Model Picks
3Team Leaders
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (31%) Projection 0.45
The wind is projected to blow out to right field at 12.4 mph, favoring hitters, while Nolan Gorman, batting opposite to Landen Roupp's throw, is statistically positioned for success against Roupp's flyball pitching.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (67%) Projection 0.82
The weather report forecasts the second-best pitching conditions of the day, while Rafael Devers, batting from the same side as pitcher Quinn Mathews, will face a disadvantage, with a 68% probability at ProphetX.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.6
Alec Burleson, projected in the 94th percentile for batting average, is batting 3rd today with favorable wind conditions at 12.4-mph blowing out to RF, against a pitcher he matches up well against.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (29%) Projection 0.42
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections and is batting 2nd in the lineup today, with a projected wind blowing out to RF at 12.4 mph.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.47
In this contest, the wind is projected to blow out to right field at 12.4 mph, favoring hitters like Nolan Gorman, who has a high flyball percentage and will be hitting towards the game's second-shallowest right field fences.
AI Analysis
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.52
Bryce Eldridge is projected in the 91st percentile for home run skill by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd today, benefits from a 12.4-mph wind blowing out to RF, and has home field advantage, with a 34% chance at Novig.
AI Analysis
JB Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.48
Joshua Baez is projected in the 93rd percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, with a 12.4-mph wind blowing out to right field, and he typically performs well against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
AI Analysis
Osleivis Basabe o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.43
Osleivis Basabe is batting 4th in today's game, where he has a 57% hitting rate in the bottom half of the lineup, with favorable wind conditions and home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.01
According to THE BAT X, Rafael Devers is the 16th-best hitter in MLB and is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Oracle Park, where right field dimensions are among the shallowest and the wind is expected to blow out to RF at 13.4 mph.
AI Analysis
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.36
Thomas Saggese is projected in the 93rd percentile for BABIP, with favorable hitting conditions including a 13.4-mph wind to right field, a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and the matchup against the San Francisco Giants' 3rd-worst infield defense, while improving his Barrel% from 5.6% to 11.8% this season.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.51
Rafael Devers is ranked as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X and is projected to hit 2nd in today's game at Oracle Park, where the right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest in the majors and the wind is expected to blow out to RF at 13.4 mph.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.45
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent and is batting 2nd in today's lineup, while the wind is projected to blow out to RF at 13.4 mph, and the San Francisco Giants have the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.58
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and is playing in conditions with a 13.4-mph wind blowing out to RF, while the San Francisco Giants have the 3rd-worst infield defense and Walker's recent exit velocity has increased from 92.5-mph to 96-mph.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.6
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and will benefit from 13.4-mph winds blowing out to RF, while the San Francisco Giants have the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Osleivis Basabe o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.44
Osleivis Basabe is batting 4th in today's game, has a 13.4-mph wind blowing out to RF, holds a handedness advantage over Quinn Mathews, benefits from home field advantage, and has seen his Barrel% increase from 8.6% to 14.3% over the last 7 days.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.61
Alec Burleson, projected in the 94th percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd today in a game at Oracle Park, where right field dimensions are among the 2nd shallowest in the majors, with wind blowing out to RF at 13.5 mph.
AI Analysis
Osleivis Basabe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (43%) Projection 1.71
Osleivis Basabe is batting 4th in today's game with a 14.3% Barrel% over the last week, a home field advantage, and a favorable wind condition of 13.5 mph to right field.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.54
Rafael Devers is ranked as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X and is projected to bat 2nd in today's game at Oracle Park, which has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors and favorable wind conditions of 13.5-mph blowing out to RF.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (37%) Projection 0.57
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X and is batting 4th today, with the wind blowing out to right field at 13.5 mph, while the San Francisco Giants have the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 1.97
Rafael Devers is ranked as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X and is projected to hit 2nd in today's game at Oracle Park, which has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions and a wind blowing out to CF at 8.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.51
Rafael Devers is ranked as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by THE BAT X, projected to hit 2nd in today's game, while playing at Oracle Park with the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions, with wind blowing out to CF at 8.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.59
Jordan Walker is ranked in the 92nd percentile for home run skill by THE BAT X, is batting 4th today, faces favorable wind conditions for hitters, and benefits from the San Francisco Giants' weak infield defense, while recently increasing his exit velocity from 92.5 mph to 96 mph.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (53%) Projection 2.08
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and is experiencing favorable conditions with 8.1-mph wind blowing out to center field, while facing the San Francisco Giants who have the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
JB Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.48
Joshua Baez is projected in the 94th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, shows improved exit velocity on flyballs averaging 106.7 mph over the past week compared to 97.4 mph for the season, and has a 47.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle in the last two weeks, up from 38.6% seasonally, while the San Francisco Giants rank as the 3rd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Landen Roupp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (62%) Projection 5.49
Landen Roupp averages 94.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 89th percentile, while the St. Louis Cardinals have three hitters in their projected lineup with an underlying K% over 27%; Oracle Park has low altitude which typically results in lower offensive output, and today's weather provides the 4th-best pitching conditions, with Roupp having the advantage of playing at home.
AI Analysis
Quinn Mathews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (52%) Projection 5
Quinn Mathews is throwing 8.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average this year, will be facing hitters umpire Sean Barber, contend with an 8.1-mph wind blowing out to center field, and is at a disadvantage as a visiting player.
AI Analysis
Osleivis Basabe o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.43
Osleivis Basabe is batting 4th in today's game, benefiting from a wind favorable for hitters, an advantageous matchup against Quinn Mathews, and a recent increase in his Barrel% to 14.3%.
AI Analysis
Landen Roupp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (61%) Projection 5.49
Landen Roupp averages 94.4 adjusted pitches per outing, ranking in the 89th percentile, while the St. Louis Cardinals have three hitters with an underlying K% over 27% in today's lineup, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes leading to typically lower offensive output, and the weather report indicates the 4th-best pitching conditions for today's games.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (30%) Projection 0.45
The wind is projected to blow out to center field at 8.1 mph, favoring hitters, while Nolan Gorman, who has a high percentage of flyballs and faces the San Francisco Giants' 3rd-worst infield defense, has an advantage against the extreme flyball pitcher Landen Roupp.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.6
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill per THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, with an 8.1-mph wind blowing out to CF, while the San Francisco Giants have the 2nd-worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (50%) Projection 2
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X, is batting 2nd in the lineup today, and is benefiting from favorable wind conditions, while the San Francisco Giants have the 2nd-worst infield defense and Herrera's exit velocity has improved from 89.2 mph to 93.8 mph in the last week.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.6
Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, with the wind blowing out to CF at 8.1 mph, while the San Francisco Giants have the 5th-worst infield defense, and Walker's exit velocity has increased from 92.5 mph to 96 mph over the last week.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (38%) Projection 1.62
The wind is expected to blow out to CF at 8.1 mph, benefiting hitters, particularly Nolan Gorman, who faces Landen Roupp and has a high flyball rate, while the San Francisco Giants have the 5th-worst infield defense.
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