Model Picks
3Team Leaders
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143) Projection 2.6
Junior Caminero is ranked as the 17th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X, batting 3rd in the lineup against Trevor Rogers with a notable platoon advantage and strong flyball performance suitable for the park's left field.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+149) Projection 1.64
THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability, places him 5th in the lineup, grants him a favorable matchup against Freddy Peralta, and highlights the Tampa Bay Rays' infield defense as the worst among teams today.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+153) Projection 0.79
Junior Caminero is ranked as the 17th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X and is batting third in today's game against Trevor Rogers, where he holds a platoon advantage and benefits from playing at home, hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+250) Projection 0.46
The BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive ability, places him 5th in the lineup for today's game against Freddy Peralta, and indicates he has a matchup advantage due to batting opposite of Peralta, while also noting that the Tampa Bay Rays infield defense ranks as the worst today.
AI Analysis
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+211) Projection 0.6
Coby Mayo is projected in the 95th percentile for home run talent, is expected to bat 3rd in today's game at Tropicana Field, which ranks as the #4 ballpark for right-handed batters' home runs, and has a 40% pull rate on flyballs, while the Tampa Bay Rays infield defense is ranked worst in the league.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 1.96
Pete Alonso is projected as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, batting 1st in the order, while Tropicana Field ranks 4th for right-handed batter home runs and has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions, with the Tampa Bay Rays' infield defense rated as the worst today.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+186) Projection 0.68
Pete Alonso is projected as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors and will bat 1st, while Tropicana Field ranks 4th for RHB home runs and has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions, with the Tampa Bay Rays' infield defense graded as the worst today.
AI Analysis
Jackson Holliday o0.5 Total RBIs (+284) Projection 0.46
Jackson Holliday is projected in the 89th percentile for BABIP ability and is batting second, an improvement from his previous 85% rate in the bottom half of the lineup, at Tropicana Field, which ranks fourth in home run boosts for left-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+239) Projection 0.52
Coby Mayo is projected in the 95th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, is expected to bat 3rd in a game at Tropicana Field, which ranks as the #4 venue for right-handed bats, and has a high pull rate for flyballs while facing the league's worst infield defense.
AI Analysis
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+194) Projection 0.64
Tyler O'Neill is ranked as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter by THE BAT X, is batting 4th in today's game, and will benefit from hitting at Tropicana Field, which ranks 4th for right-handed home runs.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+235) Projection 0.41
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for BABIP, is batting 2nd in today's game, and will benefit from playing at Tropicana Field, which favors left-handed hitters, while also having a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+292) Projection 0.36
Colton Cowser is projected in the 86th percentile for home runs, will have a handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta, has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate, and will be hitting at Tropicana Field, the #4 stadium for left-handed home run boosts, while the Tampa Bay Rays' infield defense is ranked last.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110) Projection 2.02
Junior Caminero is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, batting 3rd in the lineup at Tropicana Field, which ranks 4th for RHB home runs, while holding a platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-102) Projection 2.35
Pete Alonso is projected as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors and is set to bat 1st, while Tropicana Field ranks 4th for right-handed batters' home runs and has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions, with the Tampa Bay Rays having the worst infield defense today.
AI Analysis
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total RBIs (+284) Projection 0.36
Tropicana Field ranks #4 in baseball for right-handed batter home runs, with Taylor Walls having an 82nd percentile opposite-field flyball rate of 34.1%, while benefiting from the shallow right field fences and improved metrics, including a recent exit velocity increase from 84.6 mph to 87.1 mph and a rise in launch angle from 14.9° to 19.4°.
AI Analysis
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+426) Projection 0.23
The BAT X ranks Tyler O'Neill as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter, projects him 4th in today's batting order, and highlights Tropicana Field as the 4th-best park for right-handed home runs, noting his 36.4% flyball pull rate and a .309 wOBA despite an estimated true talent wOBA of .334.
AI Analysis
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+245) Projection 0.39
Tropicana Field is ranked #4 in Major League Baseball for home runs hit by left-handed batters, and Leody Taveras, who is a switch-hitter with a significant opposite-field flyball rate, will bat left-handed against Freddy Peralta while benefiting from the stadium's shallow left-field fences and has recently increased his exit velocity from 87.8 mph to 91.9 mph.
AI Analysis
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+376) Projection 0.27
Pete Alonso is projected as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors and is set to bat 2nd in the lineup, while Tropicana Field ranks 4th for right-handed batters' home runs and has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions, with Alonso recently improving his Barrel% from 14% to 31% over the past 14 days.
AI Analysis
Jackson Holliday o0.5 Total RBIs (+292) Projection 0.46
Jackson Holliday is projected in the 89th percentile for BABIP and is batting third in the lineup against Freddy Peralta, benefiting from Tropicana Field's home run boost for left-handed hitters and his 88th percentile opposite-field rate.
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