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11:10 AM
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Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+135) Projection 1.69
Bryson Stott is projected to be in the 84th percentile for batting average and is expected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, while also having an advantage against Ryan Gusto and facing MLB's 6th-shallowest center field fences.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.8
Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, is batting 1st in today's lineup, has a 38.5% flyball rate to center field, and faces the game with baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences.
AI Analysis
Esteury Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+100) Projection 0.56
Esteury Ruiz is batting 8th in today's game at LoanDepot Park, which is ranked 5th-worst for RHB batting average, is near sea-level, has the roof closed making it 9° colder than average, and features the league's 9th-deepest LF fences, posing a disadvantage for him.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120) Projection 2.13
Alec Bohm is projected in the 96th percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, is slated to hit 4th in the lineup, has improved his exit velocity on flyballs to 103.3 mph over the past week, and has a 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle, contrasting with a seasonal rate of 41.3%, while his current wOBA is .286 compared to an estimated true talent level of .322.
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+160) Projection 0.56
Bryson Stott is projected in the 84th percentile for batting average and will hit 2nd in the lineup today against Ryan Gusto, while also benefiting from facing the MLB's 6th-shallowest center field fences.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+155) Projection 0.71
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, projected to bat 3rd today against Ryan Gusto, with a 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle in the past week and an Expected wOBA of .377, placing him in the 95th percentile since last season.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140) Projection 2.43
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X projection system, is projected to bat 3rd in today's matchup against Ryan Gusto, has improved his BABIP-optimizing launch angle rate to 70% over the past week, and grades in the 95th percentile for Expected wOBA at .377 since last season.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+175) Projection 0.56
Alec Bohm is projected for the 4th spot in the lineup today, exhibiting a 96th percentile batting average projection from THE BAT X, with recent improvements in exit velocity on flyballs and a 70.6% rate of maximizing launch angles, despite a .286 wOBA compared to an estimated .322 true talent level.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+160) Projection 0.56
Alec Bohm, projected to bat 4th today, is in the 96th percentile for batting average according to THE BAT X, has improved his exit velocity on flyballs to an average of 103.3 mph over the past week, and has a 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle, despite a .286 wOBA which is .036 lower than his estimated true talent level of .322.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150) Projection 2.3
Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, batting 1st in the lineup today, has a high flyball rate to center field (38.5%), faces the 6th-shallowest CF fences, has improved his exit velocity on flyballs from 91.3 mph to 102.8 mph recently, and currently has a .297 wOBA compared to an estimated true talent level of .334.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120) Projection 1.79
Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is batting 1st in today's lineup, has a 38.5% flyball rate to center field, is facing shallow CF fences, has improved his flyball exit velocity from 91.3-mph to 102.8-mph in recent games, and has a .297 wOBA compared to a projected .334.
AI Analysis
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+300) Projection 0.47
Kyle Stowers is projected in the 95th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, will bat 2nd in today's game with home field advantage, and has increased his exit velocity from 91.8 mph to 96.4 mph in the last week.
AI Analysis
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+354) Projection 0.32
Joe Mack is projected in the 75th percentile for home run skill, has been hitting in the back-half of the lineup but is scheduled to bat 5th today, benefits from home field advantage, and recently saw an increase in Barrel% from 10.9% to 33.3% and in average exit velocity on flyballs from 94.6 mph to 102.3 mph.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-134) Projection 2.3
Trea Turner, projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is batting first in today's lineup and has a notable advantage against the game's 6th-shallowest center field fences, with an improved average exit velocity of 102.8 mph on flyballs recently compared to his season average of 91.3 mph, while his current .297 wOBA is underperforming relative to his projected .334 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-127) Projection 2.43
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd, has a platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto, has a 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle in the past week, and grades out in the 95th percentile for Expected wOBA at .377 since last season.
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110) Projection 2.22
Bryson Stott is projected in the 84th percentile for batting average and is expected to bat 2nd today after primarily hitting in the back-half of the lineup; he thrives hitting flyballs to center field and is facing favorable conditions with shallow CF fences.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125) Projection 2.43
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd in today's matchup against Ryan Gusto, benefits from a platoon advantage, has improved his BABIP-optimizing launch angle rate to 70% over the past week, and ranks in the 95th percentile for hitting ability with an xwOBA of .377 since last season.
AI Analysis
Jesus Luzardo u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-118) Projection 6.44
Shane Livensparger is projected to be a Hitters Umpire in today's game, while J.T. Realmuto is expected to catch and is categorized as a weak pitch framer, and Jesus Luzardo faces challenges due to a large platoon split and playing as a visiting player.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-126) Projection 2.49
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X and is projected to bat 3rd today with a 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle over the past week, while his Expected wOBA since last season is .377, placing him in the 95th percentile.
AI Analysis
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+390) Projection 0.31
Joe Mack is projected in the 75th percentile for home run skill by THE BAT X, benefits from home field advantage, and has recently increased his Barrel% from 10.9% to 33.3%, along with a rise in exit velocity on flyballs from a seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 102.3 mph, and a significant improvement in his HR-optimizing launch angle percentage from 12.4% to 33.3%.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+163) Projection 0.74
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd today, has a platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto, shows a recent improvement in BABIP-optimizing launch angle to 70%, and grades in the 95th percentile for Expected wOBA with a .377 since last season.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+163) Projection 1.47
J.T. Realmuto is projected in the 89th percentile for batting average talent by THE BAT X, has improved his ability to hit at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle from 43.7% to 63.6% in the last 14 days, and has a .294 wOBA compared to an estimated true talent level of .326, representing a .032 difference, with odds of +165 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+190) Projection 0.56
Bryson Stott is projected in the 84th percentile for batting average, has hit in the back-half of the lineup 77% of the time this year, is projected to bat 2nd today, has a strong matchup advantage against Ryan Gusto, hits 39.2% of his flyballs to center field, faces MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences, and has improved his Barrel% from 7.4% to 16.7% in the last week.
AI Analysis
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+292) Projection 0.38
Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by THE BAT X, is set to bat 1st in today's game against Jesus Luzardo, benefits from a platoon advantage due to Luzardo's large platoon split, and holds home field advantage, with a .282 Expected Batting Average since last season, ranking in the 88th percentile according to Statcast data.
AI Analysis
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+130) Projection 1.69
Bryson Stott is projected in the 84th percentile for batting average, is likely to hit 2nd in today's game despite batting primarily lower in the lineup, faces a favorable matchup against Ryan Gusto, hits 39.2% of his flyballs to center field, has improved his Barrel% from 7.4% to 16.7% over the last week, and is available at +135 at Fanatics Sportsbook.
AI Analysis
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+245) Projection 0.47
Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 92nd percentile for home run skill according to THE BAT X, is batting second in the lineup today, has a handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo who has a significant platoon split, benefits from home field advantage, and has improved his Barrel% from 13.2% to 21.7% over the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+119) Projection 1.84
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, projected to bat 3rd today with a platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto, and has improved his launch angle hitting rate to 70% over the past week while holding a xwOBA of .377, placing him in the 95th percentile for hitting ability.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+186) Projection 0.57
Alec Bohm is projected by THE BAT X to be in the 96th percentile for batting average and is hitting fourth in today's lineup, with recent improvements in exit velocity and launch angle, despite having a .286 wOBA compared to an estimated .322.
AI Analysis
Ryan Gusto u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-154) Projection 3.54
Ryan Gusto is projected to throw 72 pitches in today's game, the lowest of the day, while Shane Livensparger is expected to be the home plate umpire.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.59
Alec Bohm is projected to hit fourth in the lineup today and ranks in the 96th percentile for batting average, with an improved average exit velocity of 103.3 mph for flyballs over the last 7 days compared to his seasonal average of 92.7 mph, and a 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle in the past week, despite a .286 wOBA versus a projected true talent level of .322.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 1.79
Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is batting first in today's lineup, hits 38.5% of his flyballs to center field, has improved his exit velocity on flyballs to 102.8 mph recently compared to his seasonal average of 91.3 mph, and has a .297 wOBA despite a projected true talent level of .334.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.72
Bryce Harper is ranked as the 11th-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X, projected to bat 3rd today against Ryan Gusto, benefiting from a platoon advantage, and showing improved performance with a 70% BABIP-optimizing launch angle over the last week, while grading in the 95th percentile for expected wOBA at .377 since last season.
AI Analysis
Edmundo Sosa o0.5 Total RBIs (+270) Projection 0.45
The BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile for batting average, highlighting his 39% flyballs to center field and a significant rise in exit velocity from 90.8 mph to 95.8 mph, while estimating his true offensive ability at .311 compared to his actual .257 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Ryan Gusto u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115) Projection 3.51
Ryan Gusto is projected to throw 72 pitches in today's game, the lowest of the day, and will be umpired by Shane Livensparger, who is expected to favor hitters; Gusto recorded only 1 strikeout in his previous start.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+208) Projection 0.52
J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in today's game, showing improved BABIP-maximizing launch angle from 43.7% to 63.6% over the last 14 days, while his wOBA of .294 is below the estimated true talent level of .326.
AI Analysis
Jesus Luzardo u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115) Projection 6.44
Shane Livensparger is projected to be the home plate umpire, while J.T. Realmuto is considered a weak pitch framer, and Jesus Luzardo faces a disadvantage due to his matchup against seven opposing hitters of the same handedness and playing as a visitor.
AI Analysis
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+284) Projection 0.39
Liam Hicks is projected to bat 3rd in today's game, benefiting from home field advantage and boasting a 1.05 K/BB rate in the 97th percentile and a .279 batting average in the 86th percentile.
AI Analysis
Ryan Gusto u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+117) Projection 3.52
Ryan Gusto is projected to throw 72 pitches in today's game, the lowest of the day, while Shane Livensparger is expected to umpire as a Hitters Umpire; Gusto recorded only 1 strikeout in his previous start.
AI Analysis
Edmundo Sosa o0.5 Total RBIs (+236) Projection 0.44
THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile for batting average talent, notes his 39% flyball rate to center field (92nd percentile), and highlights a significant increase in exit velocity from 90.8 mph to 95.8 mph, while estimating his true offensive ability at .311 compared to his actual .257 wOBA.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+122) Projection 1.78
Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by THE BAT X, is batting 1st in today's lineup, hits 38.5% of his flyballs to center field, has improved his exit velocity on flyballs from 91.3 mph to 102.8 mph recently, and has a .297 wOBA despite a projected true talent level of .334, showing a discrepancy of .037.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+156) Projection 1.56
J.T. Realmuto is projected in the 89th percentile for batting average talent, will bat 5th in today's game, has improved his BABIP-maximizing launch angle from 43.7% to 63.6% over the last 14 days, and has a .294 wOBA, below the estimated true talent level of .326 by .032.
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