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Boston Red Sox

Boston

Red Sox · Away

5 – 0
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore

Orioles · Home

Model Picks

9
Model
Pick
Result
Vortex
Over 8.0
LOSS
Cipher
Over 8.0
LOSS
Oracle
Over 8.0
LOSS
Grok
Over 8.0
LOSS
Ion
Over 8.0
LOSS
Lumina
Over 8.0
LOSS
Oxy
Over 8.0
LOSS
Beacon
Under 8.0
WIN
Claude
Over 8.0
LOSS
Verified Track Record
See season stats →

Team Leaders

Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
Batting Average
1-2, 2B, 2 BB, K
AVG
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
Home Runs
0-0
HR
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
Runs Batted In
0-0
RBI
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
MLB Rating
1-1, 2B, BB
RAT
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
MLB Rating
1-1, 2B, BB
MLB
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
Batting Average
3-5, 2 R, 2 K
AVG
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
Home Runs
3-5, 2 R, 2 K
HR
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Runs Batted In
1-3, 2B, 2 RBI, BB
RBI
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
MLB Rating
7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 7 K, 3 BB
RAT
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
MLB Rating
3-5, 2 R, 2 K
MLB

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.57

The BAT X projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in MLB based on his BABIP ability, and he is batting 1st today against Chris Bassitt, benefiting from a favorable matchup due to his high flyball rate to center field.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (46%) Projection 1.98

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive ability, is batting 4th in today's game, and will benefit from a platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt, who has a significant platoon split, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, known for its shallow right field dimensions.

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (46%) Projection 1.94

THE BAT X projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball based on his BABIP ability, and he will bat 1st today with a favorable matchup against Chris Bassitt, benefiting from a large platoon split and hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest center field fences.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.79

Pete Alonso is ranked as the 16th-best batter in baseball by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and will have the home field advantage in today's game.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.6

The BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill, he is batting 3rd in today's lineup, Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right-field dimensions among major league parks, and he has an advantage hitting against Sonny Gray while playing at home with a 42% metric at Kalshi Sports.

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (60%) Projection 2.51

The BAT X projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in MLB for BABIP, batting 1st today against Chris Bassitt, with advantages from his strong exit velocity of 94 mph and a favorable flyball direction toward shallow center field.

AI Analysis

MLB

Mickey Gasper o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.67

Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile for overall offensive skill, is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup, and has a 10.3% Barrel% in the 75th percentile, while benefiting from a favorable matchup against Chris Bassitt at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

AI Analysis

MLB

Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.47

Coby Mayo is projected in the 96th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, benefits from home field advantage, has improved his exit velocity from 87.5 mph to 91.7 mph this year, and has a 12.9% Barrel% ranking him in the 88th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.58

Pete Alonso is ranked as the 16th-best batter in baseball by THE BAT X projection system and is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup, has a 76th percentile opposite-field flyball rate of 33.4%, enjoys home field advantage, and possesses a 94-mph average exit velocity in the 99th percentile.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (43%) Projection 1.8

Pete Alonso is ranked as the 16th-best batter in baseball by THE BAT X projection system, is expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, benefits from playing at home, and has recently increased his exit velocity on flyballs from a seasonal average of 97.9 mph to 102.4 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.98

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is batting 4th in today's game, will have a platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt, and has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 16.7% to 21.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (34%) Projection 0.58

Pete Alonso is ranked as the 16th-best batter in baseball by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs at 33.4%, benefits from a home field advantage, and has an increased exit velocity on flyballs, averaging 102.4 mph over the last 14 days compared to his seasonal average of 97.9 mph.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.81

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is batting 4th in today's game, and benefits from the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt, who has a significant platoon split, while Abreu's HR-optimizing launch angle has improved from 16.7% to 21.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.7

The leading projection system, THE BAT X, projects Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile for BABIP skill and estimates his true offensive skill at .319, indicating he has experienced poor luck with a .270 wOBA.

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (44%) Projection 1.93

Roman Anthony is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB for BABIP, will bat 1st today, has an advantage against Chris Bassitt due to his platoon split, hits 38.9% of his flyballs to center field, and has improved his base hit-maximizing launch angle from 46.8% to 54.5% this season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.56

Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills, is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup, has the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt, and has increased his Barrel% from 10.3% to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.66

Adley Rutschman is projected in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, batting 3rd in today's game, with improved HR-optimizing launch angle at 21.6%, despite a .313 wOBA compared to an estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.71

According to THE BAT X, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, is projected to bat 3rd today, plays in the shallowest right field among major league parks, has improved his optimal home run launch angle percentage from 17.4% to 21.6%, and has a .313 wOBA with a .016 gap from his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

AI Analysis

MLB

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.65

The BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill, he is batting 3rd today, and will play at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which has the shallowest RF dimensions among major league parks, giving him a home field advantage against Sonny Gray.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (19%) Projection 0.24

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game against Chris Bassitt, will benefit from a platoon advantage, and has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 16.7% to 21.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Mickey Gasper o1.5 Total Bases (39%) Projection 1.67

Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup, and is holding a significant platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt at the shallow dimensions of Oriole Park at Camden Yards, while recently improving his Barrel% from 10.3% to 23.8%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.71

The leading projection system, THE BAT X, ranks Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile for BABIP skill, indicates his true offensive skill as a .319, and shows recent improvements in exit velocity and launch angle hitting against Chris Bassitt's large platoon split.

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.57

Roman Anthony is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB based on BABIP, will bat 1st today, has a favorable matchup against Chris Bassitt due to his platoon split, hits 38.9% of flyballs to center field towards shallow fences, and improved his optimal launch angle hitting from 46.8% to 54.5%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (36%) Projection 0.66

Adley Rutschman is projected by THE BAT X to be in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, bat 3rd in today's game, and has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 17.4% to 21.6%, while his estimated true talent wOBA is .329 compared to his current wOBA of .313.

AI Analysis

MLB

Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.72

Adley Rutschman is projected in the 88th percentile for offensive talent, set to bat 3rd today, with Camden Yards having the shallowest RF dimensions among major league parks, and his HR-optimizing launch angle has increased to 21.6%, while a .313 wOBA indicates poor variance relative to his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

AI Analysis

MLB

Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (44%) Projection 4.53

Chris Bassitt's curveball usage has risen by 6.1% to 22.4%, and he has a 6.21 K/9 rate this year, compared to an estimated true talent level of 7.57, amidst a 60% chance at Novig.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (41%) Projection 0.82

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is batting 4th in today's game, benefits from the shallow RF dimensions of Oriole Park at Camden Yards, has a platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt, and has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 16.7% to 21.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 2.02

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is batting 4th today, benefits from a favorable matchup against Chris Bassitt, and has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 16.7% to 21.4%.

AI Analysis

MLB

Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (45%) Projection 1.94

Roman Anthony is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, will bat 1st today, benefits from a favorable matchup against Chris Bassitt, has a high flyball rate to center field, and has improved his launch angle for base hits this season.

AI Analysis

MLB

Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (43%) Projection 4.53

Chris Bassitt's curveball usage has risen by 6.1% this year to 22.4%, while his K/9 rate of 6.21 significantly underperforms the projected true talent level of 7.57, and he is expected to benefit from home field advantage today.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (33%) Projection 0.59

Jarren Duran is projected in the 80th percentile for his BABIP skill by THE BAT X, has a significant advantage batting left against Chris Bassitt, has increased his flyball exit velocity from 93.4 mph to 98.1 mph over the last 14 days, improved his HR-maximizing launch angle percentage from 15% to 21.4% in the last week, and shows a .319 estimated offensive skill compared to his .270 actual wOBA.

AI Analysis

MLB

Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (36%) Projection 1.48

Jackson Holliday is projected in the 88th percentile for BABIP skills, will bat 1st in the lineup, has an advantage against Sonny Gray, benefits from home field, and has seen his Barrel% rise from 6.9% to 16.7% in the past week.

AI Analysis

MLB

Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (48%) Projection 4.94

Chris Bassitt's curveball percentage has increased by 6.1% from last year to 22.4%, while he currently has a 6.21 K/9 compared to an estimated true talent level of 7.57, indicating a 1.36 K/9 discrepancy.

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