NBA picks
San Antonio
Spurs · Away
Dallas
Mavericks · Home
Model Picks
11Team Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs
AI Analysis
CF Cooper Flagg o10.5 Rebounds and Assists
The Mavs will have no ramp-up period for their No. 1 pick as they need additional ball-handling to compensate for Kyrie Irving's absence.
AI Analysis
D'Angelo Russell o10.5 Points Scored (-127) Projection 13.03 (Over)
D'Angelo Russell ranks in the 96th percentile for three-point shooting at home with a 57.1% rate since last season, while the Dallas Mavericks average 23.1 free-throw attempts per game, ranking 4th in the NBA.
AI Analysis
Cooper Flagg o15.5 Points Scored (-130) Projection 17.93 (Over)
The Dallas Mavericks have the 4th-best free-throw rate in the NBA with 23.1 attempts per game since last season, while opposing starting PGs have a 48.4% three-point percentage against the San Antonio Spurs this year.
AI Analysis
D'Angelo Russell o10.5 Points Scored (-104) Projection 11.87 (Over)
D'Angelo Russell ranks in the 96th percentile for three-point shooting at home with a 57.1% success rate since last season, while the Dallas Mavericks average 23.1 free-throw attempts per game, ranking 4th in the NBA.
AI Analysis
Klay Thompson o12.5 Points Scored (-128) Projection 14.1 (Over)
Klay Thompson ranks in the 96th percentile for three-point shots made with an average of 3.0 per game and in the 20th percentile for personal fouls with 1.1 per game since the start of last season, while the Spurs allow opposing starting shooting guards to have a 54.7% FG% and Thompson holds a 94th percentile foul-shot effectiveness at 89.1%, with the Mavericks averaging 23.1 foul shots per game, ranking 4th in the NBA.
AI Analysis
Harrison Barnes o9.5 Points Scored (+100) Projection 11.31 (Over)
Harrison Barnes has a field goal percentage of 48.3% and a three-point shooting percentage of 40.3% since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th and 92nd percentiles respectively, while averaging 0.9 personal fouls per game, placing him in the 13th percentile; the San Antonio Spurs are the 6th-most aggressive offense in shot attempts from beyond the arc, and the Dallas Mavericks' starting PFs lead the league in shot attempts per game.
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