MLB picks
St. Louis
Cardinals · Away
Toronto
Blue Jays · Home
Model Picks
10Team Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Dylan Cease u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105) Projection 7.07
The St. Louis Cardinals are projected to have the second-lowest strikeout rate among today's batters, with a 19% strikeout rate according to THE BAT X, and are listed at +105 on DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Ernie Clement u0.5 Total Hits (+190) Projection 0.93
Ernie Clement has batted in the top half of the order 53% of the time this year and is projected to bat 7th in this game; today's weather is the 3rd-most favorable for pitching, and he will face left-handed pitcher Kyle Leahy while the St. Louis Cardinals have the 5th-strongest infield defense.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600) Projection 0.18
Daulton Varsho ranks in the 76th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X and has the advantage today against the St. Louis Cardinals' primarily right-handed bullpen and the home field. +630 at FanDuel.
AI Analysis
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+197) Projection 1.43
Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th today, ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent, benefits from a platoon advantage against Dylan Cease, hits 41% of his flyballs to center field, and faces the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the matchup, with a +200 line at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+148) Projection 1.78
Lars Nootbaar is projected in the 92nd percentile for overall offensive talent, batting 5th today, benefiting from the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease, hitting 41% of his flyballs to center field, and playing in a park with the 10th-shallowest CF fences.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+121) Projection 1.93
THE BAT X projects JJ Wetherholt in the 85th percentile for overall offensive talent, and he is set to bat first in today's game, benefiting from a matchup against Dylan Cease while hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest center field fences with 38.9% of his flyballs going to center (91st percentile).
AI Analysis
Jimmy Crooks o1.5 Total Bases (+282) Projection 1.18
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jimmy Crooks in the 82nd percentile for BABIP ability, he hits 38.1% of his flyballs to center field, and has a 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs, indicating he may outperform his current .263 wOBA due to a significant variance from his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+165) Projection 1.56
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball, providing Daulton Varsho an advantage today against the St. Louis Cardinals, who have only one same-handed reliever, while Varsho has recently improved his Barrel% from 6.7% to 11.8% in the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+296) Projection 0.41
JJ Wetherholt is projected in the 85th percentile for offensive talent, will bat first in today's game, and has advantages against Dylan Cease, with a high flyball percentage to center field and increased exit velocity on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+274) Projection 0.46
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile for overall offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is expected to bat 4th in today's game, hits 38.3% of flyballs to center field, has recent exit velocities on flyballs of 104.4 mph, and ranks in the 92nd percentile for Expected wOBA at .367 since last season.
AI Analysis
Jimmy Crooks o0.5 Total RBIs (+320) Projection 0.43
THE BAT X projects Jimmy Crooks in the 82nd percentile for BABIP ability, highlights his favorable matchup against Dylan Cease, notes his 38.1% flyball rate to center field (77th percentile), indicates a negative variance in his .263 wOBA compared to his estimated .310 wOBA, and records his 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs in the 78th percentile since last season.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+177) Projection 1.53
JJ Wetherholt is projected in the 85th percentile for offensive talent, will bat first in today's game, has a favorable matchup against Dylan Cease, hits 38.9% of his flyballs to center field, and recently increased his exit velocity on flyballs from 94.6 mph to 100.1 mph, with betting odds of +188 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+147) Projection 1.73
Alec Burleson is projected to be in the 96th percentile for batting average, will bat 3rd, has the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease, and has increased his exit velocity on flyballs from 92.6 mph to 96.4 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+277) Projection 0.46
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile in overall offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, is projected to bat 4th in the lineup, hits 38.3% of his flyballs to center field, has seen an increase in exit velocity on flyballs from 89.8 mph to 104.4 mph recently, and ranks in the 92nd percentile for Expected wOBA with a value of .367 since last season.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+233) Projection 0.52
Jordan Walker is projected in the 91st percentile for overall offensive skill, hitting second in the lineup, with a 40.1% flyball rate to center field, and a .511 Slugging Percentage ranked in the 92nd percentile.
AI Analysis
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+257) Projection 0.48
Lars Nootbaar is projected in the 92nd percentile for offensive talent, will bat 5th in today's game, has the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease, hits 41% of his flyballs to center field, and has recently increased his exit velocity from 92 mph to 94 mph.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+208) Projection 0.6
Alec Burleson is projected to have a batting average in the 96th percentile, bat 3rd in the order, benefit from the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease, and has increased his exit velocity on flyballs from 92.6 mph to 96.4 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+213) Projection 0.53
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball, providing Daulton Varsho with a favorable matchup against St. Louis Cardinals' relief pitchers, who have only one same-handed option, while Varsho has improved his Barrel% from 6.7% to 11.8% in the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510) Projection 0.18
Daulton Varsho ranks in the 76th percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, benefits from the advantageous dimensions of Rogers Centre, and will face a predominantly right-handed bullpen, enhancing his matchup today.
AI Analysis
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto has hit two home runs in his last six games and faces Kyle Leahy's four-seam fastball, presenting a potential strong home run opportunity at +320 or longer.
AI Analysis
Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease has achieved eight or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 starts and faces a Cardinals lineup that has difficulty against sliders.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.