MLB picks
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Model Picks
11Team Leaders
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
AI Analysis
Chris Bassitt o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Chris Bassitt, after rejoining the rotation from the IL and going 88 pitches in his last start, faces the Yankees, who have the highest strikeout rate in baseball this summer, giving him a favorable matchup for his Over K prop.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson faces Will Warren, whose sweeper ranks in the 1st percentile for breaking-ball run value, allowing a slugging percentage of .681 with 11 home runs given up to left-handed hitters in 66.2 innings.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
Pete Alonso has a .947 SLG, .824 xSLG, and .447 ISO over his last 10 games, along with a 65.6% hard-hit rate and 22% barrel rate, facing Yankees right-hander Will Warren, who has allowed a 56% hard-hit rate and .358 ISO against right-handed hitters.
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