Model Picks
11Team Leaders
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+182) Projection 0.62
Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, is batting 2nd in today's lineup, and the weather conditions are optimal for hitting, while he faces the New York Yankees, who have the worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120) Projection 2.33
Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB and is batting 2nd in today's lineup, with favorable weather conditions for hitting and a strong flyball opposite-field rate, facing the New York Yankees, who have the worst outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+117) Projection 1.95
Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, is batting 2nd in the lineup today, and will face favorable hitting conditions as well as the New York Yankees' poor outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+201) Projection 0.57
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, and will benefit from favorable weather conditions and a matchup against Gerrit Cole, with a high flyball pull rate of 33.7%.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+135) Projection 1.73
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup, and will benefit from favorable hitting conditions at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Gerrit Cole.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-106) Projection 2.07
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability and is projected to bat 3rd in a matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, where conditions are optimal for hitting.
AI Analysis
Dylan Beavers o0.5 Total RBIs (+274) Projection 0.37
Dylan Beavers ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X, and Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium for boosting offensive stats for left-handed hitters, with the shallowest right field fences among all stadiums and optimal hitting conditions for today's game.
AI Analysis
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+182) Projection 0.55
Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, is in the 4th spot in today's lineup, and will be playing at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which has shallow RF fences and is expected to have the second-best hitting conditions of the day.
AI Analysis
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+270) Projection 0.38
Colton Cowser is projected in the 88th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks #10 for boosting offensive stats for left-handed hitters, and today's game conditions are the second-best for hitting, benefiting Cowser who hits from the opposite side of Gerrit Cole, against the New York Yankees, who have the worst outfield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+143) Projection 0.61
Ben Rice is projected in the 97th percentile for offensive ability, batting 2nd in today's lineup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which is ranked #10 for enhancing offensive stats for left-handed hitters, under optimal weather conditions for hitting, against pitcher Kyle Bradish.
AI Analysis
Samuel Basallo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110) Projection 1.88
Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X and is batting 4th in today's lineup, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards, known for its shallow RF fences, offers the 10th best conditions for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters and has the 2nd-best weather for hitting among today's games.
AI Analysis
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+180) Projection 0.57
Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X, and he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks 10th in MLB for enhancing offensive stats for right-handed batters, with today's weather conditions being the 2nd-best for hitting.
AI Analysis
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.82
Ben Rice is projected in the 97th percentile for offensive ability, batting 2nd in today's lineup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with optimal hitting conditions and an advantage against pitcher Kyle Bradish.
AI Analysis
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+279) Projection 0.39
Oriole Park at Camden Yards is ranked #10 in Major League Baseball for enhancing offensive stats for left-handed batters, with favorable weather conditions for hitting today, while Leody Taveras will bat right-handed against Gerrit Cole and benefit from home field advantage against a New York Yankees outfield that has the weakest defense.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+239) Projection 0.57
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup, and will benefit from favorable hitting conditions at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Gerrit Cole.
AI Analysis
Gerrit Cole u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100) Projection 5.89
The weather conditions for today's contest will be the fourth-best for hitting among all games, while Gerrit Cole faces a disadvantage as a visiting player and posted only 2 strikeouts in his last game, despite relying heavily on fastballs, which he throws 53.3% of the time.
AI Analysis
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+133) Projection 1.72
Trent Grisham is projected in the 96th percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X, is batting first in today's lineup, and benefits from a favorable hitting environment at Oriole Park with optimal conditions for today's game against Kyle Bradish.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.71
Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability and is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup against Gerrit Cole, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards offers favorable conditions for left-handed batters.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+124) Projection 1.9
Pete Alonso is ranked 17th among MLB batters by THE BAT X, is batting 2nd in today's lineup, and will play at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which is rated 10th for boosting offensive stats for right-handed batters, with optimal weather conditions for hitting.
AI Analysis
Gerrit Cole u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Gerrit Cole has pitched over six innings only twice in 15 starts, is projected for 6.0 strikeouts on 88 pitches, and has a fair price of -150 for this prop with rain risk potentially aiding the Under.
AI Analysis
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (15.1%)
Bradish specializes in keeping the ball grounded, and defeating him requires achieving lift on breaking pitches.
AI Analysis
KB Kyle Bradish u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Kyle Bradish has not exceeded five strikeouts in his last eight starts, totaling 30 strikeouts over 44 innings, and is approaching a workload limit after previously failing to reach 40 innings in back-to-back seasons due to injuries.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (52.2%)
Pete Alonso has gone over his prop 68.18% of the time rated elite on Batters-Box this season, with a 1.000 SLG and 67.7% hard-hit rate over his last ten games, while Gerrit Cole has allowed a 50% hard-hit rate to his last 30 right-handed hitters.
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