MLB picks
St. Louis
Cardinals · Away
Miami
Marlins · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Sandy Alcantara o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100) Projection 4.9 (Over)
Sandy Alcantara averages 93 adjusted pitches per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile, and has a fastball velocity of 96.5 mph, placing him in the 94th percentile among all starters.
AI Analysis
Sandy Alcantara u18.5 Outs Recorded (-189) Projection 17.6 (Under)
THE BAT ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best MLB stadium for walks, while Sandy Alcantara has an 8.6% Swinging Strike percentage (17th percentile) and a 2 K/BB rate (15th percentile), with quick bet odds of -180 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile for overall offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections and is projected to hit 4th in the lineup, while LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Nolan Gorman is projected in the 96th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X and has the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today, with quick bet odds of +200 at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+215) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Nolan Gorman is projected in the 96th percentile for home run talent by THE BAT X, has the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara, has improved his launch angle to 33.8° in recent games, grades in the 77th percentile for power with 25.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, and has +225 odds at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Eric Wagaman, who hits 39.2% of his flyballs to center field, benefits from playing at home against the 4th-weakest infield defense while experiencing improvements in Barrel% (from 6.3% to 25%) and exit velocity (from 90.8 mph to 98.1 mph) in the last two weeks, with betting odds of +210 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Ivan Herrera is projected in the 87th percentile for batting average skill, batting second in the lineup, and has a 97.2 mph average exit velocity on flyballs this season, a .353 wOBA in the 84th percentile, and a .341 BABIP in the 93rd percentile.
AI Analysis
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Eric Wagaman, who hits 39.3% of his flyballs to center field, benefits from playing at home against a team with weak infield defense while recently improving his Barrel% from 6.3% to 25% and increasing his exit velocity from 90.8 mph to 98.1 mph.
AI Analysis
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+170) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive talent according to THE BAT X projections, is expected to bat 4th, has seen his exit velocity on flyballs increase from 95.6 mph to 100.6 mph over the last 14 days, and his HR-maximizing launch angle percentage improved from 15.1% to 18.1%, with current betting odds at +175 at BetMGM.
AI Analysis
Sandy Alcantara u5.5 Hits Allowed
Sandy Alcantara is starting today at home against the Cardinals, having allowed fewer than a hit per inning this season and coming off a strong performance with just two hits allowed in his last game.
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