MLB picks
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Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
AI Analysis
George Kirby o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112) Projection 3.88 (Over)
George Kirby ranks in the 79th percentile for strikeout skill among starting pitchers according to THE BAT, while the Toronto Blue Jays have the lowest strikeout rate at 17.4% on today's slate, and Cal Raleigh is considered an elite pitch framer; Kirby has decreased his usage of the four-seamer to 28.7% this season, and his fastball velocity of 95.5 mph is in the 88th percentile.
AI Analysis
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+225) Projection 0.52 (Over)
Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability, is projected to bat 5th, and will play at Rogers Centre, which is the 3rd-best park for RHB home runs, in a matchup with pitching-friendly weather conditions.
AI Analysis
Eugenio Suarez Hit a Home Run (Yes: +433)
Eugenio Suarez is listed at +433 on DraftKings to hit a home run in Game 7 of the ALCS, bolstered by a favorable matchup against Shane Bieber and his strong recent performance.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho Hit a Home Run (Yes: +550)
Daulton Varsho recorded a .359 ISO against right-handed pitching this year and has hit four balls over 340 feet, including a 109 mph double off the wall against George Kirby.
AI Analysis
Julio Rodriguez Hit a Home Run (Yes: +450)
Rodriguez has homered off Toronto starter Shane Bieber in his career, has a .233 ISO with three home runs in the postseason, and hit 23 of his 32 home runs on the road with a .275 ISO during the regular season.
AI Analysis
George Kirby o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
My projections are significantly different from this number, even with a short leash.
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