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Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
The weather forecast predicts a game temperature of 53° with an 11.5-mph wind blowing in from RF, which correlates with lower offensive performance, while Pete Alonso's Barrel% has decreased from 18.8% last year to 13% this year.
Framber Valdez averages 93.2 adjusted pitches per outing, ranking in the 80th percentile, while four Baltimore Orioles hitters have an underlying K% over 27%, and Jake Rogers is projected as a good pitch framer, with today's matchup facing the coldest weather at 53° and wind blowing in from RF at 11.5 mph.
Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile for home run skill, is projected to bat 5th today, and has improved his launch angle to 24° in the past two weeks, while Oriole Park ranks as the #10 venue for run-scoring and the Baltimore Orioles infield defense is the 3rd-worst in baseball.
Framber Valdez averages 93.2 adjusted pitches per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile, while the Baltimore Orioles have four hitters in their projected lineup with a K% over 27%, and Dillon Dingler is noted as a good pitch framer.
Riley Greene is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the league based on his BABIP ability, is expected to bat 4th in the lineup, and will play at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which ranks as the 9th best park for run-scoring and has the shallowest right field dimensions, while today's weather forecast indicates high humidity at 87%, correlating with increased offense.
The Detroit Tigers have four players in their projected lineup with an underlying strikeout rate over 27%, while Brandon Young will benefit from home field advantage in today's matchup.
THE BAT X projects Kevin McGonigle's offensive ability in the 91st percentile, he is listed first in the lineup, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 park for run-scoring with the shallowest RF dimensions in the league, and today is expected to have high humidity at 87%, which may correlate with increased offense.
The leading projection system, THE BAT X, ranks Weston Wilson in the 6th percentile for batting average skill, places him 8th in the lineup for this game, and indicates he has been pulled early 54% of the time against left-handed pitchers this year, while his Statcast Sprint Speed has decreased from 28.15 ft/sec to 26.71 ft/sec.
Pete Alonso has a .260 BABIP this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.
Tyler O'Neill has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time against left-handed pitchers this year, and he is facing favorable pitching weather along with challenging left field dimensions, while his exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from 90.6 mph to 85.1 mph and his optimal launch angle hitting percentage has dropped from 42.1% to 31.7%.
The BAT X projects Gage Workman in the 93rd percentile for BABIP talent, while Oriole Park at Camden Yards is ranked #9 for run-scoring and has the shallowest RF dimensions, plus Workman has a platoon advantage against Brandon Young, with the Baltimore Orioles having the worst infield defense among today's teams.
Jeremiah Jackson is batting 8th in the lineup, with the 4th-most suitable pitching weather expected, and his launch angle this season is 6.1°, significantly lower than last year’s 11.7°, alongside a poor plate discipline reflected by a 1st percentile K/BB rate of 9.57.
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