MLB picks
Washington
Nationals · Away
New York
Yankees · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
AI Analysis
Trent Grisham u1.5 Total Bases (-170) Projection 0.8 (Under)
Yankee Stadium is ranked #28 for overall lefty offense, has low altitude leading to lower offensive output, Trent Grisham hits 39.3% of his flyballs to center field which is hard to clear, and the Washington Nationals have the 5th-strongest infield defense.
AI Analysis
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected in the 96th percentile for home run skill and is batting 5th, while Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, with favorable weather conditions and wind blowing out to RF at 11.6 mph, and betting odds of +165 at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Cade Cavalli u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105) Projection 4.4 (Under)
Cade Cavalli is projected to throw 81 pitches in today's game against the 12th-least on the slate, with Riley Adams expected to catch as a weak pitch framer, while the weather forecast indicates the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions, with 11.6-mph wind blowing out to RF, and Cavalli at a disadvantage playing on the road with quick bet odds at +110 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+195) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height, with the weather forecast indicating the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions, wind blowing out to RF at 11.6 mph, and Austin Wells having a home field advantage against Cade Cavalli.
AI Analysis
Cody Bellinger u1.5 Total Hits (-280) Projection 0.9 (Under)
Yankee Stadium ranks #4 in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, and Cody Bellinger's estimated true offensive skill is .327 according to THE BAT X, with a current wOBA of .346 and +165 betting odds at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Cade Cavalli u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100) Projection 4.4 (Under)
Cade Cavalli is projected to throw 81 pitches in today's game, while Riley Adams is expected to be a weak pitch framer, with favorable hitting conditions due to weather and wind blowing out to right field at 10.4 mph, although Cavalli faces a disadvantage playing on the road.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.