MLB picks
Detroit
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Philadelphia
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Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
AI Analysis
Zack Wheeler u18.5 Outs Recorded (-185) Projection 17.8 (Under)
Citizens Bank Park ranks as the 9th-best MLB venue for walks and has the 9th-shallowest left field fences, while Zack Wheeler has a 59.3% fastball usage and a .260 BABIP, suggesting he may experience regression.
AI Analysis
Tarik Skubal u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-146) Projection 7.3 (Under)
In his last start, Tarik Skubal recorded only 2 strikeouts.
AI Analysis
Tarik Skubal u18.5 Outs Recorded (-150) Projection 17.5 (Under)
THE BAT projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best MLB venue for walks, has the 9th-shallowest left field fences, and the Detroit Tigers have the weakest infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+140) Projection 1.7 (Over)
Trea Turner is projected as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball by THE BAT X and will hit 1st in the lineup against Tarik Skubal, with the Detroit Tigers having the weakest infield defense today.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+230) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB and is batting 3rd today, facing the Detroit Tigers with the weakest infield defense while benefiting from a home field advantage.
AI Analysis
Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+240) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Nick Castellanos is projected to have a 90th percentile batting average, bat 4th in today's game, face a favorable matchup against Tarik Skubal, and play in Citizens Bank Park, which has the shallowest fences, while the Detroit Tigers have the weakest infield defense among today's teams.
AI Analysis
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Kerry Carpenter is projected in the 94th percentile for home run talent, will bat 3rd in today's game, and has seen his Barrel% increase from 14.4% to 22.2% recently.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+225) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB, batting 3rd today, with a 95th percentile opposite-field flyball rate of 37.5%, facing the Detroit Tigers who have the weakest infield defense and playing at home.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 4th in today's game against Zack Wheeler, has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, is hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest left field fences, and has recently improved his launch angle to 21.8°.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+205) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 4th in the order, has an edge against Zack Wheeler, boasts an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and has improved his launch angle from 14.1° to 21.8° recently, with a betting line of +210 at Caesars.
AI Analysis
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter by THE BAT X, will bat 4th in the lineup, has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and faces a 3rd-weakest outfield defense from the Philadelphia Phillies.
AI Analysis
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Kerry Carpenter is projected to be in the 94th percentile for home run talent, batting 3rd in today's game against Zack Wheeler, at Citizens Bank Park, which has the shallowest fences, while facing the 3rd-weakest outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Tarik Skubal o18.5 Outs Recorded
Tarik Skubal has achieved 19 or more outs in 10 of his 21 starts this season, including three of his last five, and has recorded 20 or more outs in his last three road starts.
AI Analysis
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+240) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Bryce Harper is projected as the 13th-best batter in MLB by THE BAT X, is batting 3rd in today's lineup, has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on flyballs, and benefits from facing the weak infield defense of the Detroit Tigers at home.
AI Analysis
Tarik Skubal o8.5 Total Strikeouts
Tarik Skubal ranks in the 94th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate, and strikeout rate, and has a 1.42 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over his past six starts, with 10 or more strikeouts in three of those outings.
AI Analysis
Zack Wheeler o7.5 Total Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler ranks in the 78th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate, and strikeout rate, recording eight or more strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts, and has struck out eight batters in both of his career meetings against Detroit.
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