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Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
Jack Flaherty is projected as the 16th-best pitcher in the majors based on strikeout talent, averaging 94.2 adjusted pitches per start (87th percentile) and a 27.6% strikeout rate since last season (88th percentile).
Comerica Park is the #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts according to THE BAT, is the 9th-highest in altitude, and is expected to have 79% humidity, which may increase offense and decrease strikeouts; Dustin May has a 0.35 discrepancy between his K/9 rates, indicating he may face negative regression going forward.
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup and is in the 94th percentile for batting average talent, while Comerica Park ranks 10th for run-scoring and has the 2nd-lowest average fence height and 9th-highest altitude in the league.
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup and ranks in the 90th percentile for offensive talent, while Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height and 9th-highest altitude, with today's game expected to have the highest humidity at 79%, which may influence offensive performance.
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 7th in today's game, facing left-handed pitcher Dustin May and struggling with a 3° launch angle while up against the league's 5th-deepest LF fences and the St. Louis Cardinals' strong infield defense.
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 7th today, facing Dustin May with a handedness disadvantage, against a team with the 5th-best infield defense, and has struggled to maintain a high launch angle recently.
Parker Meadows is projected to have an 18th percentile batting average and is expected to bat 8th in the lineup, hitting 38.1% of his flyballs to center field against a team with the 5th-best infield defense, while his sprint speed has decreased from 29.03 ft/sec to 27.9 ft/sec this season.
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd and ranks in the 94th percentile for batting average talent, while Comerica Park is the 10th-best major league park for run-scoring and has the 2nd-lowest average fence height, situated at the 9th-highest altitude.
Jordan Walker is projected in the 87th percentile for home run ability and is expected to hit 4th in the lineup at Comerica Park, which ranks as the 10th best park for run-scoring and has the 2nd-lowest average fence height and the 9th-highest altitude in the league.
Jack Flaherty is projected as the 15th-best pitcher in the majors for strikeout talent, averaging 94.2 adjusted pitches per start, which ranks in the 87th percentile, while the St. Louis Cardinals' lineup features three batters with a K% over 27%, and projected catcher Jake Rogers is noted for his pitch framing ability, with wind conditions at 10.4 mph from CF.
Zach McKinstry is batting 6th in the lineup and has been substituted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time against right-handed pitchers since last season, while Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences and the wind is projected at 10.4 mph blowing in from CF.
Kerry Carpenter has been pinch-hit for 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since last season, while facing a disadvantage today with the wind blowing in at 10.4 mph and competing against the league's 10th-deepest right field fences, having recorded a 0% Barrel% and not hitting any balls in the optimal launch angle range in the past week.
Nolan Gorman is projected in the 3rd percentile for batting average, faces strong wind conditions during the game, hits 36.1% of his flyballs to the pull field against the league's 10th-deepest RF fences, plays as a visiting player, and has experienced a decline in Statcast Sprint Speed from 25.92 ft/sec to 23.28 ft/sec this season.
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