MLB picks
St. Louis
Cardinals · Away
Miami
Marlins · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
AI Analysis
Lars Nootbaar u1.5 Total Bases (-170) Projection 0.9 (Under)
The BAT projects LoanDepot Park as the 6th-worst venue for left-handed home runs, has one of the lowest elevations affecting offense, will have a closed roof making the temperature 7° colder than average, features the Miami Marlins as the top infield defense, and Lars Nootbaar may face challenges playing away from home.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Alec Burleson is projected in the 92nd percentile for batting average skill, will bat 3rd, has a platoon advantage against Eury Perez, is likely to maintain this advantage against the Miami Marlins' limited right-handed bullpen, hits 39.4% of his flyballs to center field, and is facing shallow CF fences today.
AI Analysis
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+240) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Nolan Gorman is projected in the 96th percentile for home run ability, is batting 5th in the lineup, has a handedness advantage over Eury Perez, and faces limited same-handed relief options from the Miami Marlins.
AI Analysis
Matthew Liberatore o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125) Projection 4.4 (Over)
The Miami Marlins have three hitters with a projected K% over 27%, while Pedro Pages is noted as a good pitch framer; LoanDepot Park's low elevation and closed roof today are expected to favor pitching.
AI Analysis
Matthew Liberatore o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135) Projection 4.4 (Over)
The Miami Marlins have three hitters in their projected lineup with a K% over 27%, while Pedro Pages of the Cardinals is expected to be a good pitch framer; LoanDepot Park's low elevation and closed roof today will make conditions less favorable for offense and 6° cooler for pitching, and Matthew Liberatore has relied on secondary pitches 60.6% of the time.
AI Analysis
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+175) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Alec Burleson, projected to bat 3rd, is in the 92nd percentile for batting average skill, has a platoon advantage against Eury Perez, and faces favorable flyball conditions in today's game, with betting odds of +175 at DraftKings.
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