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Jul 19, 2026
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12:35 PM
Tampa Bay
Rays · Away
Boston
Red Sox · Home
Model Picks
8Team Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analysis
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+122) Projection 1.75
Willson Contreras is projected in the 97th percentile for offensive talent, batting 4th in the lineup against Shane McClanahan, and benefiting from hitting towards the shallow LF fences while facing a weak Tampa Bay Rays infield defense.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 1.77
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 89th percentile for offensive ability and is batting 3rd in the lineup, while the Tampa Bay Rays' infield defense ranks as the weakest today, with Abreu benefiting from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132) Projection 2.43
THE BAT X projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability, he is batting second in the lineup, has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and will face Sonny Gray while hitting towards the league's shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+181) Projection 0.61
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for overall offensive ability, batting 2nd in today's lineup against Sonny Gray, and has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs while playing in a game with shallow left field fences.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130) Projection 2.3
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 89th percentile for offensive ability by THE BAT X and will bat 3rd today, while the Tampa Bay Rays have the weakest infield defense and Abreu will benefit from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+124) Projection 0.89
Junior Caminero is ranked as the 15th-best hitter in the majors and is projected to bat 3rd in a matchup at Fenway Park, which is the 3rd-best stadium for run-scoring, while recently improving his Barrel% to 100% over the past week.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+114) Projection 1.91
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile offensively, batting 2nd in the lineup at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 stadium for run-scoring, facing a favorable matchup against Sonny Gray, with a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+203) Projection 0.71
Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 4th in today's game against Sonny Gray at Fenway Park, which is favorable for run-scoring, and his recent flyball exit velocity has increased to 96.5 mph.
AI Analysis
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+113) Projection 2.17
Cedric Mullins is projected to bat fourth in today's game at Fenway Park, which favors run-scoring, and will have the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray, with a recent increase in exit velocity on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+223) Projection 0.5
Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd today with an 80th percentile batting average skill, benefiting from the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan, in Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 stadium for run-scoring, and he has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143) Projection 2.84
Junior Caminero is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, batting 3rd in the order at Fenway Park, which ranks 3rd for run-scoring, and has recently improved his Barrel% to 100%.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135) Projection 2.43
Jonathan Aranda is projected in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability and is batting second in today's game at Fenway Park, which ranks as the third-best stadium for run-scoring, and he has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs while facing Sonny Gray.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+138) Projection 0.91
Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the majors according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 3rd, benefits from Fenway Park's favorable run-scoring profile, pulls 39.3% of his flyballs, and has improved his Barrel% from 13.7% to 100% over the past week.
AI Analysis
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (-102) Projection 2.19
Junior Caminero is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, batting 3rd in a matchup at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 stadium for run-scoring, and he has recently improved his Barrel% from 13.7% to 100%.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+115) Projection 1.91
The BAT X projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability, placing him 2nd in the lineup for a game at Fenway Park, which ranks as the #3 stadium for run-scoring, while Aranda has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs and will benefit from hitting towards the shallowest left field fences.
AI Analysis
Shane McClanahan u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120) Projection 4.52
Shane McClanahan is projected to throw 80 pitches today, the lowest on the slate, facing a challenging matchup at Fenway Park, which suppresses strikeouts, and lacks a platoon advantage against the opposing team's hitters.
AI Analysis
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+562) Projection 0.19
Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 4th in today's game against Sonny Gray, possesses an 84th percentile home run skill, pulls 40.1% of his flyballs, and has seen a rise in exit velocity on flyballs from 92 mph to 96.5 mph in the past two weeks.
AI Analysis
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+144) Projection 1.72
Cedric Mullins is set to bat 4th in today's game at Fenway Park, a venue rated as the 3rd best for run-scoring, while holding a platoon advantage over Sonny Gray and experiencing an increase in exit velocity on flyballs.
AI Analysis
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+545) Projection 0.19
Cedric Mullins is projected in the 84th percentile for home run skill, batting 4th in today's game against Sonny Gray, holding a platoon advantage, and has recently increased his exit velocity on flyballs to 96.5 mph.
AI Analysis
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+199) Projection 0.63
The BAT X projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability, placing him 2nd in the lineup at Fenway Park, which is ranked #3 for run-scoring, while he has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs and benefits from hitting towards shallow left field fences.
AI Analysis
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+113) Projection 0.57
Jahmai Jones is projected to bat 8th in this game, marking a decrease from his 75% rate of hitting in the top half of the order this season, where he has been pinch-hit for 75% of the time against left-handers, and his launch angle has decreased to 14.4° this year from 19.7° last season.
AI Analysis
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+100) Projection 1.92
Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, batting 1st in a matchup at Fenway Park, which ranks 3rd for run-scoring, and he has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs and has improved his Barrel% from 7.2% to 22.2% over the last week.
AI Analysis
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+158) Projection 1.54
Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for run-scoring according to THE BAT, while Victor Mesa Jr. has the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray, hits 38.7% of flyballs to center field, has improved his Sprint Speed to 27.89 ft/sec, and holds a .340 Expected wOBA since last season, placing him in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to THE BAT X.
AI Analysis
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+135) Projection 0.71
Jahmai Jones has been pinch-hit for 75% of the time when starting against left-handed pitchers this year, while Fenway Park's near sea-level altitude leads to lower offensive output, and Jones's launch angle has dropped from 19.7° last season to 14.4° this year.
AI Analysis
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+100) Projection 1.91
Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter based on batting average, will bat 1st in the lineup, and benefits from Fenway Park's favorable run-scoring environment, with a high opposite-field flyball rate and improved Barrel%.
AI Analysis
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.81
Wilyer Abreu is projected in the 89th percentile for overall offensive ability and is expected to bat 3rd in lineup, while Fenway Park ranks #3 for run-scoring and has the shallowest right field fences in MLB, with the Tampa Bay Rays having the weakest infield defense today.
AI Analysis
Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-251) Projection 0.71
Jahmai Jones has been pinch-hit for 75% of the time he has started against left-handed pitchers this season, while Fenway Park has the second-highest average fence height in MLB and is near sea-level, contributing to lower offensive output, and Jones's launch angle has decreased from 19.7° last season to 14.4° this year.
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