MLB MLB picks
MLB· ·
Washington Nationals

Washington

Nationals · Away

4 – 5
FINAL
San Diego Padres

San Diego

Padres · Home

Model Picks

7
Model
Pick
Result
Nova
Over 7.5
WIN
Helix
Over 7.5
WIN
Vortex
Over 7.5
WIN
Ion
Under 8.0
LOSS
Oxy
Over 7.5
WIN
Beacon
Over 7.5
WIN
Gaia
Over 7.5
WIN
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
Batting Average
2-3, 2 RBI, 2 R, BB, K
AVG
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
Home Runs
2-3, 2 RBI, 2 R, BB, K
HR
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
Runs Batted In
2-3, 2 RBI, 2 R, BB, K
RBI
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
MLB Rating
2-3, 2 RBI, 2 R, BB, K
RAT
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
MLB Rating
2-3, 2 RBI, 2 R, BB, K
MLB
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
Batting Average
2-4, 2 2B, K
AVG
Andres Chaparro
Andres Chaparro
Home Runs
1-1, HR, RBI, R
HR
Brady House
Brady House
Runs Batted In
1-4, 2B, 2 RBI
RBI
Andres Chaparro
Andres Chaparro
MLB Rating
1-1, HR, RBI, R
RAT
Andres Chaparro
Andres Chaparro
MLB Rating
1-1, HR, RBI, R
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (38%) Projection 1.63

CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 4th in the lineup, and will benefit from favorable weather conditions and a matchup against a right-handed pitcher.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2.2

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 1st in the lineup, and will face favorable weather conditions while having the advantage in today's matchup against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.51

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter by THE BAT X and will bat 1st in favorable weather against Casey Mize with a 35% rating at Kalshi Sports.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.84

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 1st in the lineup, and faces favorable hitting weather and a matchup advantage against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (44%) Projection 1.98

CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections, is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, and will benefit from favorable hitting weather and a matchup against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (58%) Projection 2.3

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league, hitting 1st in the lineup, with favorable weather conditions and hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest center field fences, which benefits his performance against extreme flyball pitchers like Will Dion.

AI Analysis

MLB

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.57

CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive talent and is projected to bat 4th in a matchup with favorable hitting weather and a positional advantage against pitcher Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (52%) Projection 2.16

Manny Machado is projected in the 90th percentile offensively and will bat 3rd today in favorable weather against a weak infield defense from the Washington Nationals, benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.66

Manny Machado is projected in the 90th percentile for offensive ability, batting 3rd in today's lineup, in favorable weather conditions, against the weakest infield defense on the slate, benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (59%) Projection 2.3

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league, hitting 1st in the lineup, with favorable weather conditions for hitting and a favorable matchup against extreme flyball pitcher Riley Cornelio.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (38%) Projection 0.63

Manny Machado is projected in the 90th percentile for offensive ability, batting 3rd in the lineup, with favorable weather conditions for hitting, while facing the 3rd-weakest infield defense of the day and benefiting from home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.63

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, with a 94th percentile batting average ability, in favorable hitting weather, facing a tough matchup against Will Dion, while opposing infield defense is ranked as the 3rd-weakest.

AI Analysis

MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.53

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league, hitting 1st in a game with favorable weather conditions, and he has a high tendency to hit flyballs to center field while facing a pitcher he tends to perform well against.

AI Analysis

MLB

Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.41

Abimelec Ortiz is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Petco Park, which has the shortest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height on average among MLB stadiums, with favorable hitting weather and Ortiz having an advantage hitting opposite Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.56

The BAT X projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile for batting average, predicts him to hit 5th in today's lineup, and notes that Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height among MLB stadiums, with today's weather forecast being the 4th-most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Casey Mize o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (53%) Projection 5.4

Doug Eddings will serve as the umpire in a game at Petco Park, which is 14 feet above sea level and expected to have winds blowing in from center field at 8.6 mph, benefiting pitchers; Casey Mize, who had 9 strikeouts in his last game, will have home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.51

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter according to THE BAT X, is expected to bat 1st in the lineup, and will play in Petco Park, which has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height among MLB stadiums, with weather conditions ranked 4th most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.56

CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections and is projected to bat 4th in a matchup at Petco Park, which has the 5th-shortest fence height, while the weather forecast indicates the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions for the games, giving him an advantage against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth u0.5 Total Hits (42%) Projection 0.7

Petco Park ranks #27 in the league for LHB BABIP, is located 14 feet above sea level, and has wind blowing in from CF at 8.6 mph, while the Washington Nationals have the 4th-strongest infield defense, and Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from 89.3 mph to 83.7 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Merrill u0.5 Total Hits (36%) Projection 0.84

Petco Park ranks #27 in LHB BABIP, is located 14 feet above sea level, has wind blowing in from CF at 8.6 mph, features the 4th-strongest infield defense from the Washington Nationals, and Jackson Merrill has a poor plate discipline with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

AI Analysis

MLB

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.58

Daylen Lile is projected in the 92nd percentile for batting average talent by THE BAT X, while Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest average fence height among MLB stadiums, with today's weather forecast being the 4th-most suitable for hitting, and Lile holding a platoon advantage against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (34%) Projection 0.98

Petco Park ranks #27 in the league for right-handed BABIP and is situated at a low altitude of 14 feet, typically resulting in reduced offensive output.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.84

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will hit 1st in the lineup, and will play in Petco Park, which features the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height, with expected hitting conditions ranking 5th best for temperature and humidity.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.52

Dylan Crews is batting 3rd in the lineup at Petco Park, which has the 5th-shortest fence height, in favorable hitting weather, while he hits 40.5% of his flyballs to center field, and has recently increased his exit velocity from 90.3 mph to 95.7 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.52

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X, will bat 1st in the lineup, and will play in Petco Park, which has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height, with weather conditions ranked as the 4th-most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.63

Manny Machado is projected at the 91st percentile for offensive ability by THE BAT X, batting 3rd in the lineup today at Petco Park, which has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height among MLB stadiums, and the weather forecast indicates the 4th-most favorable conditions for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Casey Mize o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (53%) Projection 5.36

Doug Eddings will be the home plate umpire at Petco Park, which is at a low altitude that typically results in reduced offensive performance, while the wind is expected to blow in from left field at 8.1 mph, benefiting pitchers, and Casey Mize, who had 9 strikeouts in his last game, is expected to gain from the home field advantage.

AI Analysis

MLB

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.63

CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile for offensive talent and is projected to bat 4th in a matchup at Petco Park, which has the 5th-shortest fence height, with the weather being the 5th-most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.58

Daylen Lile is projected in the 92nd percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, and he will have the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dustin Harris u0.5 Total Hits (49%) Projection 0.59

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 7th today and has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time against right-handed pitchers this year; Petco Park ranks 27th for LHB BABIP and has a low altitude that typically reduces offensive output, with winds blowing in from left field at 8.1 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.87

James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X and is expected to bat first in the lineup, while Petco Park features the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest average fence height, with weather conditions ranked 4th most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Casey Mize o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (52%) Projection 5.16

Doug Eddings will be the umpire in a game at Petco Park, which is 14 feet above sea level and expected to have an 8.1-mph wind blowing in from left field, benefitting pitcher Casey Mize, who recorded 9 strikeouts in his last appearance.

AI Analysis

MLB

Ty France u0.5 Total Hits (37%) Projection 0.82

Petco Park has the #27 righty BABIP in the league, is situated 14 feet above sea level, has a wind blowing in from LF at 8.1 mph, and Ty France faces the league's 6th-deepest RF fences while hitting 35.2% of his flyballs to the opposite field.

AI Analysis

MLB

Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.41

Brady House is projected to hit 5th in today's game at Petco Park, which has the 5th-shortest fence height, and he ranks in the 96th percentile for BABIP skill, facing favorable hitting conditions and the 2nd-shallowest center field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Yohandy Morales o0.5 Total RBIs (24%) Projection 0.37

Yohandy Morales is projected in the 95th percentile for BABIP talent by THE BAT X, while Petco Park features the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest average fence height among MLB stadiums, with the weather forecast indicating the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions for the game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.4

Abimelec Ortiz is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Petco Park, which has the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest average fence height among MLB stadiums, with weather conditions ranked 4th most suitable for hitting.

AI Analysis

MLB

Dustin Harris u0.5 Total Hits (47%) Projection 0.6

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 7th today and has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time against right-handed pitchers this year, with Petco Park ranking 27th in LHB BABIP and having a low altitude that generally leads to lower offensive output, while the wind is expected to blow in from left field at 8.1 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.61

Daylen Lile is projected in the 92nd percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, while Petco Park features the shallowest centerfield dimensions and the 5th-shortest fence height among MLB stadiums; this game is expected to have a temperature of 90°F, correlating higher heat with more offense and fewer strikeouts, and Lile has a platoon advantage against Casey Mize.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jake Cronenworth u1.5 Total Bases (73%) Projection 0.73

Petco Park ranks as the 25th stadium in the majors for run-scoring, with wind blowing in from LF at 8.1 mph; Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from 89.3 mph to 83.7 mph, his launch angle has decreased from 14.5° to 10.4°, and his rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle has fallen from 14.1% to 0%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Luis Campusano u1.5 Total Bases (75%) Projection 0.72

Luis Campusano is scheduled to bat 6th in a game at Petco Park, which ranks 25th for run-scoring potential in the majors, with the wind blowing in from left field at 8.1 mph favoring pitchers.

25+ AI Models

See Every Model's Pick

Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.