MLB picks
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Model Picks
1Team Leaders
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.7 (Over)
Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the league and is batting 1st in the lineup today, while Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+155) Projection 1.6 (Over)
Jose Altuve is projected in the 89th percentile for batting average and will bat 3rd in today's matchup against Cristopher Sanchez, benefiting from the Phillies' weak outfield defense and favorable hitting conditions.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+155) Projection 1.6 (Over)
Jose Altuve is projected in the 89th percentile for batting average and will bat 3rd against Cristopher Sanchez, benefiting from a favorable matchup due to his flyball tendencies and the Philadelphia Phillies' weak outfield defense.
AI Analysis
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+160) Projection 1.6 (Over)
Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in today's matchup, with a batting average ability in the 89th percentile, and will benefit from facing left-handed pitcher Cristopher Sanchez while hitting towards the 2nd-shallowest left field fences, against a Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense rated as the worst.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+150) Projection 1.7 (Over)
Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the league by THE BAT X, will bat 1st in today's lineup, has improved his HR-optimizing launch angle from 15.9% to 19.1%, and has a .342 Expected wOBA, ranking in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.
AI Analysis
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+145) Projection 1.7 (Over)
Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the league, batting 1st in the lineup today, with a .342 Expected wOBA, and has improved his ability to hit at a HR-optimizing launch angle from 15.9% to 19.1%.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+220) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Alec Bohm is projected in the 97th percentile for batting average by THE BAT X, is expected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, and has seen an increase in exit velocity, with a recent average of 96.6 mph compared to his seasonal mark of 93.2 mph, while his Expected Batting Average stands at .291 in the 93rd percentile.
AI Analysis
Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in today's game, with a batting average skill ranking in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projection system, while Minute Maid Park's closed roof is expected to create -8° colder conditions favorable for pitching; Castellanos has improved his Barrel% from 9.3% to 22.6% over the past two weeks, with odds of +210 at BetMGM.
AI Analysis
Hunter Brown u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Brown has allowed fewer than 1.5 earned runs in 10 of his last 13 starts, leads the majors with a 1.88 ERA, ranks fifth in WHIP at 0.92, is in the top 10th percentile in strikeout rate, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate, while the Phillies have a .782 OPS at home that decreases to .683 on the road and have struggled offensively with Bryce Harper sidelined by a wrist injury.
AI Analysis
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+210) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Alec Bohm, projected in the 97th percentile for batting average skill by THE BAT X, is expected to hit 3rd in today's lineup after primarily batting 6th, with colder conditions at Minute Maid Park favoring pitching.
AI Analysis
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Max Kepler is batting 5th in the lineup against Hunter Brown, has increased his exit velocity from 91.3-mph to 94.2-mph recently, improved his launch angle to 21.5°, and has a wOBA of .303 compared to an expected wOBA of .335.
AI Analysis
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+250) Projection 0.5 (Over)
Max Kepler is batting 5th in today's game against Hunter Brown, and recently improved his exit velocity from 91.3 mph to 94.2 mph while posting a launch angle of 21.5°, although his wOBA of .303 is below the projected .335 by THE BAT X.
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