MLB picks
Boston
Red Sox · Away
Toronto
Blue Jays · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
AI Analysis
Kevin Gausman u17.5 Outs Recorded (+140) Projection 16.95 (Under)
Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 park for boosting home runs and has the 9th-shallowest center field dimensions among major league parks, while Kevin Gausman has a 3.38 ERA with an estimated true talent level of 4.22, posting a .249 BABIP, indicating potential regression.
AI Analysis
Lucas Giolito u16.5 Outs Recorded (+108) Projection 15.96 (Under)
Rogers Centre is ranked #3 for boosting home runs and has the 9th-shallowest center field dimensions among major league parks, while Lucas Giolito has a fastball spin rate of 2233 rpm in the 19th percentile and a 3.46 ERA, which is a 1.13 disparity from his estimated true talent level of 4.59 according to THE BAT, with quick bet odds of +108 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+140) Projection 0.75 (Over)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the majors for batting average, will bat 3rd today at Rogers Centre, a top stadium for home runs to righties, and benefits from home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+180) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Alex Bregman, ranked in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill by THE BAT X, is batting third today at Rogers Centre, which is ranked as the #3 stadium for boosting home runs to right-handers, and he posts a 38.6% flyball rate to center field, benefiting from shallow CF fences.
AI Analysis
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+187) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile for offensive skill according to THE BAT X, batting third today at Rogers Centre, which is the #3 stadium for boosting home runs to righties, while also having a significant advantage with 38.6% of his flyballs going to center field and an increase in exit velocity from 90.9 mph to 94.5 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+149) Projection 0.74 (Over)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the top batter for batting average, will bat 3rd today at Rogers Centre, which favors home runs for right-handed hitters, and benefits from a home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+145) Projection 0.75 (Over)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the top batter for batting average and will bat 3rd today at Rogers Centre, which is the 3rd best stadium for home runs to righties, while he also benefits from hitting towards shallow center field fences.
AI Analysis
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 9th-best MLB batter in BABIP skill and is batting 5th today at Rogers Centre, which is ranked #3 for boosting home runs to righties, while he has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs to 96.3 mph this season.
AI Analysis
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+180) Projection 0.61 (Over)
Daulton Varsho is batting 2nd today at Rogers Centre, which favors left-handed home runs and provides him with a matchup advantage against Lucas Giolito.
AI Analysis
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
THE BAT X projects Romy Gonzalez as the 9th-best batter in the majors for BABIP, and he is batting 5th in today's game at Rogers Centre, which ranks #3 in boosting home runs for right-handed hitters.
AI Analysis
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+234) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors for BABIP skill, batting 5th in today's game at Rogers Centre, the 3rd best stadium for home runs to right-handed hitters, and has improved his average exit velocity on flyballs to 96.3 mph this season.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.