MLB picks
St. Louis
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Model Picks
0Team Leaders
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+138) Projection 1.67
Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X projection system, is positioned 4th in the lineup, and has a .346 BABIP while ranking in the 89th percentile.
AI Analysis
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+127) Projection 1.7
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in today's game, has a strong home run ability ranked in the 93rd percentile, will likely avoid a bullpen mismatch against the St. Louis Cardinals' only same-handed RP, holds a home field advantage, and has a .350 BABIP ranking him in the 92nd percentile.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+130) Projection 1.68
JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat first today against Javier Assad, has improved his exit velocity from 90 mph to 92.2 mph recently, and has increased his HR-optimizing launch angle percentage from 15.4% to 25% over the last week.
AI Analysis
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+228) Projection 0.54
Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability according to THE BAT X, is projected to bat 5th, benefits from a favorable matchup against Javier Assad, has increased his average exit velocity from 91.3 mph to 93.4 mph this year, and his ability to hit at a base hit-maximizing launch angle has improved from 43.6% to 50% over the last two weeks.
AI Analysis
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+228) Projection 0.46
Dansby Swanson ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X projections, benefits from home field advantage at Wrigley Field with its 6th-shallowest LF fences, faces Matthew Liberatore with a favorable matchup, and has improved his Barrel% from 8.7% to 20% over the last 14 days.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+117) Projection 1.74
Alec Burleson, projected to bat 3rd today, is in the 95th percentile for batting average skill facing Javier Assad, in Wrigley Field which is 599 feet above sea level and conducive to offense, with a 75th percentile opposite-field flyball rate of 33.1% towards shallow left field fences.
AI Analysis
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+178) Projection 0.6
The BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile for offensive talent, batting 3rd in the lineup against Matthew Liberatore, with a home field advantage at Wrigley Field, which has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+186) Projection 0.66
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in today's game at Wrigley Field, which is built 599 feet above sea level, while he ranks in the 95th percentile for batting average skill and has a 75th percentile opposite-field flyball rate, making him favorable against pitcher Javier Assad.
AI Analysis
Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (+285) Projection 0.41
Nathan Church has a platoon advantage over Javier Assad in today's matchup, having increased his exit velocity from 86.2 mph to 89.6 mph and improved his HR-maximizing launch angle rate from 15.7% to 20% over the past week.
AI Analysis
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+233) Projection 0.46
JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability and is projected to hit 1st in today's game at Wrigley Field, which has the 8th-shallowest fences in MLB, while also having an advantage against Javier Assad and showing an increase in exit velocity from 90 mph to 92.2 mph in the past week.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+251) Projection 0.47
Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile for overall offensive talent according to THE BAT X, is scheduled to bat second in the lineup, has a .367 Expected wOBA and a .288 Expected Batting Average since last season, both placing him in the 92nd percentile, and will be playing at Wrigley Field, which is 599 feet above sea level.
AI Analysis
Jimmy Crooks o0.5 Total RBIs (+308) Projection 0.35
THE BAT X projects Jimmy Crooks in the 85th percentile for BABIP talent, gives him a handedness advantage against Javier Assad, and notes his 17.1° launch angle is in the 83rd percentile among MLB players since last season.
AI Analysis
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+178) Projection 0.6
Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile for home run talent according to THE BAT X, is batting 4th in the lineup, plays at Wrigley Field with the 6th-shallowest left field fences, has seen his exit velocity on flyballs increase from 95.4 mph to 99.5 mph in the last two weeks, and holds a .373 wOBA, placing him in the 93rd percentile for overall offense this year.
AI Analysis
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total Home Runs
Carson Kelly has a strong Batters-Box rating and has excelled against left-handed pitching, with a .364 batting average and 1.045 OPS in his last 60 plate appearances, while Matthew Liberatore has struggled against right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Javier Assad u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
The St. Louis Cardinals have a season strikeout rate of just over 20% and have reduced it to 17.8% in their last 21 games, showcasing six hitters with strikeout rates under 17%, while they will face Chicago Cubs right-hander Javier Assad, who has the lowest matchup strikeout rate at 13.10% at home.
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