Seattle
Mariners · Away
Philadelphia
Phillies · Home
Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-160) Projection 0.8 (Under)
Citizens Bank Park is ranked #24 for left-handed batter batting average on balls in play in Major League Baseball and is among the lowest in elevation, affecting offensive output, with today's game projected to have the 2nd-best pitching conditions.
AI Analysis
Logan Gilbert u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105) Projection 16.3 (Under)
The Philadelphia Phillies have the 3rd-best projected batting lineup today, while Citizens Bank Park features the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions, and the Seattle Mariners' infield defense is projected as the 5th-weakest; Logan Gilbert's fastball velocity has decreased by 1.8 mph from last year, currently at 94.8 mph.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+165) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 13th-best batter in MLB, will bat 3rd in the lineup, enjoys a platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert, has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and faces the 5th-weakest infield defense from the Seattle Mariners, with betting odds of +165 at Caesars.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
J.T. Realmuto is projected in the 94th percentile for BABIP ability, has mainly batted in the bottom half of the order this year, is expected to bat 4th today, plays in Citizens Bank Park with the shallowest fences in the majors, faces the 5th-weakest infield defense from the Seattle Mariners, and has a +230 betting line at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+230) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors, Max Kepler benefits from a platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert, the Seattle Mariners' infield defense ranks as the 5th-worst, and Kepler enjoys home field advantage while his Barrel% has risen from 6.2% to 11.8%, with betting odds of +210 at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+235) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors, which benefits Max Kepler, who has an improved Barrel% of 11.8%, as he faces Logan Gilbert while playing at home against a Seattle Mariners infield defense projected as the 5th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game and will hit 3rd in today's lineup against the Philadelphia Phillies, who have the worst infield defense, at Citizens Bank Park, known for its shallow fences.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+150) Projection 0.7 (Over)
Kyle Schwarber is projected as the 3rd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, batting 2nd today at Citizens Bank Park, which has the shallowest fences in the majors, and faces the Seattle Mariners, whose infield defense is projected as the 2nd-weakest.
AI Analysis
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+150) Projection 0.7 (Over)
Kyle Schwarber is projected as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB and will bat 2nd today at Citizens Bank Park, which has the shallowest fences, while facing Logan Gilbert with an advantageous matchup against the Seattle Mariners' 2nd-weakest infield defense.
AI Analysis
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200) Projection 0.5 (Over)
J.T. Realmuto, projected in the 95th percentile for BABIP by THE BAT X, has hit in the back-half of the batting order 55% of the time this year but is expected to bat 4th today, benefiting from home field advantage at Citizens Bank Park, which has the shallowest fences in the majors, against a Seattle Mariners infield defense ranked 6th-weakest.
AI Analysis
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+225) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors, enhancing home run potential, while Max Kepler benefits from a platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert, with Seattle's infield defense ranked as the 6th weakest today; additionally, Kepler has improved his exit velocity on flyballs from an average of 92.7 mph to 97.5 mph recently, with betting odds of +235 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Logan Gilbert u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Gilbert faces a challenging task to exceed his strikeout totals against a Phillies team with the sixth-lowest strikeout rate at home this season.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175) Projection 0.6 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 14th-best MLB batter, slated to bat 3rd, benefiting from a platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert, with a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs and facing the 6th-weakest infield defense from the Seattle Mariners, with betting odds of +175 at DraftKings.
AI Analysis
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Randy Arozarena is projected in the 94th percentile for offensive ability, is hitting 1st in the lineup, and has an advantage against Ranger Suarez due to a favorable matchup, while Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors, and the Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense ranks as the 5th-worst today.
See Every Model's Pick
Unlock the full pick breakdown, win-rates, and real-time alerts for every future game.