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Sep 1, 2026
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5:40 PM
New York
Mets · Away
Tampa Bay
Rays · Home
Model Picks
8Team Leaders
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.88
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB according to THE BAT X, is set to bat 2nd in today's lineup, and has the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta.
AI Analysis
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.71
Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in the lineup, and has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs, with today's game taking place near the league's 5th-shallowest right field fences.
AI Analysis
Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (32%) Projection 0.47
Marcus Semien hits 38.8% of his fly balls to left field, ranking in the 95th percentile, and is well-suited for today's match-up at a park with the 6th-shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (51%) Projection 2.12
Francisco Lindor is projected in the 95th percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, is batting 1st in today's game, pulls 36.6% of his flyballs (90th percentile), and is well-suited for the park due to its 5th-shallowest RF fences.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (54%) Projection 2.73
Junior Caminero is ranked as the 20th-best hitter and is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, facing favorable conditions at Tropicana Field, which is advantageous for his hitting style against Sean Manaea.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.67
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB and will bat 2nd today while having the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta at Tropicana Field, which is ranked as the best venue for lefty home runs, and his ability to hit at a HR-maximizing launch angle has increased from 14.2% to 18%.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (43%) Projection 0.86
Junior Caminero is projected as the 20th-best hitter and will bat 3rd in the lineup, while Tropicana Field is noted as favorable for right-handed home runs, enhancing his advantage against Sean Manaea due to his high pull rate of flyballs.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.7
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile for offensive talent, positions him 1st in today's game, and notes his suitability for hitting at Tropicana Field, which is the best venue for lefty home runs, while he has a .018 discrepancy between his observed (.323 wOBA) and estimated true talent (.341 wOBA).
AI Analysis
Chandler Simpson u0.5 Total Hits (34%) Projection 0.97
Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 8th in today's game, contributing to a decline in his performance as his recent exit velocity has dropped to 79.8 mph and his ability to hit at HR-optimizing angles has decreased to 0%.
AI Analysis
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (47%) Projection 1.93
Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X, will bat 1st today, and has advantageous conditions for hitting, including a high opposite-field flyball rate and favorable stadium dimensions.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (41%) Projection 1.88
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB and will bat 2nd today, facing Freddy Peralta at Tropicana Field, which is ranked as the best venue for lefty home runs, while his ability to hit at an optimal launch angle has improved from 14.2% to 18%.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (49%) Projection 2.13
Junior Caminero is ranked as the 20th-best hitter by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, and will benefit from hitting against Sean Manaea due to his strong pull percentage and favorable conditions at Tropicana Field.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (48%) Projection 2.12
Junior Caminero, ranked as the 20th-best hitter by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd in a matchup at Tropicana Field, which is favorable for right-handed home runs, and he will benefit from facing Sean Manaea due to his large platoon split.
AI Analysis
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (35%) Projection 0.67
Juan Soto is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, will bat 2nd in today's lineup, holds a platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta, has improved his HR-maximizing launch angle from 14.2% to 18%, and ranks in the 98th percentile for expected wOBA at .395 according to THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.7
Francisco Lindor is projected in the 95th percentile for offensive talent by THE BAT X, is batting 1st in today's game, pulls 36.6% of his flyballs (90th percentile), has a .323 wOBA despite a projected .341 talent level, and has a .345 Expected wOBA (80th percentile) since last season.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (27%) Projection 0.46
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP ability, batting 2nd in today's game, with a 78th percentile opposite-field flyball rate, benefiting from home field advantage and recently increasing his exit velocity from 91 mph to 93.3 mph.
AI Analysis
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (38%) Projection 1.55
Carson Benge is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP skill, batting fourth in the lineup, holding a platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta, and has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs with improved HR-maximizing launch angle percentages.
AI Analysis
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (42%) Projection 1.73
Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is positioned 3rd in the lineup, has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate of 39.7% on flyballs, and his true offensive ability is estimated at .326, with a .302 actual wOBA, while posting a .311 Expected Batting Average since last season.
AI Analysis
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (25%) Projection 0.38
The BAT ranks Tropicana Field as the best baseball venue for lefty home runs, giving Brett Baty an advantage against Freddy Peralta due to his 84th percentile opposite-field flyball rate and improving exit velocity.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (28%) Projection 0.46
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP, batting second in today's game at Tropicana Field, which is ranked as the best venue for lefty home runs, and has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (40%) Projection 0.84
Junior Caminero is projected as the 20th-best hitter and will bat 3rd, benefiting from favorable conditions at Tropicana Field for right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.55
Carson Benge is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP skill and is slated 4th in the lineup against Freddy Peralta at Tropicana Field, which is ranked as the best venue for lefty home runs.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.41
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP ability, batting 2nd in today's game at Tropicana Field, which is ranked best for lefty home runs, and he has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (13%) Projection 0.17
The BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile for home run ability, while THE BAT identifies Tropicana Field as the top field for right-handed home runs.
AI Analysis
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (28%) Projection 1.17
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the best venue for left-handed home runs, and Brett Baty, who has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate and a recent increase in exit velocity, is at an advantage in today's matchup against Freddy Peralta.
AI Analysis
Sean Manaea o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (51%)
Sean Manaea has recorded a 7.00 ERA and 6.27 xERA over his last three starts, allowing close to 50% hard-hit and nearly 21% barrel rates.
AI Analysis
Nick Morabito o0.5 Total Hits (49%) Projection 0.82
Nick Morabito's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system, THE BAT X, with a 49% estimation at Novig.
AI Analysis
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (40%) Projection 1.71
THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile for offensive talent and he is positioned 1st in today's lineup at Tropicana Field, which is ranked as the best venue for lefty home runs, where Lindor's tendency to pull flyballs aligns well with the park's shallow right field fences; however, he has a .018 discrepancy between his actual .323 wOBA and projected talent level of .341.
AI Analysis
Ryan Vilade o1.5 Total Bases (37%) Projection 1.5
Ryan Vilade is batting second in today's game at Tropicana Field, which is projected as the best field for right-handed home runs, and he will face Sean Manaea, who has a significant platoon split, while also benefiting from improved sprint speed of 28.54 ft/sec.
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