Model Picks
10Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+161) Projection 0.54
Jose Altuve is projected in the 83rd percentile for batting average, batting 4th in the lineup, pulls 41.1% of his flyballs, benefits from playing near MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences, has a home field advantage, and has increased his launch angle to 29.3° over the last week.
AI Analysis
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.79
Mike Trout is ranked 8th among batters by THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors, the Houston Astros infield defense is the 5th-weakest among today's teams, and Trout's launch angle has improved from 17.9° to 22.7° in the past 14 days.
AI Analysis
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+192) Projection 0.66
Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best batter according to THE BAT X and is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, while Minute Maid Park features the shallowest left field dimensions and the Houston Astros have the 5th-weakest infield defense among today's teams, with Trout recently improving his launch angle to 22.7°.
AI Analysis
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+122) Projection 1.82
Jeremy Pena is projected as the 18th-best batter in MLB, will bat first in today's game, has a flyball pull rate of 34.6%, benefits from playing at home against shallow left field fences, and has recently improved his launch angle to 23°.
AI Analysis
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100) Projection 2.3
Mike Trout is ranked as the 8th-best batter by THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, and has improved his launch angle from 17.9° to 22.7° over the past 14 days, while Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors and the Houston Astros have the 5th-weakest infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+157) Projection 0.63
Zach Neto is projected in the 89th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, batting 4th in today's game against a Houston Astros infield defense ranked 5th weakest, with a launch angle increase from 17.7° to 23° this season.
AI Analysis
Zach Neto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100) Projection 2.06
Zach Neto is projected in the 89th percentile for home run talent, batting 4th today, with a 38% pull rate on flyballs and improved his launch angle from 17.7° to 23°, facing the Astros' 5th-weakest infield defense.
AI Analysis
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+159) Projection 0.55
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in today's game and is notable for a 46.2% flyball rate and a 23.4° launch angle, both in the 100th and 99th percentiles respectively, indicating he will benefit from favorable park conditions and recent improvement in optimizing his base hit launch angle.
AI Analysis
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Total RBIs (+260) Projection 0.41
The Houston Astros infield defense ranks as the 5th-weakest in the league today, while Denzer Guzman's 16.9° launch angle on hardest-hit balls places him in the 82nd percentile among MLB players since last season.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+121) Projection 0.78
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 2nd in the lineup, and benefits from Minute Maid Park's small outfield and home field advantage against pitcher Grayson Rodriguez.
AI Analysis
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.42
Vaughn Grissom's batting average is projected to be in the 81st percentile by THE BAT X, and he has increased his launch angle from 12.7° to 24° over the past week.
AI Analysis
Peter Lambert u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108) Projection 5.17
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz is considered a weak pitch framer according to THE BAT, while Peter Lambert's significant difference between his K/9 rates indicates he may experience negative regression in strikeouts.
AI Analysis
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+235) Projection 0.4
Josh Lowe is projected in the 78th percentile for BABIP ability, benefits from a platoon advantage against Peter Lambert, has a 33.7% opposite-field rate on flyballs, has increased his exit velocity from 89.5 mph to 92.8 mph, and improved his launch angle from 19.2° to 23.8° over the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+111) Projection 2.3
Mike Trout is ranked as the 8th-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 2nd in today's game, has improved his launch angle to 22.7° in the past 14 days, and has a .358 Expected wOBA since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-103) Projection 2.16
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, expected to bat 2nd in the lineup against the Los Angeles Angels, whose infield defense is the 4th-weakest among teams playing today.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-203) Projection 0.8
Daulton Varsho is projected in the 6th percentile for BABIP skill by THE BAT X, while Minute Maid Park ranks as the #27 venue for lefty batting average, features the 3rd-tallest fence height in MLB, is located near sea-level, and will have the roof closed today, resulting in temperatures about 5° colder than average, which favors pitching.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-111) Projection 2.16
Yordan Alvarez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball and will bat 2nd in the lineup against a Los Angeles Angels team with the 4th-weakest infield defense, while playing at Minute Maid Park, which has the smallest outfield in the major leagues.
AI Analysis
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-240) Projection 0.83
Christian Walker is projected to hit 7th in the lineup against Grayson Rodriguez at Minute Maid Park, which has conditions that are -6° colder than average and is known for suppressing batting averages for right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
Half a hit, run, and/or RBI.
AI Analysis
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+277) Projection 0.4
Josh Lowe, projected in the 78th percentile for BABIP, benefits from a platoon advantage against Peter Lambert, has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and has recently increased his exit velocity from 89.5 mph to 92.8 mph while improving his launch angle to 23.8°.
AI Analysis
CS Cam Smith o0.5 Total Home Runs
Grayson Rodriguez ranks poorly in HR/9, HR/FB rate, HardHit%, and ground-ball rate among MLB starters, while Cam Smith leads the Astros in homers and slugging this month.
AI Analysis
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (26.6%)
Grayson Rodriguez and Yordan Alvarez are set to face off, with Alvarez having a 0-for-10 record against Rodriguez but a 96 mph average exit velocity and a .738 xSLG in the matchup.
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