MLB picks
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Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+130) Projection 0.7 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 12th-best batter in baseball, will bat 3rd in today's game, has a platoon advantage against Bryce Elder, boasts a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and will benefit from home field advantage, with betting odds of +130 at FanDuel.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+110) Projection 0.8 (Over)
Kyle Schwarber is projected as the 4th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, batting 2nd today, facing Bryce Elder with a home field advantage, and is listed at +110 odds at FanDuel.
AI Analysis
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+185) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skills and is projected to bat 4th today, with an advantage due to facing a left-handed pitcher and a favorable left field fence distance.
AI Analysis
Ranger Suarez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-134) Projection 4.8 (Under)
Umpire Alfonso Marquez is expected to officiate the game, presenting a challenge for Ranger Suarez, who faces seven left-handed batters in the opposing lineup and has an 89.5-mph fastball velocity this season, down from 90.8-mph last year, with a spin rate in the 5th percentile and a K/9 rate of 8.71 exceeding the projection system's estimate of 8.37.
AI Analysis
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.7 (Over)
Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the league and will bat 3rd against Ranger Suarez at Citizens Bank Park, which ranks #7 for righty home runs and has the shallowest fences in the majors.
AI Analysis
Ranger Suarez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130) Projection 4.8 (Under)
Alfonso Marquez is expected to be the umpire in the upcoming game, where Ranger Suarez faces challenges due to the opposing team's left-handed batters and his declining fastball velocity of 89.5 mph, coupled with a low spin rate of 1947 rpm, while maintaining an 8.71 K/9 rate despite projections estimating 8.37.
AI Analysis
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive skill, is projected to bat 2nd, and is playing in Citizens Bank Park, which is the #6 ballpark for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, while facing the weakest outfield defense among today's teams, with bet odds of +220 at BetMGM.
AI Analysis
Bryce Elder o3.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Elder has previously allowed nine earned runs to Philadelphia, who is hitting .290 against him in 62 at-bats.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases
Trea Turner has averaged 2.5 total bases over his last 20 games and is set to face Bryce Elder, who has an ERA above 6.0 for the second consecutive year.
AI Analysis
Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total Home Runs
In their last matchup, Elder allowed three home runs, and Castellanos is expected to return to the lineup tonight.
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