based on batting average, is expected to bat 3rd in the lineup, and has seen significant improvements in his Barrel% and launch angles over the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.41

Joe Mack has a significant advantage hitting from the opposite side today due to the New York Mets having only one same-handed reliever in their bullpen and will also benefit from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.5

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile for offensive skills, has him batting 1st in the lineup, and indicates he has improved his exit velocity to 95.3 mph, despite a .320 wOBA this year compared to an estimated true talent wOBA of .344, with a .345 Expected wOBA since last season placing him in the 80th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jakob Marsee o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.47

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 5th in today's game, benefiting from a favorable matchup against Robert Stock's large platoon split and having home field advantage, along with notable improvements in his Barrel% recently.

AI Analysis

MLB

Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.6

Griffin Conine is projected in the 91st percentile for home run skill, batting 3rd in the lineup against Robert Stock, who has significant platoon splits, facing a predominantly right-handed bullpen, and benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.55

Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X, is batting .298 this year and holds a .282 Expected Batting Average, ranking in the 97th and 88th percentiles respectively, while playing 4th in the lineup with home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.55

Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X, is batting .298 this year (97th percentile), has a .282 Expected Batting Average (88th percentile), and will bat 4th at home in today's game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.61

Kyle Stowers is projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill, batting first in today's game with a platoon advantage against New York Mets' relievers and benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jakob Marsee o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.46

Jakob Marsee is set to bat 5th and has a significant advantage hitting against left-handed pitching due to Robert Stock's platoon split, while also benefiting from home field advantage and recent improvements in his Barrel percentage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.54

Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, holds the platoon advantage against Janson Junk, and has a .335 BABIP this year, ranking at the 91st percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.61

Kyle Stowers is projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill, scheduled to bat first in today's game, benefiting from a significant platoon advantage against Robert Stock and facing a New York Mets bullpen with only one same-handed reliever.

AI Analysis

MLB

Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.6

Griffin Conine is projected in the 91st percentile for home run skill, is batting third in the lineup, has a platoon advantage against Robert Stock, and benefits from home field advantage, with the New York Mets bullpen featuring only one same-handed reliever.

AI Analysis

MLB

Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.42

Francisco Alvarez is projected in the 91st percentile for home run ability but has a 28.1% strikeout rate, while opposing pitcher Janson Junk has an 18th percentile strikeout rate; Alvarez hits 38.4% of his flyballs to center field and has improved his Barrel% from 16% to 21.4% over the last 14 days, with his exit velocity on flyballs rising from 96.3 mph to 101.7 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.62

Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X and has a .298 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.57

Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile for home run talent, is projected to bat 2nd today, has a home field advantage, has improved his Barrel% from 14% to 20.7%, and increased his average exit velocity on flyballs from 93.6 mph last year to 96.7 mph this year.

AI Analysis

MLB

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (46%) Projection 1.81

Kyle Stowers, projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill, is batting first today against a pitcher with a significant platoon split, providing him an advantage, and will also benefit from home field advantage and favorable matchups against the New York Mets' bullpen.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jared Young u0.5 Total Hits (40%) Projection 0.82

Jared Young has been pinch-hit for in 21% of his appearances against right-handed pitchers this year, while LoanDepot Park, ranked 8th in suppressing left-handed batting average, features one of the lowest elevations in MLB and expects its roof to be closed, resulting in a temperature 12° colder than the average outdoor game, which benefits pitching; furthermore, Young's flyballs are predominantly pulled (34.2%, 78th percentile) towards the 4th-deepest right field fences in today's matchup.

AI Analysis

MLB

Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (32%) Projection 0.95

LoanDepot Park is ranked #8 in the majors for suppressing batting average against left-handed hitters, is built 6 feet above sea level, and is expected to have a closed roof today, making it 12° colder than the average outdoor game, while the Miami Marlins' infield defense ranks as the 3rd-best, putting Juan Soto at a disadvantage.

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