MLB FINAL
Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals

Away

8 - 7
Apr 16, 2026
11:35 AM
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Model Predictions

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Team Leaders

Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
Batting Average
3-5, 2 R, BB, SB
AVG
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
Home Runs
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, BB, K
HR
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
Runs Batted In
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, BB, K
RBI
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, BB, K
RAT
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
MLB Rating
1-4, HR, 3 RBI, R, BB, K
MLB
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
Batting Average
1-2, 2 BB
AVG
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
Home Runs
0-0
HR
Luis Garcia Jr.
Luis Garcia Jr.
Runs Batted In
0-3, RBI, R, SB, K
RBI
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
MLB Rating
2-2, 2B, R
RAT
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
MLB Rating
2-2, 2B, R
MLB
MLB

Braxton Ashcraft o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135) Projection 5.36

Braxton Ashcraft is projected in the 75th percentile for strikeout talent, has a fastball velocity in the 92nd percentile at 96.2 mph, a spin rate in the 82nd percentile at 2420.9 rpm, an 11.8% swinging strike percentage in the 76th percentile, and a 25.8% strikeout percentage in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

MLB

Luis Garcia Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-156) Projection 1.03

Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 9th in today's game, a decrease from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year, while PNC Park is ranked #1 for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters and has the 6th-tallest average fence height in the league.

MLB

Foster Griffin o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102) Projection 5.1

The Pittsburgh Pirates' projected batting order today includes three players with a strikeout rate over 27%, while pitcher Foster Griffin has favored off-speed and breaking pitches 75.5% of the time since last season.

MLB

Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+172) Projection 0.86

Luis Garcia Jr. is scheduled to bat 9th in today's game, has been pinch hit for 52% of the time against right-handed starters this year, and the Pittsburgh Pirates have the 4th-strongest infield defense.

MLB

James Wood u1.5 Total Bases (-173) Projection 0.93

PNC Park is the #1 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters and has the 6th-tallest average fence height in the league, affecting players like James Wood, who has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs but faces challenges against extreme flyball pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft while playing away from home.

MLB

James Wood u1.5 Total Bases (-172) Projection 0.94

PNC Park is the top MLB venue for limiting home runs to left-handed hitters and has the 6th-tallest average fence height, while James Wood, with a 97th percentile opposite-field flyball rate, faces challenges against extreme flyball pitchers and in away games.

MLB

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+133) Projection 1.58

The BAT X ranks Oneil Cruz as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, noting a correlation between high heat and increased offense, with today's game expected to have a temperature of 82°, while Cruz has seen a recent increase in Barrel% from 21.4% to 30.8% and an increase in exit velocity from 96.6 mph to 103.6 mph.

MLB

Nick Yorke u0.5 Total Hits (+204) Projection 0.97

PNC Park ranks as the 7th least favorable stadium for home runs, while Nick Yorke has a launch angle of only 2.1° on his hardest-hit balls in the last 14 days and a 6.3° average launch angle since last season, placing him in the 16th percentile in the league.

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